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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, September 06, 2012
That’s nothing, Bobby Valentine is committing self-hanging, drawing and quartering by media… You’ve heard of “suicide by cop?” Yesterday Indians closer Chris Perez tried to commit suicide by media.
Perez took shots at the Indians front office, chalking up the difference in the success of small market teams like Oakland to that of Cleveland to ”different owners … [The Tigers] are spending money. [Mike Ilitch] wants to win. Even when the economy was down, he spent money. He’s got a team to show for it. You get what you pay for in baseball. Sometimes you don’t. But most of the time you do.”
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1. Neutral Milk Dotel (Dan Lee) Posted: September 06, 2012 at 02:27 PM (#4228432)The saves will get him a nice payday in arbitration, but I don't think anyone's going to give up anything super-useful for him, and the Indians aren't in a position to give away decent ballplayers because they're grumpy. I wouldn't be shocked to see the Tribe keep him around, if only because they can't get anything better in trade.
But maybe I'm overestimating opposing GMs.
"That reminds me, I was going to ask you. What exactly *is* our team concept? "
I agree with much of what Perez said, but it seems pretty clear that he's intentionally saying stuff that he knows will make them mad. I think the intent is the problem, not necessarily that he expressed disagreement with the direction of the ballclub. Barry Larkin freaked out back in the day when the Reds traded Lenny Harris, but nobody really cared because he wasn't trying to provoke a reaction, he was just genuinely pissed off.
It's clever but wrong. Two problems:
1. Croesus wasn't giving away all of his money.
2. This wasn't a dinner party, this was just a present to one guy, Alcmaeon.
I think I have a better estimate, once I do some math.
I should mention that Herodotus' Histories is one of my favorite books. OK, this is Croesus preparing a sacrifice for the Oracle at Delphi. He's planning to ask what to do about Cyrus of Persia, and he wants a good answer from the Oracle (he gets one, but then completely blows the interpretation):
We're not going to work out the value of 3000 animals of each kind and of the stuff piled on the couches. The half-plinths: 4 pure gold half-plinths of 2.5 talents plus 113 half-plinths that are 20% gold, so 32.6 talents of gold. OK, a Greek talent is 26 kg, so this is 847.6 kg of gold. One site says that gold is currently $54.62/gram, so $54,620/kg. So that's $46,295,912 of gold. Add to that 226 talents (5876 kg) of silver. Silver is currently about $1048/kg, so that's $6,158,048 of silver. Make it about $52 million for the gold plinths. Add in the 10-talent gold lion and you're at something like $66 million in bullion. Make it $75 million when you pay for all of the other stuff.
Now, this is Croesus' liquid wealth. First of all, we have to assume that he's not sending away all of his liquid wealth. For one thing he's planning on attacking Persia, and wars are expensive, especially ones as huge as this is going to be. Also, baby needs a new pair of shoes (edit: Croesus' kid died tragically, so this is in bad taste) and etc. So we can guess that this is, what, 10% or his liquid wealth? So we'll say $750 million in liquid wealth. As for illiquid wealth, Croesus tells us:
IOW, Croesus owned the western half of Anatolia. This is approximately one metric #### ton of illiquid wealth. We should consider that the ancient economy converted production into cash at a much slower rate than the modern economy, so Croesus, Inc. will have a wild price/sales ratio. Google's ratio currently sits at around 5. If we take that as an absolute minimum for Croesus then we should start looking at him with about $3.8 billion in illiquid wealth to go along with his $1 billion in cash. So a minimum estimate of $4.8 billion in total wealth would put Croesus at 61st on the Forbes list of wealthy Americans. Sam Zell, I have just learned, is not richer than Croesus, and neither are Mike Ilitch or Charles Dolan.
I feel like the only way to get out of this that Perez is trying to be traded is to take Calcaterra's word for it.
1. Croesus wasn't giving away all of his money.
2. This wasn't a dinner party, this was just a present to one guy, Alcmaeon.
3. Gold prices are based on the Troy ounce and there are not 16 of them in a pound.
You need a stable unit of measure somewhere in order to make the (inherently impossible) comparison between the relative wealth of an ancient hereditary despot who conquered the Asiatic Greeks and a modern pizza baron who pays Miguel Cabrera. If we were trying to do this reasonably then we could convert the cost of gold into the price of bread or something like that, but then you get caught up in the changing nature of an individual's expenses (i.e., thanks to mass production food is cheaper now than in antiquity).
Realistically, there's not going to be a good way to make a comparison, except to that Croesus was the richest man in the world, like an ancient Bill Gates (or Carlos Slim Helú or Andrew Carnegie or John D. Rockefeller or whoever).
Odd analysis from Perez after management essentially doubled his salary in the off season.
2. Why don't the Indians get more criticism? Is it because management is seen as "progressive"? Is it because everyone in the industry likes Mark Shapiro and Chris Antonetti? Could you imagine if one of the old-school guys with a target on his back in the sabermetric community (Sabean?) had this kind of track record?
Please buy the Indians.
-- the baseball fans of Cleveland
"I'll destroy the Yankees? Great! Hey Antonetti, we're giving Sizemore $35 million a year! Get it done!"
I've never quite understood the love for Shapiro, but I'm open to the fact that I'm missing something (like the fact that they were one game away from the World Series in 07, which is a fair counter). They seem to be one of the handful of completely irrelevant teams most years.
Shapiro had one of the least consistent trade records around. He was basically given the team's three best players for nothing, but when trading away stars he got horrible returns.
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