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Thursday, May 17, 2012

Carig: Why can’t Yankees hit with runners in scoring position?

The Random House that Cerf, Klopfer and Carig built.

Nobody knows for sure why that is. As a wise man likes to say, “You can’t predict baseball, Suzyn.”

Of course, there is another explanation. Perhaps, there isn’t much to be made about how the Yankees perform on Thursdays, or Wednesdays, or twice on Sunday. Maybe, hitting on Thursdays really doesn’t tell us much about what kind of team the Yankees are on offense. And maybe the Yankees average on Thursdays isn’t the result of a skill at all, but a strange number created by the random fluctuations in the game.

Kind of like hitting with runners in scoring position, no?

As you know, these Yankees aren’t very good at it right now—.240, 10th in the American League. Even when they have some good games, they certainly haven’t been consistent. But kind of like the Thursday example above—yes, it’s an extreme example—it’s just as extreme to take the team’s batting average with runners in scoring position as an indicator of future success or failure.

Hitting on Thursdays is clearly not a special skill. And, mostly, I’m not so sure that hitting with runners in scoring position is that much different. To be clear, I personally believe there is an element of skill involved. Some guys simply may be better at it than others. Why? I couldn’t say for sure.

Repoz Posted: May 17, 2012 at 05:21 PM | 7 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: sabermetrics, yankees

Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Jacob Posted: May 17, 2012 at 07:02 PM (#4134303)
Somewhere Captain Clutch smugly scoffs.
   2. Bruce Markusen Posted: May 17, 2012 at 10:34 PM (#4134532)
They're now 3 for their last 40 with runners in scoring position.
   3. JE (Jason Epstein) Posted: May 17, 2012 at 11:18 PM (#4134570)
Article commenter writes:
They don't know how to play little ball. All they want to do is hit home runs. It's been weeks since they sacrifice bunted. In the 50 years i have been rooting for them, I have never been so bored!
   4. zenbitz Posted: May 17, 2012 at 11:53 PM (#4134580)
Boo Freakin' Hoo.

The Giants are hitting .207/.279/.300 with RISP. A tOPS+ (relative to team) of 69. sOPS+ (relative to league) of _60_.
With runners on 1st and 3rd they have a team OPS of .442. _OPS_.
With runners on 2nd and 3rd, they have a team OPS of .458 ... but a batting average of .080.
They have had 2 3-run HRs (they have only hit 25, but still)



That is so bad that with the bases empty they are an above average offensive team.

The Yankees are hitting .240/.336/.429 with RISP, a tOPS+ of 92 and an sOPS+ of 109, with 7 3-run HR and 2 grand slams (56 HR).
   5. Walt Davis Posted: May 18, 2012 at 12:03 AM (#4134582)
Do these people pay no attention to history? Clearly the Yankees are cursed.
   6. Jason Michael(s) Bourn Identity Crisis Posted: May 18, 2012 at 12:36 AM (#4134592)
They used up their allotment of intangibles on grittiness and character, leaving none left for clutch.
   7. Lassus Posted: May 18, 2012 at 12:56 AM (#4134595)
Because they suck.

Next question.

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