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Thursday, September 04, 2014

Castrovince: The Brewers are fighting against a free fall

The mediocrity of the rotation surprises me more than the bullpen, not that the bullpen should be third-worst-in-baseball bad either.

The Brewers became just the fourth team in the wild card era to win 20 games in the season’s first month… Francisco Rodriguez, Tyler Thornburg, Will Smith, Zach Duke and Brandon Kintzler combined to give up just five runs in 62 1/3 innings of work in that opening sequence. It was never going to be that good again for the Brewers bullpen… the Brewers have the third-highest relief ERA in baseball since April 29…

not one starter ranks in the top 30 in Fielding Independent Pitching-based WAR. This is significant because it’s something that can’t be said of any other club in current playoff position.

Kyle Lohse, Wily Peralta, Yovani Gallardo and [Matt] Garza have all hovered around league average in adjusted ERA…

the offense is still getting on-base at a below-average pace (a .313 OBP since April 29)...

Ultimately, the Brewers look like an example of water finding its level in the 162-game schedule. They bought themselves an irresistible opportunity with that absurd April. All they had to do was win as much as they lost for the next five months, and they’d be fitted for a division crown.

Now, it’s going to take much more than that for the Brewers to recover from their recent free fall. And with the Cards coming to town for four, the recovery must be immediate.

The District Attorney Posted: September 04, 2014 at 08:50 PM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: brewers

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   1. Dillon Gee Escape Plan Posted: September 04, 2014 at 09:45 PM (#4785792)
So, not only is Zach Duke (!) still in the majors, but he's turned into a very effective reliever. Huh.
   2. Win Big Stein's Money Posted: September 05, 2014 at 01:37 AM (#4785885)
Nine straight losses... woof.
   3. Robert in Manhattan Beach Posted: September 05, 2014 at 01:39 AM (#4785886)
Oh goody, more Cardinals in the postseason. Just what nobody is clamoring for.
   4. Los Angeles El Hombre de Anaheim Posted: September 05, 2014 at 02:03 AM (#4785892)
This is the great fear of every division going into September. It usually doesn't happen, but when it does... woof.
   5. cardsfanboy Posted: September 05, 2014 at 05:02 AM (#4785899)
Oh goody, more Cardinals in the postseason. Just what nobody is clamoring for.


Well with no Braves, Yankees or Red Sox, we still need some consistency somewhere. Need to have one team the fans want to see lose.
   6. Harveys Wallbangers Posted: September 05, 2014 at 08:09 AM (#4785918)
during the losing streak the offense has been nonexistent

brewers fans have been kvetching on Ron's bullpen usage for several months. He has worked will smith very hard and multiple nights used 4-5 guys needlessly

   7. Harveys Wallbangers Posted: September 05, 2014 at 08:20 AM (#4785924)
lest we forget the defense has also "helped"

Most of the year the defense has been above average and now it too has developed a case of the yips

   8. Bote Man sez $/yr not yr/$$ Posted: September 05, 2014 at 08:48 AM (#4785932)
Just getting my day going and not looking it up, but Will Smith's numbers on the TV screen last night were something like 56 innings, 23 WALKS, healthy number of strikeouts. Lots of walks for him.
   9. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: September 05, 2014 at 09:07 AM (#4785943)
So, not only is Zach Duke (!) still in the majors, but he's turned into a very effective reliever. Huh.


He was never a terrible pitcher - he just got murdered by some awful defenses in Pittsburgh, since he was a big BIP guy. Same story as Paul Maholm.
   10. AROM Posted: September 05, 2014 at 09:43 AM (#4785962)
What's surprising about Duke is that he's suddenly turned into a big strikeout guy. Pitching out of the pen will increase strikeout rates, but this is extreme. Plus, he'd been pitching out of the pen most of the time in 2012-2013, and wasn't getting many strikeouts.
   11. Urkel's Boner Posted: September 05, 2014 at 11:31 AM (#4786039)
So, not only is Zach Duke (!) still in the majors, but he's turned into a very effective reliever. Huh.

What's surprising about Duke is that he's suddenly turned into a big strikeout guy. Pitching out of the pen will increase strikeout rates, but this is extreme. Plus, he'd been pitching out of the pen most of the time in 2012-2013, and wasn't getting many strikeouts.


Also worth noting for anyone who hasn't seen him pitch this year that he now is a side-armer.

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