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Thursday, February 02, 2012

CBS Sports: Edwin Jackson agrees to sign with Nationals

According to - who else - Jon Heyman on twitter, the deal is one year, 8-12M.

Edwin Jackson is entering his 10th major-league season, and he’ll do so with his seventh team. He is an agreement with the Washington Nationals, CBSSports.com insider Jon Heyman has learned. The deal is pending a physical.
...
Jackson has been unable to find a permanent home in his career, but he’s always been a productive pitcher. He doesn’t profile as a frontline starter, but Washington doesn’t need him to be one.

Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: February 02, 2012 at 02:59 PM | 57 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: nationals

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   1. Moloka'i Three-Finger Brown (Declino DeShields) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:09 PM (#4052137)
First, they beat Lannan in arbitration. Then, they "aggressively shop" Lannan for a trade. After that, they sign a guy on a short-term deal, presumably to take Lannan's rotation spot. What's next, running over Lannan's dog?

Also: They signed Jackson to a one-year deal? I don't really get why they'd want that.
   2. Forsch 10 From Navarone (Dayn) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:10 PM (#4052138)
Also: They signed him to a one-year? I don't really get that.

Based on recent reports, this seems to be Jackson's preference, as he wants to test the market next year for a longer deal.
   3. Moloka'i Three-Finger Brown (Declino DeShields) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:14 PM (#4052142)
2: I get that. I don't get why the Nats would want him on a one-year deal.
   4. charityslave is thinking about baseball Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:17 PM (#4052145)
Strasburg, Zimmermann, Gio, Jackson, Lannon. Hmmm. Not a bad starting 5. Miami and Washington have really improved. Atlanta and Phillidelphia have just gotten older. This could be a really interesting division. But, jeez, these teams are going to beat the Mets like favela dwelling orphans.
   5. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:19 PM (#4052147)
Reports are the Red Sox are still close to signing Roy Oswalt though!
   6. Matt Clement of Alexandria Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:19 PM (#4052148)
Yeah, I don't get it either.

I'm generally skeptical of "success-cycle" reasoning, both because the cycle doesn't actually exist as an empirical matter, and because most fans would much rather root for a 75-win team than a 65-win team. But the Nats seemed perfectly lined up to do well this year and then throw themselves into the playoff races next year. Spending $10M on a relatively small rotation upgrade ($5M if they can move Lannan), with effects only for 2012 and no further, doesn't seem like a particularly good use of funds. Why not save that money and have it to invest next fall, or if an opportunity to improve the 2013-2014 team comes up?

I guess the idea is that they can get help for the future from a Lannan deal, and this keeps the club in the .500+ range with some shot at a playoff run if everything comes together. Still don't really get it.

Maybe there's a 2013 option that hasn't been reported yet?
   7. Guapo Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:26 PM (#4052154)
Lannan to Boston for Xander Bogaerts! Make it happen.
   8. Walt Davis Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:29 PM (#4052157)
If history has taught us one thing it's that, barring injury, Edwin Jackson is a tradeable chit at the deadline. :-)

I'm not seeing a downside to Jackson on 1/$10 or thereabouts. He significantly improves their chances of finishing over 500 for the first time (not a small deal) with at least an outside shot at a wild card (especially if there are 2). If he pitches well and you decide you want to keep him, then you have an exclusive window to discuss an extension or try to sign him in the offseason. If the season doesn't go great, you can trade him. We're near the point in the offseason where the money is either going to be spent on the 25-man roster or go in the onwers' pockets.

Why not save that money and have it to invest next fall

What do you have in mind here?

   9. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:30 PM (#4052158)
I don't get why the Nats would want him on a one-year deal.


Perhaps they want to appeal to African-American fans, plus this gives the team a better chance of winning now. While they won't win the division, they could possibly compete for the second Wild Card (which I think will be implemented this year) and finally give the fans something to get excited about and build for the future when Harper-Mania begins. Plus if Jackson pitches well maybe they lock him up with an extension - I can't imagine EJax will be thrilled going onto a market with Greinke, Hamels, Cain, etc.
   10. Moloka'i Three-Finger Brown (Declino DeShields) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:34 PM (#4052162)
9: All fair points, especially the possibility of the second wild card. Still seems a little far-fetched for the Nats this year, but I hadn't thought of it.
   11. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:36 PM (#4052164)
Seems a no brainer to me. With Strasburg limited and Zimmerman still young, the depth makes tons of sense. They're good enough to have a real shot at contention.

Washington has plenty of money.


Boston should have been all over this, even going to 1/15. A one year deal doesn't affect the luxury tax cap/revenue sharing stuff to come.
   12. Dock Ellis on Acid Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:37 PM (#4052166)
I don't get why Edwin Jackson would go for a one-year deal. I just feel like he could go Ollie Perez any year now, except Ollie got paid.
   13. Jose Can You Seabiscuit Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:39 PM (#4052167)
I guess the idea is that they can get help for the future from a Lannan deal, and this keeps the club in the .500+ range with some shot at a playoff run if everything comes together. Still don't really get it.


I think owners/GMs generally have the idea that if you sign a player this year you have a better shot of signing him for future years. There probably isn't any truth to it but I can see the Nats thinking "hey, he has a good year, enjoys it here, maybe we can sign him long term next winter."
   14. CWS Keith plans to boo your show at the Apollo Posted: February 02, 2012 at 03:59 PM (#4052179)
Maybe there's a 2013 option that hasn't been reported yet?

Isn't the free-agent compensation cut-off for next offseason something like $12.5 million? Provided Jackson puts up his usual 3 WAR(ish) season, offering him arbitration at the above figure seems more than reasonable.

Perhaps they want to appeal to African-American fans, plus this gives the team a better chance of winning now.

Is there any reason to think signing Edwin Jackson -- not a star nor an extraordinary personality -- is going to draw a disproportionate amount of African Americans than otherwise? That strikes me as back-of-the-pants analysis and rather silly. Seems to me the simpler explanation is that 1/$10 for 200 innings and a league average ERA is good value for a fringe playoff contender.
   15. TerpNats Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:06 PM (#4052186)
I don't get why the Nats would want him on a one-year deal.

Perhaps they want to appeal to African-American fans, plus this gives the team a better chance of winning now.
Yeah, I'm sure that was why the Senators used Bennie Daniels to pitch the first baseball game at D.C. Stadium...

Stars are what draw fans, and Jackson isn't one. He is, however, a solid back of the rotation guy who gives you innings and lightens the load on your bullpen (in other words, a younger version of Livan Hernandez). This makes a good rotation even stronger; another smart move by Rizzo.
   16. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:12 PM (#4052187)
That strikes me as back-of-the-pants analysis and rather silly


But I, like Smitty, hate pants!

I'm not saying I believe it, but I can believe Washington management believes it. I don't think it was the primary factor, but it was probably a factor.
   17. Avoid running at all times.-S. Paige Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:13 PM (#4052188)
I don't get why Edwin Jackson would go for a one-year deal. I just feel like he could go Ollie Perez any year now, except Ollie got paid.


I'm not sure I agree with the Ollie Perez thing, but I'm pretty surprised Jackson and Boras didn't push for a multi-year deal since next year's crop of free agent starting pitchers is probably going to be better, and Jackson is good enough and consistent enough to warrant a multi-year deal now.
   18. DL from MN Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:25 PM (#4052198)
Jackson will be a good bet to draw the free agent "tender" price if he stays with the Nationals. If he is traded then he might end up on a playoff team and get to show off in October.
   19. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:33 PM (#4052202)
This seems crazy on Jackson's part. He apparently had a couple of 3 year deals on the table, and even if they were only $7-8M per year, that's still a much bigger chunk of cash. We often talk about the marginal differences a few million can have on your lifestyle when you're talking about $150 vs. $180 million, but $24 million is a LOT different than $10-12. Jackson could easily blow out his arm this year and never get another payday, so he's taking a huge risk.
   20. birdlives is one crazy ninja Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:36 PM (#4052206)
I'm pretty surprised Jackson and Boras didn't push for a multi-year deal since next year's crop of free agent starting pitchers is probably going to be better, and Jackson is good enough and consistent enough to warrant a multi-year deal now.

Boras was looking for a AJ Burnett contract for Jackson. I remember reading that he had several 3 years offers on the table, but they weren't enough. I don't think his bargaining position will improve much next year but maybe Boras will work his magic.
   21. Lonnie Smith for president Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:39 PM (#4052210)
More importantly, by choosing the Nationals Jackson will be playing for his 7th different team -- and at the tender age of 28. More than halfway to Mike Morgan already!
   22. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:46 PM (#4052216)
This seems crazy on Jackson's part. He apparently had a couple of 3 year deals on the table, and even if they were only $7-8M per year, that's still a much bigger chunk of cash. We often talk about the marginal differences a few million can have on your lifestyle when you're talking about $150 vs. $180 million, but $24 million is a LOT different than $10-12. Jackson could easily blow out his arm this year and never get another payday, so he's taking a huge risk.

Really?

He's made enough that he's set for life anyway ($16.3M per BRef plus this deal).

So, if he thinks he can get 3/36 next year, and is offered 3/24 or 1/12, he's risking $12M (minus whatever few million he'd earn on rehab deals) for an $8M upside.

Seems close to a 50:50 risk. I don't think there's a 50% chance of a major injury.
   23. Jose Can You Seabiscuit Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:55 PM (#4052220)
So, if he thinks he can get 3/36 next year, and is offered 3/24 or 1/12, he's risking $12M (minus whatever few million he'd earn on rehab deals) for an $8M upside.


I think he's thinking bigger than that. I think in his mind if he has a good year he can get the 4-5 year deal he/Boras was supposedly asking for this year. I'm with you though, I think this makes more sense than a 1 year deal. The only way a 1 year deal hurts him is if he does get hurt and I'm sure he is not expecting that and the fact that he signed such a deal is a sign that he probably feels healthy at the moment.
   24. AROM Posted: February 02, 2012 at 04:58 PM (#4052221)
Is there any reason to think signing Edwin Jackson -- not a star nor an extraordinary personality -- is going to draw a disproportionate amount of African Americans than otherwise?


Count me as confused. I thought he was German.
   25. Matt Waters Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:01 PM (#4052222)
Strasburg, Zimmermann, Gio, Jackson, Lannon. Hmmm. Not a bad starting 5.


Don't forget Wang, too, who shocked me by actually being relatively effective despite missing two years. The National League East is going to be very tough this season. It's appearing pretty dire at this point for the Mets, but I really think the Braves need to be looking over their shoulders, as well. They have solid pitching depth, but Heyward needs to rediscover his swing and stay healthy for that offense to be reliable. The Marlins and Nats are two very interesting teams. Davey Johnson and Ozzie Guillen managing. Strasburg and Josh Johnson trying to stay healthy, Gio Gonzalez and Carlos Zambrano on new teams (not that Gonzalez has a poor attitude, but his pitching style is volatile) Harper and Stanton. Fascinating players.
   26. Lassus Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:05 PM (#4052225)
is going to draw a disproportionate amount of African Americans than otherwise?

Disproportionate? No. Some amount > 0? Sure.
   27. Derb Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:15 PM (#4052228)
Hmmm... they're shopping Lannan now. Lannan to the Tigers for Delmon Young? They still wouldn't have a centerfielder, but you can do worse offensively than Young and Werth on the corners. And adding Lannan would give the Tigers a very solid rotation, 1-5.
   28. Guapo Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:17 PM (#4052229)
They still wouldn't have a centerfielder, but you can do worse offensively than Young and Werth on the corners.


Mike Morse is the Nats' LF, with Adam LaRoche returning from injury to play 1B. So Young isn't a fit. (However fondly Nats fans remember his brother.)
   29. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:19 PM (#4052231)
Count me as confused. I thought he was German.


He was born in W Germany. Just reinforces the potential absurdity of the term 'African American'.
   30. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:26 PM (#4052234)
He was born in W Germany. Just reinforces the potential absurdity of the term 'African American'.

There was a lawsuit a few years ago by a student at UMDNJ in NJ that was harasses and suspended for describing himself as "white African American". He was an immigrant from Mozambique, so was literally African and American.
   31. CWS Keith plans to boo your show at the Apollo Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:34 PM (#4052238)
Disproportionate? No. Some amount > 0? Sure.

Well, seeing that "some amount > 0" could be, well, one additional person, it's tough to argue with that. Still, I'd bet the amount of people coming out to see Jackson specifically because he's black is negligible.

He was born in W Germany. Just reinforces the potential absurdity of the term 'African American'.

Yeah -- I regret initially going with that term.
   32. Vaux, A.B.D. Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:45 PM (#4052249)
This is one of those "born on an air force base" kind of situations, though, yes? He's as American as anyone.
   33. DL from MN Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:49 PM (#4052251)
Delmon makes more than Lannan and they could just sign Johnny Damon if they wanted a leftfielder the caliber of Delmon.
   34. TerpNats Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:49 PM (#4052255)
There was a lawsuit a few years ago by a student at UMDNJ in NJ that was harasses and suspended for describing himself as "white African American". He was an immigrant from Mozambique, so was literally African and American.
Couldn't Teresa Heinz Kerry describe herself that way, too? (Then again, Jackson could technically call himself "African-German," which would inspire yet another Hitler YouTube rant.)
   35. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:53 PM (#4052256)

This is one of those "born on an air force base" kind of situations, though, yes? He's as American as anyone.


Luke Scott doesn't believe it til he sees some documentation.
   36. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 05:58 PM (#4052260)
Couldn't Teresa Heinz Kerry describe herself that way, too?

Was she born in Africa? If so, then yes.
   37. Curse of the Andino Posted: February 02, 2012 at 07:49 PM (#4052327)
Nats probably see a DC Sports Scene where the Redskins are awful, the Bullets (Wizards) historically awful, Caps I guess decent but limited fan base, and a whole bunch of folks (Federal Employees, Contractors, Great Falls Carpetbaggers), who are looking at paycuts next year whoever wins the White House. If there's an opportunity to improve this year, might as well take it.
   38. Dale Sams Posted: February 02, 2012 at 07:58 PM (#4052335)
There was a lawsuit a few years ago by a student at UMDNJ in NJ that was harasses and suspended for describing himself as "white African American". He was an immigrant from Mozambique, so was literally African and American.


And here Charlize Theron can joke about it and everyone laughs.
   39. SG Posted: February 02, 2012 at 08:01 PM (#4052336)
If history has taught us one thing it's that, barring injury, Edwin Jackson is a tradeable chit at the deadline. :-)


Makes sense to me. See if you're in contention at the All Star Break, if not, shop Jackson around to the teams that are and see if you can get your next CF or SS out of it.

The Nats looked like about an 82 win team to me before this signing, which means they'd probably project in the 72-92 win range. If Jackson makes them more like an 85 win team, now they're looking at 75-95. It's not too tough to see a few things breaking right and them getting into the postseason.

The worst case scenario here is Jackson either stinks or gets hurt. If that happens, they may not be able to trade him but they aren't tied into him long-term.

I don't see any downside here, especially since they seem to have the money to afford him.
   40. Something Other Posted: February 02, 2012 at 08:38 PM (#4052349)
I'm not seeing a downside to Jackson on 1/$10 or thereabouts. He significantly improves their chances of finishing over 500 for the first time (not a small deal) with at least an outside shot at a wild card (especially if there are 2). If he pitches well and you decide you want to keep him, then you have an exclusive window to discuss an extension or try to sign him in the offseason. If the season doesn't go great, you can trade him. We're near the point in the offseason where the money is either going to be spent on the 25-man roster or go in the onwers' pockets.
Yup. This is a team the owner of which seems almost desperate to be at least respectable. The Werth contract told us that, loudly.

The Nats are a few games better, have a tradable player who might be encouraged to stay if he enjoys his time with Washington, and this won't hurt them next offseason when it's time to signing more free agents. Two seasons ago the Nats were something of a joke. I don't think anyone thinks of them that way, now, and the Jackson signing is a small but useful part of that.

If the Mets get rid of the Wilpons the next owner and GM are going to have to work hard to shed the joke label. It won't be easy, and it will probably add to both the cost and time it's going to take to get the Mets back into contention.
   41. Jim Wisinski Posted: February 02, 2012 at 08:45 PM (#4052351)
They still wouldn't have a centerfielder, but you can do worse offensively than Young and Werth on the corners.


You can have worse happen than getting punched in the nuts (for instance, getting punched in the nuts twice) but that doesn't mean the original outcome is desirable. Young is a lousy offensive player for his position while also being garbage defensively
   42. The cushions are crowded for Edmundo Posted: February 02, 2012 at 09:52 PM (#4052392)
Couldn't Teresa Heinz Kerry describe herself that way, too?

Wouldn't she be a white American-African though?
   43. sister cristian guzman Posted: February 02, 2012 at 10:20 PM (#4052406)
Strasburg and Wang will both be on inning limits, Zimmermann is one year removed from TJ, and Gonzalez is facing a completely new set of hitters for the first time. Adding a 28 year old who will almost certainly provide 200 innings of ~4.00 ERA pitching to the mix is anything but a head-scratcher. Getting him on a one yr, $10M-ish deal, when he might reasonably have been expected to command 4-5 yrs and $50-60M just a few months ago, is team-friendly icing on the cake.

Strasburg, Zimmermann, and Gonzalez are locked up for the foreseeable future, but Jackson and Wang are both on one year deals. I expect Mike Rizzo to treat this year as an audition, and offer a multi-year deal to whichever one he likes better, or dip back into next year's impressive FA pitching class. Not a strategy guaranteed to work, but it's hard to see any real downside for the team.

If this does mean the end of Lannan's time in DC that will be a shame. He became a fan favorite for consistently pitching above his stuff and his peripherals (and for breaking Chase Utley's hand).
   44. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 10:20 PM (#4052408)
Wouldn't she be a white American-African though?

We say Asian-American don't we?
   45. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 02, 2012 at 11:05 PM (#4052434)
We say Asian-American don't we?

Not for Bruce Chen!
   46. OsunaSakata Posted: February 03, 2012 at 08:03 AM (#4052606)
We say Asian-American don't we?

Not for Bruce Chen!


You can if you assume American applies to the entire Western Hempisphere.
   47. WhoWantsTeixeiraDessert Posted: February 03, 2012 at 09:16 AM (#4052617)
The Nats also are continuing to develop pitchers for those two spots. Detwiler is out of options, and had a decent (if coddled by extra rest) run as a starter/reliever last year, and if Purke's shoulder is ok, he'll be moving along quickly. I'm worried about Solis' elbow, he'd be another hard-throwing lefty who could challenge for a spot with his stuff. Even with that, Greinke said nice things about the club, I would imagine he'd be a big target for them.

Wang is looking like insurance against not landing any better pitchers in the offseason, but didn't it seem like 4 million was a bargain contract for him a few months ago? I don't think there'll be any limit on his innings beyond how effective he actually is, there's no reason to protect him, and he's going to want to pitch as much as possible to get a better contract next year.
   48. YR Denies Jesus Montero Posted: February 03, 2012 at 10:28 AM (#4052674)
We say Asian-American don't we?


Is "coolie" no longer acceptable? We can at least still use "chinaman", right?
   49. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 11:27 AM (#4052744)
We say Asian-American don't we?


Do we? Serious question. I don't think I have ever used or heard the term directly (verbally spoken directly to me). I am sure I have read it or heard it used on the news or something but not nearly to the extent that African-American is used. Think of all the Hmong in the US. They are typically referenced as 'Hmong', not Asian-American or Hmong-American.
   50. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 11:32 AM (#4052746)
Do we? Serious question. I don't think I have ever used or heard the term directly (verbally spoken directly to me). I am sure I have read it or heard it used on the news or something but not nearly to the extent that African-American is used. Think of all the Hmong in the US. They are typically referenced as 'Hmong', not Asian-American or Hmong-American.

I thought that was the preferred term if referring to what used to be called "orientals" in general. Japanese-American, Chiness-American if you're specifying nationality. Just like Italian-American.
   51. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 11:57 AM (#4052786)

I thought that was the preferred term if referring to what used to be called "orientals" in general. Japanese-American, Chiness-American if you're specifying nationality. Just like Italian-American.


And again, I question whether the 'American' ever makes it on to those terms. I hear them as Japanese, Chinese, Italian. I have never once heard a someone describe themselves as Italian-American, it's always just 'Italian' (and I went to school outside of Philly, with a lot of stereotypical Jersey Shore guidos).
   52. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 12:06 PM (#4052797)
Asian-American seems to only refer to second-generation. The first-generation still seems to go by their homeland. People from that country don't think they're from "Asia", they think they're from Korea or China or Thailand. The second generation see themselves as more American. Second generation Korean-Americans will feel they have more in common with second generation Japanese-Americans than they do with Koreans.
   53. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 12:16 PM (#4052812)
Second generation Korean-Americans will feel they have more in common with second generation Japanese-Americans than they do with Koreans.


Oh, I do not doubt a 2nd generation Korean-American considers him or herself an American, but when describing their ethnicity I bet they say they are Korean, or if a broader term was needed, they would resort to Asian.
   54. Random Transaction Generator Posted: February 03, 2012 at 12:20 PM (#4052819)
I have never once heard a someone describe themselves as Italian-American, it's always just 'Italian' (and I went to school outside of Philly, with a lot of stereotypical Jersey Shore guidos).


Does it have to have a hyphen in it?
   55. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 12:22 PM (#4052823)
And again, I question whether the 'American' ever makes it on to those terms. I hear them as Japanese, Chinese, Italian. I have never once heard a someone describe themselves as Italian-American, it's always just 'Italian' (and I went to school outside of Philly, with a lot of stereotypical Jersey Shore guidos).

Well, we're referring to the PC terms used officially. Most people just say black, not African-American.
   56. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 12:36 PM (#4052841)
#54 -

I don't think I have ever used or heard the term directly (verbally spoken directly to me)I am sure I have read it or heard it used on the news...


Well, we're referring to the PC terms used officially. Most people just say black, not African-American.

And my question is why African-American still has heavy common usage whereas Asian-American does not.
   57. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 03, 2012 at 12:36 PM (#4052842)

Oh, I do not doubt a 2nd generation Korean-American considers him or herself an American, but when describing their ethnicity I bet they say they are Korean, or if a broader term was needed, they would resort to Asian.


If someone asks what I am, I say "Korean-American." If someone asks what my ethnicity is, I say "Korean." Korean-American is not an ethnicity, is it? I certainly wouldn't say I'm Korean. I've been to Korea once in my life.

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