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1. Gern Blanston Posted: November 26, 2012 at 07:16 PM (#4310059)I was thinking about it the other day because a guy on my baseball team hit a home run on a ball that bounced about six inches infront of the plate. Granted our fences are under 300 feet, but it was still impressive. He comes from a cricket background though so he didn't think it was a big deal.
10:00 - show up at park
10:30 - finish coffee, reading newspaper, Twitter feeds, etc.
11:00 - walk over to hitters' meeting
11:30 - get up to address hitters
11:31 - "Swing as hard as you can, all the time"
11:32 - go watch soaps
1:20 - sit on bench with Sveum
One guy is the swing away guy, and one guy does bunts and other "special" situations?
Does one guy work with some people, the other guy with other people?
Does Deer, in this situation, parrot Rowson's style? What if he disagrees?
So maybe one is focusing on the skills drills: helping with their timing, hand-eye coordination, batting cage, etc. And the other is going through stats and video compilations of the hitter, as well as the opposing team's pitchers, and developing strategies that help to maximize those skills. While in the past a team might have a video coordinator handle some of the latter, maybe they're finding that a former player can translate the video into something useful for current players better than a videotape jockey can.
If only Carlos Zambrano and Michael Barrett were still on the team.
Maybe Rob Deer *will* preach the exact opposite approach from his playing days. Jays hitting coach of the last 3 years, Dwayne Murphy sure has. He of the .246/.356/.402 career average over 12 years, has been fond of saying things like this:
“I think on-base percentage is an overrated stat. Those guys getting on base, most of them aren’t getting them in. Give me somebody who drives them in after that. I need guys who can drive the ball.”
He was replaced today by Chad Mottola, and moved to 1B coach.
hmmm--think carefully about what you just said, Dwayne...
Send your resumes to the Cubs today, guys! If they'll hire Deer as a pitching coach they'll hire ANYBODY,
Where was he the previous two years?
Well, yeah, I guess so.
In 1994, he put up a line of .151/.279/.297 in 70 games for the Hanshin Tigers. Eight home runs and 76 strikeouts in 192 AB (ouch!). He spent all of 1995 in the PCL, hitting .290/.382/.571 with 18 home runs, in 89 games with Vancouver and Las Vegas.
I thought you had to memorise Moneyball to even be allowed to know the secret of how to calculate slugging percentage, nevermind post here?
It was mentioned in the intro, but does no one remember the RDFC?
there are a lot of folks in this thread who apparently missed context 101 class.
and while it's not germane to his offense rob deer was a decent all around player. he was a solid outfielder who regularly challenged walls, could throw with anybody and ran the bases well. his negatives were that he struck out a lot and about once a month would airmail a throw over home plate or third base. while with the brewers he was often considered the best athlete on the team and this was on a squad with paul molitor and robin yount
1) Is a strong communicator and teacher; and
2) Was good enough to stick around for a good length of time as a player, but
3) had to work at it in order to stay good enough to play; and
4) wasn't so good that he had natural ability to carry him to a legit career.
If you don't have #1, I don't think you can be an effective coach, long-term. If you're Ken Griffey, I have to believe there would be moments where you'd be like, "I don't know, you just turn on an inside fastball, that's why!", and then the pupil sits there, going, "Easy for you to say, Ken ####ing Griffey, Junior!".
I guy like Dave Magadan, who left the Red Sox recently to go to the Rangers, strikes me as a guy who probably had to stay on top his own game in order to stick around as long as he did. Ozzie Smith, ironically, would probably be a heck of a hitting coach, in that he is as good an example of somebody who made himself into a very effective offensive player over many years. I mean, look at his stats his first few years in San Diego - just dreadful. By the late 1980s, he was a far better hitter. Of course, your team's shortstop would be like, "Just go to the backhand - easy for you to say, Ozzie ####ing Smith!"
So what you're saying Harvey is that he was the white Bo Jackson?
rob certainly had a lot of 'moments' in milwaukee. his home run against texas to tie the game on easter sunday in 1987 is the most famous. as background the brewers had won 12 in a row but were trailing 4-1 in the bottom of the 9th aginst the rangers but after two guys get on base and mitch williams gets cooper the rangers bring in greg harris to face deer since deer was known to crush lefties. a week earlier valentine had williams intentionally walk deer in texas to avoid the same matchup
harris hung a curve and deer crushed it about 440 feet into the left field bleachers. sveum's 2 run homer later in the inning was almost lost in the din that was still being raised at the deer blast
i can think of about another five rob deer highlights without trying and i suspect that goes for most brewer fans
I remember Gary Matthews tenure as hitting coach -- Matthews pedigree as a hitter was precisely what you'd like... pretty good eye/BB rate, decent power, all-around fine hitter. He was the first Cubs hitting coach I was excited about.... he was the roving minor league hitting instructor in the late 90s and then Dusty's hitting coach from 2003 to 2006....
His big league tenure with the Cubs saw only veteran imports have any success -- while all the Cubs' kids of the era; Choi, Patterson, Kelton, Dubois, Murton, Pagan, Cedeno either scuffled into obscurity or found more success after leaving the organization.
Meanwhile, his minor league roving hitting instructor tenure in the late 90s is a wasteland of "never made its" -- including the aforementioned Kelton and Patterson, there was also Brooks Kieschnick, Pat Cline, Jaisen Randolph, Kevin Orie, among a few others.
Again - when you look at Sarge's career line, you see someone you'd want to clone as a hitter... but he was an absolutely dreadful hitting instructor.
Deer may suck, too -- but I'm not in any way, shape, or form using his career slash line as a guidepost...
How do you judge their results?
It seems like just using team stats before/after would be next to meaningless -- I'm pretty sure Barry Bonds ends up as one of the best hitters of all time even if he had spent his entire career under my tutelage as a hitting coach, while I feel relatively certain that even god can't make Neifi Perez into A-Rod (or even Edgar Renteria).
I would imagine that you'd want to weight player impacts by age/experience -- I cited Sarge above as a miserable failure, but Derrek Lee, of course - put up a career year in 2005 while he was hitting coach... Maybe Matthews gets some credit for that - but Lee was a fine hitter, it was his age 29 season, and his 2nd in a better hitters park than he played in down in Florida.
As a rough outline, I guess I'd look at players in three categories:
1) Experienced veterans that play regularly - i.e., any player that would be expected to get 600 PAs regardless
2) Veterans with high variance -- i.e., the Angel Pagan types who bounce around for a while before finally 'clicking'
3) Kids
Ted Williams was a great hitter and did have some ability to pass knowledge along. Actual demonstrated skill might not be that significant a variable. You could have guys hitting .330 and guys hitting .210 that both know what they need to do to maximize performance, with different result levels.
It would be good to see that, and I expect that the null hypothesis of zero effect will be tough to reject.
memorise Moneyballknow how to spell Scott Hatteberg's name to even be allowed to know the secret of how to calculate slugging percentage, nevermind post here?Sorry #25, you're out.
Of course I remember the Cult of The Deer. Pretty much anybody who was an RSB alum would.
As a side note, the first mention of Deer (as an intriguing prospect) coincides with (as far as I know) James' fist mention of "batting average when not striking out".
Thus outing "Walt Davis" as Bill James.
It's an interesting question. There's nobody with Ted Williams' record for short term success. The number of players who had a career year within a year or two of working with him is amazing.
But I can't think of anybody who sustained that improvement over the long haul.
NL League average was 1238. Cubs struck out 1235 times. Not walking was quite the problem for the Cubs last year.
Nah, I'm just animated.
I think I stole it from the famed Rich Lederer who was using it for a different purpose. Not that it's exactly a stroke of genius.
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