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1. meatwad Posted: July 31, 2010 at 06:42 PM (#3604888)Ned Colletti single handily destroyed any 3B/C depth we had in 3 years.
This trade gives the Cubs about 25 to 30 million dollars to play with next year if they wish to keep the same payroll as they have this year. That is a lot of money for Hendry to play with. I think the last time he had this much to play with he went hogwild and got Soriano, Dempster, Lilly, and Marquis.
But the two prospects aren't all that exciting. Whatever promise Wallach has, he's still in low-A and just cracked 100 professional innings. So he's obviously a long way away. Smit's a bit farther along and was having a really good year in high-A so far, so we'll see how he does in AA (I assume he's going to Tennessee, anway).
At any rate, it seems to me that Lilly accepting arbitration would have been just about the best-case scenario for the Cubs. Lilly on a one-year deal next year is a really attractive proposition unless the price is really absurd, and I don't think there was much risk in that. But that probably wasn't going to happen, and the Theriot-DeWitt swap is clearly an upgrade, so I'm OK with the deal overall.
The DeWitt-Theriot part of this deal makes it clear that Hendry wanted DeWitt -- not a great sign given DeWitt is about as uninteresting a player as imaginable. I'd certainly have rather had a prospect or even keep Theriot if it meant 2 better prospects than what we got. Wallach is an interesting looking prospect.
McCoy's attempt to turn this into some clever bit of money-saving is weak. Theriot only costs you money next year if you tender him a contract. Late 1st round and supplementary picks don't cost squat in terms of signing bonuses. Thirdly, there are no useful FA to spend money on this offseason unless you think the Cubs are going to land Lee (why?) or Dunn (possible). Finally, the Cubs are a very bad team and $20 M doesn't fix it.
It's also entertaining that yesterday McCoy had the Cubs with only $20 M to spend this offseason; now they clear an extra $2.5 M and they have $25-30 M to spend.
Guessing now, Hendry's offseason spending spree will be Konerko, Rhodes and at least one of Guerrier, Rauch, Putz, Balfour.
But you have to pay someone to play 2B. DeWitt is not a very good player, but he has some upside, and he's a cheap version of what the Cubs would otherwise be fielding. Not that your point isn't valid, that it doesn't matter how much money the Cubs have available next year.
But overall, the Cubs turned a couple of useless things into some interesting things. That's all you can ask for. It's pretty clear that there wasn't much interest in Lilly, and to dump Theriot as well makes it a definite positive.
Yep, and the Cubs probably weren't going to tender Theriot a contract.
Instead they traded him for a guy who's six years younger, a better hitter, a better defender at 2B or 3B than Theriot is at this point, and is four years from free agency.
I can see how some people would consider this disappointing. But I didn't think you were a Dodgers fan.
You've forgotten Ryan Theriot already? The only thing "interesting" about him was that his name spelled "The Riot". To me, it makes the most sense to break this into two trades: DeWitt for Theriot is a clear win for the Cubs, who got the cheaper, better player. The $2.5 million the Cubs are sending probably fits best here and probably balances that part of the trade out a bit more. Lilly for two prospects then boils down to whether these two specific guys are better than what the Cubs could have gotten with the compensation picks if they lost Lilly at the end of the season. I have absolutely no basis for judging that at all. Slight win for the Cubs, I guess.
I'm not suggesting that they should have kept that roster, which would be pretty bad now, but that just seemed like a lot of turnover in a very short time.
Non-tendering starters is generally something that happens on really bad teams. The Cubs haven't been this bad in a long time. Did they non-tender Juan Pierre? Fred McGriff? For the most part, non-tendering a starter means not offering arbitration and thus letting them loose to free agency.
The point is that the Cubs were to pick up a 2B next year as good or better than DeWitt, it's likely it would cost them a lot more money. Maybe the sort of money Theriot is going to get.
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