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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Tuesday, July 11, 2006
Rod Nelson sent this to the SABR-L list. John Klima takes a thought-provoking look at the decline in the number of African-Americans who are playing baseball, and offers this possible explanation:
The last great generation of black stars, players such as Eric Davis and Darryl Strawberry, who entered the game in the late 1970s and early ‘80s, were players signed on the basis of how they played in high school and in sandlot games. That structure has now been replaced by an expansive system of travel baseball, an expensive undertaking that has prohibited many African-American kids from playing.
and
While the game trumps the arrival of young stars like Delmon Young and Lastings Milledge, it fails to mention that baseball attracts only the African-American players with enough affluence to support an amateur baseball career.
That explanation makes sense to me. There has been an explosion in travel ball and in the number of summer showcases over the past 5-10 years, and the showcases represent a fast - and relatively inexpensive - way to scout talent, both for the major league teams and for the colleges. If the inner-city African-American kid can’t afford to play travel ball or attend a showcase, well - that’s his tough luck (or as my Dad used to say, el tougho).
Also (thanks to Cris E):
St Paul Pioneer Press: The Changing Face of the Game—Baseball’s Blackout: Part 1
Part 2
Part 3
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1. John Walsh Posted: July 11, 2006 at 02:14 PM (#2095225)Insanity, with a touch of stupidity, a dash of parental negligence topped with arrogance and petulance.
I know Frank Robinson feels strongly about this, too, and I would hope that assuming he stops managing the Nationals after this season, he'll work to help build youth baseball in the District, Prince George's County, and other parts of the metro area with large black populations where baseball interest is lagging. I believe as part of the stadium agreement with D.C., MLB is going to establish an Urban Academy here. It's a good investment, not just for the sport on the field, but at the gate as well. You can't succeed in marketing MLB if a significant minority population shows little or no interest.
Here's an example to add to Levski's.
-- MWE
Two points:
1. It doesn't cost nearly as much to outfit a basketball team as it does to outfit a baseball team.
2. It's a lot easier to funnel "street money" into summer basketball (although not as easy as it used to be).
-- MWE
Hmmmm if this is true...and i'm not 100% sold on it..sounds like it would be a great place for some underresourced teams to spend some scouting money. It has to be cheaper to scout inner-city players in the US then going international?
Google All Related -- The Changing Face of the Game
But if they aren't playing then you have to teach them baseball before you can scout them. That's the point of the Academy and the programs that MLB and others are starting to push.
ah well..guess i should RTFA. My impression from the intro was that scouts were bypassing inner-city kids because they weren't on these travel ball teams. Not simply because they weren't playing...
From the LL Web site: In 1996, there were 7452 leagues "officially" affiliated with Little League, with 2,589,045 participants. By 2004, the figure had dropped to 7139 "official" affiliated leagues and 2,301,330 participants. In 2005, the number of leagues jumped back up to 7408, but the number of participants dropped further, to 2,281,725 (the lowest figure since 1991). The 2006 tentative figure shows a slight increase to 2,294,910 (it'll probably go back above 2.3 million when everything is finalized). Note that this is also LL "worldwide" - the figures are not broken out by US and non-US - and that from what I can tell, interest in LL is growing overseas (especially in Europe), so my guess is that if you were to split out US and non-US participation the figures would show an even steeper decline in US participation. LL also made a change in the age determination date this year, which they admit might have allowed some 12-year olds an extra year in the program.
What I have seen is that the number of "local" opportunities for players to play is getting smaller at the same time that travel teams are growing, making it only natural for kids as young as 10 to move toward travel ball. And travel baseball is not anywhere close to being as well-subsidized as travel basketball (for a number of reasons, most notably that baseball requires a bigger up-front investment), so kids have to pay their own way much more.
-- MWE
Extending on my comment in #14:
The reason that inner-city kids aren't playing is IMO two-fold:
1. They're essentially locked out of travel ball because they can't pay the price to get in;
2. There are few, or no, other opportunities available to them to play anywhere else.
-- MWE
If you want to get all Big Picture about it, I'd say that I learned to play from the other kids on our block and from my father. We played in the street and at the park, and we had equipment around. My kids (6 and 8) play with me in the yard and in organized games during the season, but not at the park, not in the street, and not with borrowed equipment, nor do their friends play the game. On the other hand, yesterday was the first time my son brought his glove to his buddy's house, so there may be hope...
Links are now posted in the header. Excellent read. (Cris, I closed the separate entry to keep the comments in one thread.)
-- MWE
Most of the professional baseball players of today stopped playing Little League well before 1996 so this really isn't the issue.
You are probably right that travel ball makes participation difficult for poor kids and since blacks are disproportionaly poor that it is harmful to their chances. But talent is talent. Most high schools, be they inner city* or otherwise still have baseball programs. Talented athletes stick out no matter where they're playing and by whom they are coached. I think that this would be an exploitable market inefficiency that would not last long.
I just think that baseball is not as popular with American youth as it once was and this is the first place that we are noticing.
* Where is the "inner city" located? Is that just where black people live? I don't want to pick on anybody because it is a commonly used term. But isn't it always meant to mean the place where poor blacks live?
Well, yes and no. From what I can tell, LL's explosive growth period from 1985 (when they went over 2 million participants for the first time) to 1995 was primarily outside the US. LL was pretty stagnant in the 60s and early 70s, until the foreign half of the LLWS bracket was opened up. (For a long time, only one non-US team was invited to compete in the LL WS.)
High school programs are being cut back, too - and there are other complicating factors. From the Pioneer Press article linked in the header:
(emphasis added by me)
Klima also notes:
There are two issues there, and while the second one is probably bigger, the first one - skill development - is also a consideration that shouldn't be downplayed. An elite college or juco team (as Klima indicates elsewhere in the article) is not inclined to take on a raw, undeveloped talent, especially one who might need a lot of off-the-field training as well as on-the-field training.
Add in the increasing pressure to specialize in a sport early (which the Pioneer Press article mentions in passing), and you get the situation which we now have. It's not something that developed overnight, and it's not something that will be fixed overnight.
-- MWE
2.Why does it need to be "fixed"? The article doesn't suggest MLB is discriminating; there just aren't as many black amateur prospects. Does the NBA sit around wondering how to convince white 10-year olds to play basketball?
3. I'm not saying anything in the article is wrong, but isn't it rather a big omission to ignore that there's been a vast expansion in Latin talent in MLB? By definition, if the participation rate of one group goes up, the participation rate of other groups must go down.
MLB (or at least Chairman Bud) seems to think that it does, portions of the African-American community seem to think that way, and some ballplayers - notably Torii Hunter (see Part 2 of the Pioneer Press series) - seem to think that it does. At least they think that more opportunities need to be made available. Right now, I think the question is whether the opportunity is there; I don't think we're at a point where we can legitimately say, "well, the opportunities are there, but the A-A players just don't want to take advantage of them".
Yes. But is the expansion in Latin talent a cause of, or a result of, the decrease in available African-American talent? IOW, are teams going after Latin talent (which isn't exactly a cheap operation, either) because there isn't enough US talent to go around, or are they systematically downscaling their efforts in the States because there is so much talent available elsewhere?
I will say that Latin talent is attractive in part because there's a lower age restriction on the signing of said talent (as well as no draft). You can sign 16-YO and 17-YO players in the DR and VZ and stash them on your DSL/VSL team for a year or two, under your control and tutelage, rather than having said players outside your control and asking for huge money to boot.
-- MWE
An American City Academy? I never understood why MLB teams didn't have youth teams in addition to their minor leagues? The Europeans do that with soccer players.
Whereas money spent in a Latin country can provide a direct return.
... and which is why, in turn:
1. The Yankees and Red Sox spent beaucoup bucks this year signing a boatload of players from outside the US, and
2. Chairman Bud and his minions want a worldwide draft.
-- MWE
That wouldn't really solve the problem, would it? There's still no incentive to do try to develop U.S. youth talent. In fact, there's less incentive then to develop world youth talent. If there's a worldwide draft, look for individual teams to shutter their Latin American academies.
I wonder how much the draft in general has worked to hurt talent development here in the U.S.
However, just because this is happening now doesn't mean that it will always be so. Some smart team will, or at least should, take advantage of this. Isn't this sort of thing what Moneyball was about (or at least the non-Joe Morgan version).
I think basketball shows the latter to be true. There's no dearth of domestic BBal talent available, and yet more and more the NBA draft consists of white Europeans.
2. Chairman Bud and his minions want a worldwide draft.
I think that's merely to depress salaries.
I wonder how much the draft in general has worked to hurt talent development here in the U.S."
I doubt its hurt it at all. Maybe alot of this has more to do with changing times and booming suburbs but look at youth talent development in the US right now. There are 1000s of highly competivtive and orgainized summer leagues for kids elementary school aged up through college aged. There are 100s of showcases, designed just for draft and college prospects and pro draft scouts and college recruiters. EVERYTHING in high level amatuer baseball is designed around getting kids drafted or getting them scholarships.
COmpare that to how youth baseball was organized in the predraft era
"Obviously, talent goes where the money is and right now that money is in basketball."
Not nessecarily. If you are a top 10 round draft prospect (one of the top 1,000 to 2,000 HS baseball prospects in the country) you can make 50,000 to 100,000 dollars right out of high school. You have to be one of the top 5-20 high schoolers in the country to get cash out of high school..and nowadays you have to wait a year and play one year in college to do that. If you are a good but not elite basketball recruit, say a top 50 prospect, and you are also a top 50 baseball prospect and your entire desicion is based on money you play baseball. You get a six figure garunteed bonus, and you can use your bball leverage to get more cash than someone of your talent would otherwise get. Look at Austin Jackson (Ga Tech scholarship) and CJ Henry (invited walkon at Kansas).
I wonder how much the draft in general has worked to hurt talent development here in the U.S."
I doubt its hurt it at all. Maybe alot of this has more to do with changing times and booming suburbs but look at youth talent development in the US right now. There are 1000s of highly competivtive and orgainized summer leagues for kids elementary school aged up through college aged. There are 100s of showcases, designed just for draft and college prospects and pro draft scouts and college recruiters. EVERYTHING in high level amatuer baseball is designed around getting kids drafted or getting them scholarships.
COmpare that to how youth baseball was organized in the predraft era
"Obviously, talent goes where the money is and right now that money is in basketball."
Not nessecarily. If you are a top 10 round draft prospect (one of the top 1,000 to 2,000 HS baseball prospects in the country) you can make 50,000 to 100,000 dollars right out of high school. You have to be one of the top 5-20 high schoolers in the country to get cash out of high school..and nowadays you have to wait a year and play one year in college to do that. If you are a good but not elite basketball recruit, say a top 50 prospect, and you are also a top 50 baseball prospect and your entire desicion is based on money you play baseball. You get a six figure garunteed bonus, and you can use your bball leverage to get more cash than someone of your talent would otherwise get. Look at Austin Jackson (Ga Tech scholarship) and CJ Henry (invited walkon at Kansas).
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