Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Tuesday, January 15, 2008

Dan Agonistes: A Podsednik Nugget?

Well, I don’t know what it is, I never saw it before. It, it…looked like a great big seed Pod!

As many of you know John Dewan publishes a “Stat of the Week” on the ACTA publishing site. These are often inciteful but I’m a little perplexed by the stat for last Friday January 11th which will appear in the upcoming book from ACTA Sports, The Bill James Gold Mine, available in February 2008..

In that nugget he notes that…

“Scott Podsednik has proven quite effective as a leadoff man. Until last year. Every year prior to 2007 Pods’ teams have scored significantly more runs when he led off an inning than when others have led off.”

...Clearly a large part of the difference is due to the fact that the two and three hitters in the order are guaraneteed to bat when Podsednik leads off an inning from the leadoff spot in the order as opposed to when he’s in the 6th or 7th hole. A little follow-up would be to see whether on average when a leadoff hitter leads off an inning it typically raises scoring by at least +0.25 runs as in the case of Podsednik in previous seasons or whether his totals actually indicate that he was a hinderance in the leadoff spot (as might be guessed by his career .338 OBP). It’s also the case that lineup balance will play a role since it could be the case that the two, three, and four hitters for the White Sox were relatviely more potent than the rest of the lineup when compared with other teams.

In any case this Stat of the Week, while interesting, doesn’t really show what it purports.

Repoz Posted: January 15, 2008 at 01:12 PM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. MiseryLovesCompany Posted: January 15, 2008 at 01:35 PM (#2668571)
You guys are starting to rub off on me. As soon as I read the "Stat of the Day" email, I figured of course they'll score more when their leadoff man leads off because their 3rd and 4th hitters will hit 3rd and 4th!

I've been patting myself on the back ever since.
   2. sunnyday2 Posted: January 15, 2008 at 01:47 PM (#2668574)
An inciteful stat would be one that incites a newsblog item.

I don't know what an insightful stat would be, but it wouldn't be that Pods' teams score more when he leads off an inning.
   3. stealfirstbase Posted: January 15, 2008 at 11:23 PM (#2669150)
From 2005 to 2007, the White Sox went 186-115 (.618) when Podsednik was in the lineup, and 75-110 (.405) when he was injured or on the bench. The blog Sox Machine has a whole series on this strange phenomenon.

As a White Sox fan, I'm just glad to be rid of him. Thanks for 2005, Scott! Never show your face in this town again!

The Podsednik paradox:

http://soxmachine.com/blogs/soxmachine/archive/2007/11/28/11458.aspx
http://soxmachine.com/blogs/soxmachine/archive/2007/11/28/11459.aspx
http://soxmachine.com/blogs/soxmachine/archive/2007/12/09/11516.aspx
http://soxmachine.com/blogs/soxmachine/archive/2007/12/16/11576.aspx

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Francis
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogA Baseball’s Exit Velocity Is Five Parts Hitter, One Part Pitcher
(2 - 12:37pm, May 23)
Last: GrumpyFan

NewsblogNYTimes Columnist: Bryce Harper coming to Yankees, A-Rod is worse than Satan.
(8 - 12:35pm, May 23)
Last: JE (Jason)

NewsblogFans angry after Miami Marlins players skip charity event | Miami Herald Miami Herald
(7 - 12:34pm, May 23)
Last: What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face?

NewsblogMike Trout teaches expert lesson in the art of sliding | MLB.com
(2 - 12:33pm, May 23)
Last: puck

NewsblogMLB needs more minority managers; a list of the best available candidates - CBSSports.com
(5 - 12:29pm, May 23)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

NewsblogOTP - May 2015: Jeb Bush would like to watch baseball with Teddy Roosevelt and Pitbull
(3695 - 12:26pm, May 23)
Last: JE (Jason)

NewsblogDodgers suspend Erisbel Arruebarrena for remainder of 2015 season
(20 - 12:24pm, May 23)
Last: Misirlou's got a job, but it don't pay

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - May 2015
(1928 - 12:03pm, May 23)
Last: Los Angeles El Hombre de Anaheim

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 5-23-2015
(1 - 11:53am, May 23)
Last: Los Angeles El Hombre de Anaheim

NewsblogOT: Soccer March 2015
(1054 - 11:25am, May 23)
Last: frannyzoo

NewsblogRicketts Family Buys 3 More Rooftops Across From Wrigley Field « CBS Chicago
(67 - 11:09am, May 23)
Last: villageidiom

NewsblogBrewers pitcher Will Smith ejected for using foreign substance
(19 - 10:04am, May 23)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogTribe considered Saturday reunion for Yan Gomes, Corey Kluber, but the catcher must wait until Sunday: Cleveland Indians notes | cleveland.com
(1 - 10:03am, May 23)
Last: bobm

NewsblogWhy Children Are Abandoning Baseball - WSJ
(51 - 9:53am, May 23)
Last: David Nieporent (now, with children)

NewsblogRed Sox have quite a stockpile of talent in Greenville - Sports - The Boston Globe
(37 - 9:52am, May 23)
Last: Fancy Pants Handles lap changes with class

Page rendered in 0.1619 seconds
48 querie(s) executed