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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, September 12, 2012
Which just rocked Steve Gibralter’s world.
After last night’s game, Johnson joked with reporters about Harper. “Harp didn’t want to play against the knuckleballer,” the Nats’ skipper said, “But he got three hits, so now he realizes he can hit a knuckleballer, so we’re over that hump.” In an interview with 106.7 the FAN in D.C.‘s The Sports Junkies this morning, Johnson continued to praise his 19-year-old outfielder. “He’s an unbelievable talent and I mean, I’ve had some unbelievable talent,” Johnson said, “I had [Daryl] Strawberry and I had a 17-year-old named Dwight Gooden, I saw him throwing about 95 [mph] and painting with it. But [Harper is] a good young talent, and he’s a gamer. I mean, Bryce might be my favorite player of all time because he plays the game as hard as anyone can play it and he never lets up. He’s wonderful to watch.”
After his four-hit game last night, Harper has a .265/.337/.458 line on the year with 21 doubles, seven triples and 18 HRs in 119 games. Oh, and the four hits last night?:
Repoz
Posted: September 12, 2012 at 09:36 AM | 37 comment(s)
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1. Benji Posted: September 12, 2012 at 10:05 AM (#4233547)Fangraphs stat leader tool with filtering is here.
B-R stat leader tool with filtering is here.
Note that some of the info on Baseball-Reference may be hidden without a premium membership.
he's #1 among 19 year olds
I never would have guessed that guy would have been in the top 5 list.
the only year in which there were more than one 19 year old with >0 WAR was 1964 with Kranepool (0.9) and Tony C (1.4), so Harper wins by his own self
if you add together contributions from both 19 and 20 year olds, then this season is #1, although 1996 is pretty close (Arod and Renteria)
The rumor was just the opposite.
The Miami Herald reported back in 1997/1998 or so that he was a year younger than his birth certificate (it's really hard to find the exact article now, sadly) and that the Marlins had skirted the rules so that they could sign him at 15 rather than 16. MLB didn't really get tough with this thing until it came out that Betemit was 14 when he signed.
You're looking at his 2011 line. Renteria is no longer playing.
I wasn't sure about that, in the back of my mind, I thought I had read that the adjustment was made, but couldn't remember for sure. Just wanted to point out, that it is probably unlikely that he was older than his listed age.
Absolutely. He's #2 at worst, with his only real competition being Wade Miley. Probably Harper will take it considering the difference in recognition between the two.
17.5 - 1959 (Vada Pinson, Jerry Walker, Bob Miller)
17.5 - 1971 (Bert Blyleven, Don Gullett, Cesar Cedeno, Greg Luzinski)
15.8 - 1957 (Don Drysdale, Bill Mazeroski, Dick Drott)
15.6 - 1985 (Dwight Gooden, Jose Rijo)
14.9 - 2012 (Mike Trout, Bryce Harper)
14.3 - 1996 (Alex Rodriguez, Edgar Renteria, Luis Castillo)
13.2 - 1975 (Dennis Eckersley, Claudell Washinton, Rick Manning)
12.9 - 2010 (Jason Heyward, Mike Stanton, Madison Bumgarner, Starlin Castro)
11.8 - 1955 (Al Kaline, Pedro Ramos)
11.4 - 1974 (Frank Tanana, Robin Yount, Dennis Blair)
This is a somewhat problematic method - 1959 and 1971 rate at the top not so much because lots of great young players debuted, but more because for some reason tons of unimpressive kids got playing time and got 0.4 WAR apiece.
But the thing that sticks out for me is the way you get some generations being distinguished. There were really great young players debuting in the late '50s, mid 70s, and now again at the beginning of the teens.
(And, yes, the names are just the guys with 1 WAR or more, except for the years when there were a bunch of 1-2 WAR seasons, then I picked just the most interesting names with 1-2 WAR. Everyone over 2 WAR should be listed by name.).
don't know about that. The Braves (Andruw? or was it Furcal?) and the Dodgers (Beltre) both got in some trouble with the league over this.
As to Renteria off a cliff at 32 ... early demises (in age terms) for early starters are not uncommon at all. Through age 30, Renteria had over 7400 PA. That's nearly as many PA as, say, Jim Edmonds or McGwire had in their careers. A body probably only has so much ML-level baseball in it before the toll becomes too much. Even a lot of the greats.
Leaders in PA <=30:
Ott -- finished at 36
AROD -- far from finished but much diminished as a hitter and hasn't played 150 games since 2007
Yount -- retired at 37
Renteria
Pinson -- retired at 36, only 2.3 WAR ages 32-36
Griffey -- injury-riddled in his 30s, done as a stud hitter after 35.
Foxx -- done at 33
Andruw -- left as an exercise for the reader
Cobb -- aged well
Kaline -- aged well
Aaron -- aged pretty well
Mantle -- injuries galore and retired at 36
Santo -- retired at 34
Mathews -- diminished and essentially done at 35
Ripken -- he was pretty durable
FRob -- made it to 38, might have gone on if not focused on managing
that's all the guys with 7000+ PA through age 30. None of them had short careers obviously, generally making it to 9000+ PA, but a lot of them retired "early". Given that most on that list were still damned good players at age 30, I think (but don't know) that a simple age curve would have projected better overall outcomes for them.
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