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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, June 20, 2012
Just when you thought the Rockies had run out of plans to try:
In a season defined by surprises and disappointment, Jim Tracy provided both Tuesday, explaining that Jeremy Guthrie was going to the bullpen and that the team was moving forward with four starters on a 75-pitch count.
...The defining moment, with the beaker fizzing, will arrive when a starter actually performs well. But Tracy insisted that even if a starter is working a shutout, he will be removed at roughly 75 pitches.
“He has got to come out, because he has to pitch four days later,” Tracy said. “But if he goes five innings, he has pitched you to the point where you can go to a bullpen with some very significant people.”
First night of experiment fails in 7-2 loss to Phillies.
Josh Outman started and allowed 4 runs in 4.1 innings. He was pulled after 72 pitches.
puck
Posted: June 20, 2012 at 02:31 AM | 37 comment(s)
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1. adenzeno Posted: June 20, 2012 at 08:08 AM (#4161799)I'm pretty sure Blue Jays fans would be happy if the Jays gave Francisco Cordero a 0-pitch cap.
Who are these "very significant people"? Henry Kissinger? Mark Zuckerberg? Barbara Feldon?
This is going to be the Nationals's system once Strasburg reaches whatever his supposed innings limit is.
Moscoso, Josh Roenicke, Ottavino, Guthrie (I guess). There's no Esmil Rogers to kick around any more...
A 99-pitch cap?
Josh Roenicke (2.85 ERA) is on pace for 76 relief appearances and 101 IP.
Matt Belisle (2.25 ERA) is on pace for 81 appearances and 88.1 IP.
Adam Ottavino (3.20 ERA) is on pace for 79 appearances and 97 IP between the minors and majors.
Rafael Betancourt (3.00 ERA) is the closer and has pitched exactly 1 inning in each of his 24 appearances this year.
Matt Reynolds (3.77 ERA) and Rex Brothers (4.24 ERA) are largely LOOGYs and probably won't pitch much more than in the past.
Unless they're planning to run the first 3 guys into the ground, they'll need to add at least a 13th pitcher and use guys like Guillermo Moscoso (6.75 ERA), Jeremy Guthrie (7.02 ERA), and perhaps Jason Bergmann (just signed from the independent leagues) to soak up the additional innings. That's not exactly a recipe for improvement. They'd be better off signing someone like Livan Hernandez as a fifth starter. At least he's durable and has recently shown the ability to get past the 6th inning (6.05 IP per start last year), a feat that Rockies starters have only managed in 2 of the last 16 games.
To dodge the second guessing. You don't have to answer "Blah blah you used John Smith here and it blew up how could you not anticipate that?" if you already made and announced the decision ahead of time.
I hope we'll see Drew Pomeranz back in the majors soon. I expect we'll make it through the four-man rotation once before Pomeranz is recalled. Despite the fact that he got sent back to AAA, Pomeranz still has the lowest ERA of anyone who's started a game for the Rockies this year.
I don't know what the evidence says, but if I were a manager I'd use guys for longer outings and less frequently than teams do. Taking your starter out after 5 in a 7-1 game, and then having four different guys each throw a bunch of warm up pitches and throw a 12-pitch inning is absurd.
If MLB teams ever decide to expand the rosters, they need to put a cap on the number of pitchers that can be included on the roster. Sort of like the NFL says you can only have two QBs on gameday, assuming that that rule is still in play.
(Although, yeah, I was thinking more like 90.)
3.2 IP, 5 H, 5 R, 5 ER, 2 BB, 0 K, 1 HR (by Michael Martinez)
On the Philly TV broadcast, Sarge said he didn't believe "for a minute" that this was Jim Tracy's idea, and added that pitchers won't want to pitch for Colorado if they're treated like this night in and night out.
You are forgetting the part that now whenever pitch counts come up every Primate must immediately start ######## about them and babyfication, regardless of nuance.
To address the point of longer games, what really bugs people isn't so much the number of pitchers on the roster or how many are used in a game as it the number of changes within innings. The solution then would seem to be to limit the number of pitchers one can use in an inning, either that you can only make x number of changes in an inning or require that all pitchers entering must pitch to a minimum of two batters (three would be best, but would never pass). That would at least reduce LOOGY usage. To remove players faking injuries to come out, although I don't think that would happen very often as you can really only pull that once or twice, you could say that any pitcher removed from a game due to injury had to miss the next game or two games. These rules would never pass, but that's the kind of stuff they should be going for.
These guys
missed it by THAT much
What's interesting is that Jeremy Guthrie, who's been horrible as a starter, came in as a reliever and pitched three perfect innings. Well, one guy reached on an error, but he faced ten batters and gave up no hits and no walks.
The 5th inning guy is going to poach a lot of wins. And the starters are going to be really really pissed.
Nicasio (R) and Friedrich (L)
Guthrie (R) and Outman (L)
Chacin (R) and Reynolds (L)
White (R) and Pomeranz (L)
The tandem-starter approach also allows them to flip who starts each game, minimizing complaints about who gets the win. (No, win totals shouldn't matter, but they do when these guys go to arbitration or hit the free-agent market.)
With 8 guys committed to tandem, that leaves them with a 5-man pen:
Betancourt (R), Brothers (L), Belisle (R), Roenicke (R), Ottavino (R)
That leaves only 4 bench slots, but since their 3B (Pacheco) can also play catcher, Tracy can use his backup catcher (Hernandez) as a PH, minimizing the loss of a bench player. They even have some pitchers who can hit a little (Pomeranz, Outman, and to a lesser extent Chacin) and could PH occasionally.
If Tracy actually tried something like that, he'd be breaking ground and might accomplish something. For now, he's just rearranging the deck chairs.
I like the idea, but isn't Reynolds a short reliever?
I like "you can only pull a pitcher mid-inning if he's allowed a run" as the rule.
But 75 pitches every four days is not demonstrably different than 110 pitches every five days, except for the pitcher throwing them.
I didn't ready TFA, but did they say what will happen to the throw days in between?
a) regress the next year (no surprise there of course. Only pitchers with great results get that kind of workload. Some of these will have been getter better results than their talent will support)
b) have a high rate of serious injury
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