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1. Voros McCracken of Pinkus Posted: July 29, 2012 at 05:14 PM (#4195275)I don't like this deal much at all from a D-Backs perspective, particularly since they just disposed of Ryan Roberts.
Not that they were all that great before the trading bonanza, but this is going to be one impressively wretched team to watch for the rest of the season.
Mind so I think "mark Krauss! What a steal!" before I realize none of the things I am thinking of actually happened
CJ isn't THAT bad with the glove. he's no mo ensberg let alone scott rolen, and he has actually improved a LOT this year. he isn't a butcher.
and what's funny is that he actually didn't want to leave, unlike most everyone else. but best to the guy. who is a guy the astros never wanted to succeed in the first place and did anyway. hope he killz the ball with the dbax.
now we have this great team made up entirely of suckage AAA rejects plus jose altuve - and the team ran into james mcdonald on a rare bad day and hey presto, there goes our nice losing streak and we were almost halfway to the record, too. breaking records is really tough to do.
seriously - we have ONE actual real major league baseball player on the team. they keep adding all these old guys - steven pearce - are you KIDDING me? these are the position players and no i am NOT kidding: carlos corporan, chris snyder hitting 180, matt downs, brett wallace, altuve, marwin gonzalez, scott moore, steven pearce, justin maxwell, jordan schafer, brian bogusevic, JD martinez.
the only one besides altuve who belongs on a ML roster is bogusevic strictly as a DR/PR because he is an OUTSTANDING fielder with an OUTSTANDING arm in center or right and he runs really well.
our staff ace is now lucas harrell. really. they'd trade bud norris who is gonna be arb eligible, but unfortunately, he got hurt earlier and just has not been the same since he came back. and they were gonna flip crystal lowrie too, but he got hurt.
Astros are closing in on 03 Tigers bad. They have a plan obviously, but they're going so far with it...idk, tough to swallow as a fan.
Krauss might end up being okay, Seth Smithish. Astros will need a DH next year. Borchering looks barely a lottery ticket at this point.
jordan schafer - not a freaking chance in heck
i don't get the matt domingues replacement and if they're thinking jimmy paredes, all i can say is that his glove makes CJ look like brooks robinson
i've said to a whole lot of astros fans for a long time that CJ is a lot better than they think - they're hoping for mo ensberg 2005. interesting they didn't do all this grousing about geoff blum
Hey, if you're gonna be a Pirates fan, you need to cultivate at least a little residual affection for Steve Pearce. He can actually hit a little, and was just handled badly by the front office.
Well, OK, he also has a knack for getting hurt at exactly the wrong time. But he's still a perfectly adequate MLB bench player.
You can live with .283/.324/.440 against RHP and give him a normal platoon advantage against LHP and you've got a decent player. Instead he's hit .249/.285/.361 career against LHP.
Yeah, totals count and all that but the number of players who keep a reverse platoon split is pretty small.
It would like him better if it "knew" how well he was hitting at AAA in the first half.
And apparently somebody jumped the gun:
Given the new rules on draft bonuses, having the #1/#2 pick seems like it's even more valuable than it once way. I honestly think the Astros are tanking at this point.
when he first got to the bigs, he had a lot of trouble with rushing throws and made LOTS of throwing errors. he has really cut waaaayyy down on that. i've seen the improvement. he has also improved his range. we've had all kinds of butchers at 3B and he's not caminiti, but he's not mike lamb/ty wigginton neither.
agree
they are just using a bunch of Old Guys - AAA lifers to play in the bigs (except for altuve and JD martinez) so as they won't start the clock on the young guys. the idea is to have a payroll at league minimum next year - crane has a lot of debt and he'll make lots of money even if nobody shows up
i would guess that they are gonna do the billy beane constant turnover thing if possible.
I think they are just attempting to slash payroll at all costs. I don't think it has anything to do with the draft and is really just about saving as much money as possible. They can probably get away with being super cheap for at least 3 or 4 years before the union can convince MLB to fine them like they did the Marlins.
The Astros footed the bill on Lee and Myers, and they sent cash with Rodriguez. I think they could have accepted fewer and worse minor leaguers in order to dump more salary if that were the only goal.
My Crane cynicism is that it looks like he's decided to run the club as if they're the Pittsburgh Pirates or Tampa Bay Rays. Houston can support a mid-range payroll even in down seasons, but Crane is going to pretend he's a small market owner. I hate that. He hasn't yet shown he's even worse than that, but it could come.
Arte Moreno ($180 million for the Angels) sure looks sharp right now.
Chris Johnson's fielding has improved somewhat over the course of this season---but that's not saying a lot. His average UZR/150 is -18.3; and I doubt that he is really that bad; few third basemen are. Johnson can make some sparkling defensive plays on difficult chances, and then turn around and fumble an easy play. He has a strong arm, but his accuracy is below average (to my eyes). It would help if the D-Backs have a first baseman who is good at catching off-line throws.
As an Astros' fan, my best hope for CJ improving his defense is that he has pretty good tools, like a strong arm and decent speed. However, at this point, his fielding detracts a lot from whatever offense he brings to the table. (And his current offensive stats may be a bit above his normal level, since he had been on a hot streak going into the trade.) He actually looked pretty good fielding first base---but his bat doesn't play well there.
In an interview with Rosenthal. Luhnow said the payroll will start with a five---which I take to mean that it will be in the $50 - $60 million range. Given how low the payroll currently stands after the trades, that would imply some free agent signings.
I doubt that Johnson is worth $2 million. Given some of his glaring flaws, I don't think he is that far from being equivalent to a AAAA player. He is on a hot streak right now and probably won't sustain his current offensive stats. (However, maybe playing in Arizona will help.) His ZIP projection to begin the season: .731 OPS, which might not be so bad if he was a reliable defensive third baseman.
I think one of the motivations for trading Johnson is to create position room and playing time for Brett Wallace. The Astros still think he can be a third baseman (heck, he has played some passable shortstop in AAA this month), and they want to give him a chance at the playing third base. It may not work out, but the Astros have to find out if Wallace will be a major leaguer.
I agree with AG#1F that the real test comes in two or three years, and the Astros should be running an above average payroll then, if Crane is serious. I disagree with AG#1F in his optimism that Crane will do that. He looks like a classic undercapitalized just-lets-turn-a-profit problem owner.
Wait, what? Really? That's weirder than Troy Glaus.
No. Most of Schafer's luster had come off in the Braves system long before he was traded. He lead the minors in hits in 2007 but a combination of a drug suspension, a dumb arrest, a bad attitude and 3.5 years worth of not hitting made him an expendable spare CF when he was traded to the Astros.
Wallace's value was dropping at the time he was traded to the Astros as well. In a one year span he had played with four different organizations and, when he was acquired by Houston, he was ranked as just the tenth best prospect in the AAA Pacific Coast League... hardly "extremely highly rated" material.
Where did you see this? I can't find any record of this happening.
I agree with you. Me and KT were sampling some really robust dank I brought him right after this deal, and as he (cough) explained it, it's a standard KT win-win deal.
Trade valuable assets that are far too young and unproven to be of interest to KT.
Get a semi-lifeless body that has a proven ability to make it on time on the bus to the game every day in the majors (none of that minor league bus attendance ####, minor league bus attendance records are MEANINGLESS in the big pants league).
Not sure we understand the criticism from others here. The Diamondbacks needed a 3rd baseman. Not today of course, since this team is DOA, if we thought this team was still in the playoff hunt we would have kept Roberts to see if he could turn it around, I mean at least he plays defense. Next year this team will be better if it has a good 3rd baseman. Of course, Chris Johnson isn't a good 3rd baseman, he's really a bad, if not terrible third basemen, and he'll be blocking any of the young prospects we have from even getting a try, but NOW we have Chris, and he's a third baseman. So if you just think about it the right way, problem solved. No stress, no mess, stop wearing out your dress, man.
Sometimes KT and I just wish everyone would just smoke a bowl and calm down a bit about his trades. Get some perspective guys.
Now, Wallace was still a decent prospect, but his stock had clearly fallen.
Wallace at SS: Not sure about passable, but he's been playing there off and on since 7/12, per BA's box scores.
I'm not even sure that they think he can stick at third, but it's worth their time to try.
he had THREE errors in 6 games at SS. He is NOT gonna have range and is gonna look like angel sanchez there. his only asset is a strong arm
the move chris johnson to play brett wallace is pure horsestuff. there is absolutely ZERO excuse for playing matt downs/scott moore at 1st instead. ZERO.
That said, I prefer Wallace to Johnson at third. Better bat and not necessarily a worse glove. (That's an indictment of "I've committed more errors than I've turned double plays Johnson*", not praise of Wallace, mind you.) Incidentally, their career minor league defensive numbers (for what very little this is worth) are similar: .938 FA, Johnson's RF is 0.03 higher, Wallace has a slight edge in DP/E.
As for why you play that over Moore/Downs: Wallace is 25 and shown flashes of being a good hitter in the past. Moore and Downs are 28 and have shown flashes of being above replacement level in the past. (Preseason projections had them pegged as around the replacement level.) I don't think Wallace will be part of the next good Astros team, but - if things work out - you can eventually flip him for a piece that will be.
* Rolls off the tongue, doesn't it? Though I guess it's no 'death to flying things'.
wallace is absolutely positively a worse glove. not sure how much astros you've watched, but wallace has the range and speed of mo vaughn. carlos lee was better at first base, fer goodness sakes. i don't have any problem giving wallace another chance to prove he can hit, but at third??? roll eyes. ima bout stopped caring real too much
and WHAT is their love affair with matt downs??? barf
wallace is not gonna be flipped for much of anything, IF anything
fact is that scott moore has a better glove at third than he does at first
Chris Johnson in his first 3 games for AZ, played in Los Angelos
G PA AB R H 2B HR RBI BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+3 13 11 2 6 1 2 7 .545 .615 1.182 1.797 357
You just can't predict baseball.
so what do you think of his D?
i TOLD everyone he is better than they think. and he sure as HECK is better than scott moore/matt downs/anyone else in the astros system
matt dominguez has a .600 something OPS at AAA
The guys i post with on the d backs board seem to think no big issues so far. I havent seen anyone complaining...so thats good. But i have only personally seen him field a few balls and dont have an opinion yet.
By the way Krauss and Borchering got off to hot starts for corpus cristi. Good luck with them.
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