Cues “Galop Infernal”...as MLB announcers lemmingly fall off cliff one by one.
Earlier this week I was gallivanting around Fangraphs’ criminally underused Q&A section when a user caught my eye with this question for the saber world: “Does a batter’s GB% raise, drop or remain even with a runner at first?”
Seems like a reasonable assumption, right? In bases-empty situations, a pitcher may not concern himself so much with inducing a ground ball as opposed to simply just working an out by any means necessary. But, with a runner on first, of course, a ground ball out becomes especially attractive as it creates the opportunity for the ever-valuable double play.
I ran the data and found that since 2002, GB% (as in GB/batted balls) with Bases Empty was 44.9% across the league. With a runner on first and the double play now a possibility, that number actually drops to 43.7%. Now, I’m going to ignore the drop and assume its just noise, but I will admit to being mildly amused by this. (This is using retrosheet’s definitions of batted ball types, keep in mind, and BIS data may differ.)
Curious, I then ran the data again and included only situations with less than 2 outs, when the double play would be beneficial. But even then there was no change:
Posted: September 06, 2012 at 10:25 AM | 8 comment(s)
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