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Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Each year, projections are down on Buck Showalter’s Orioles. Each year, they outperform

The first week of February is one of Buck Showalter’s favorite times of the year, and not only because sprig training is right around the corner. It’s usually around then that the top sabermetric websites release their win projections for the upcoming season, and Showalter, the manager of the Baltimore Orioles, takes perverse pleasure in finding out how awful his team is going to be. The projections rarely disappoint.

His favorite is PECOTA, Baseball Prospectus’s projection model….

By now, a pattern has been established: In 2012, Showalter’s second season in Baltimore, PECOTA had the Orioles winning 71 games; they won 93. In 2013, PECOTA projected 75 wins; the Orioles won 85. In 2014, it was 75 and 96. In 2015, 78 and 81. And in 2016, 72 and 89.

ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: March 15, 2017 at 11:41 AM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: orioles, pecota

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