Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Each year, projections are down on Buck Showalter’s Orioles. Each year, they outperform

The first week of February is one of Buck Showalter’s favorite times of the year, and not only because sprig training is right around the corner. It’s usually around then that the top sabermetric websites release their win projections for the upcoming season, and Showalter, the manager of the Baltimore Orioles, takes perverse pleasure in finding out how awful his team is going to be. The projections rarely disappoint.

His favorite is PECOTA, Baseball Prospectus’s projection model….

By now, a pattern has been established: In 2012, Showalter’s second season in Baltimore, PECOTA had the Orioles winning 71 games; they won 93. In 2013, PECOTA projected 75 wins; the Orioles won 85. In 2014, it was 75 and 96. In 2015, 78 and 81. And in 2016, 72 and 89.

ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: March 15, 2017 at 11:41 AM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: orioles, pecota

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Adam M
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT-NBA off season thread
(1872 - 12:21am, Aug 23)
Last: tshipman

NewsblogOTP 22 August 2017: The myth of baseball’s depoliticalization
(263 - 12:21am, Aug 23)
Last: SoSHially Unacceptable

Sox TherapyThe Gauntlet
(87 - 12:01am, Aug 23)
Last: the Hugh Jorgan returns

NewsblogNever get involved in a land war in OMNICHATTER!, for August 22, 2017
(132 - 12:00am, Aug 23)
Last: LA Podcasting Hombre of Anaheim

NewsblogJustin Verlander's domination of Dodgers looked like an Astros audition | ESPN
(54 - 11:54pm, Aug 22)
Last: LA Podcasting Hombre of Anaheim

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 8-22-2017
(16 - 11:46pm, Aug 22)
Last: stanmvp48

Gonfalon CubsThat counted as Now
(20 - 11:42pm, Aug 22)
Last: Brian C

NewsblogMets' Steven Matz goes on disabled list | MLB.com
(36 - 11:13pm, Aug 22)
Last: Lassus

NewsblogThe totality of Rafael Devers, who is eclipsing everything thought possible
(26 - 10:19pm, Aug 22)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogThe Segregated Cornfield
(67 - 8:46pm, Aug 22)
Last: Renegade (((JE)))

NewsblogHow much is Tanaka worth? MLB execs weigh in on $67M mystery | New York Post
(2 - 6:28pm, Aug 22)
Last: Captain Supporter

NewsblogTaking Back the Ballparks - San Diego Padres
(75 - 6:18pm, Aug 22)
Last: Manny Coon

NewsblogColon becomes third active pitcher to beat all 30 teams
(70 - 6:11pm, Aug 22)
Last: villageidiom

NewsblogCan Scouts and Statcast Coexist? | FanGraphs Baseball
(6 - 5:48pm, Aug 22)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOT: New Season August 2017 Soccer Thread
(167 - 4:49pm, Aug 22)
Last: He who brought the butter dish to Balshazar (CoB)

Page rendered in 0.1267 seconds
45 querie(s) executed