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1. RJ in TO Posted: July 12, 2012 at 01:53 PM (#4181085)It'd be better if the 3-year deal actually INCLUDED an option, but if my math is correct, the option is in addition to the extension. So $9m AAV 2013-15 and a $10m option for '16. That's crazy good if ANY of this season represents a real step forward. Which wouldn't surprise me at all. This was a great pickup by AA.
His BA is a little on the high side; his HR/FB is high too (17% vs 12% career). Otherwise, though, his K & BB rates are moving in the right direction, and he's hitting more balls in the air than he did when he was younger (it seems like he's been around for ages, but is just 29). His homers have not been cheapies - most of them clear the bullpen and 5-10 rows of seats. It's been pointed out that Edwin has latched on to Bautista as a mentor, FWIW. It may be that he needed some advice about keeping his swing consistent.
He seems to hit well as long as you don't ask him to play third.
I think Boxkutter's point was that EE had a track record of something that at least looks like success before 2012, where Bautista, before his breakout, didn't.
Bautista's 2004-2009:
2038 PAs, .238/.329/.400/.729/91 OPS+
EE's 2005-2011:
3078 PAs, .260/.336/.453/.789/104 OPS+
Not radically different, but different enough that I don't think the comparison ports that well.
I like this deal-- if they can stop bleeding pitching, the Jays are going to be a force over the next 5 years. That lineup is young, cheap, and talented, with a lot of talent on the way/
The other day, I heard (I think) Gregg Zaun on the radio saying he'd empty the farm for Zach Greinke and Matt Garza. Not that either player would look bad in a Blue Jays uniform, but I'm glad that Zaun is not GM. I don't get the sense that the Jays are close enough for that type of move...
Urg, please no. AA isn't that short-sighted. There was a NY GM who had a similar thought process some Fridays back, and it didn't work out well for him.
I also do not hate this deal.
If I'm recalling the same segment I think Zaun said he'd empty the farm for an ace. Which he felt described Greinke. He then went on to use Garza as an example of "just a guy" who it would not be worth going after.
*I should note that I don't know much about Zaun the analyst. He seems to be going for a Don Cherry persona more than a potential GM act...and I certainly wouldn't want him as my GM. But thought I should clarify.
Trying saying that four times fast.
He's likely to be their (mostly) starting 1B for the next bit. Even with Lind back up from the minors, they've been starting E5 there. And Lind is most certainly not a better fielder there than E5.
The rationale for DHing Lind (rather than Encarnacion) is that he's more easily platoonable mid-game without a total disruption to the fielding lineup. And subjectively, I agree that Lind looks no better than Encarnacion at 1B.
IMO, he started out okay when he was an active player who moonlighted as Sportsnet's analyst during the playoffs. I'd agree with your assessment of the current Zaun, he seems to be more interested in what sort of tacky jacket he can wear than offering anything beyond a cliche.
Looks more like Ryan Ludwick, who after failing to live up to hype had a big season at age 29, then reverted back to being nothing special but still hanging on in MLB for 4 more years....
Edit: Ha, I just looked at B-R.com and EE's #1 comp is......Ryan Ludwick!!
That is Dwayne Murphy's philosophy, and I must say I can't argue with it. Unless he's coaching someone like juan Pierre who has no power at all and the speed to beat out grounders for IF hits, his basic approach is to have his hitter hit the ball as hard as they can.
At third he was a butcher, but he's fared much better at first (.997 FP this year, and started several nice DPs).
Wasn't Cito's philosophy-- wait for your pitch and crush it-- fairly similar, or am I misremembering?
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