Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Friday, February 24, 2012

Einfeldt: A Pitcher’s MVS (Most Valuable Stat)

Baseball can be compared to boxing; it is a constant one-on-one slugfest between the pitcher and batter.  They trade jabs, crosses, and then a batter might hook one out to left field.  The constant struggle between these players makes me wonder what the true value of a pitcher is.  He is the one who makes the initial move in this fight.  However, what makes a pitcher great?  How are pitchers valued in MLB?  While consistency is important, what single statistic can explain how teams value a pitcher?

...This data shows that the WHIP is the most important factor in determining a player’s salary.  A player’s ERA is excluded in these models, because it is so highly correlated to WHIP and this creates a problem of almost two identical terms.  I ran the regression with ERA instead of WHIP, because ERA was never as significant as WHIP is in the Full Regression.  One can use these numbers to determine a pitcher’s salary depending how well he does.  All the other statistics are, relatively speaking, considered insignificant, so it does not matter as much about any statistic other than WHIP.  It makes sense, because some of these terms are influential to WHIP (as a strikeout, for example, would help contribute to a lower WHIP).

In conclusion, teams care about the pitcher’s ability to limit base runners.  It is not necessarily the amount of runs, which may seem against common logic.  I was limited in my search due to the lack of information of salaries on certain players.  There are definitely intangibles that a player can offer his team, but a General Manager would best find a pitcher with the lowest WHIP to maximize the efficiency (win percentage) of their ball club.  That is what the data proves.

Thanks to Pete.

Repoz Posted: February 24, 2012 at 10:35 AM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Skloot Insurance Posted: February 24, 2012 at 01:05 PM (#4067877)
I am a proponent of WHIP as a quick-and-dirty measure of pitcher effectiveness. When you think about it, WHIP essentially measures on-base percentage for pitchers -- off-base percentage, if you will. Now, why aren't HBPs factored into WHIP, I've always wondered?
   2. The importance of being Ernest Riles Posted: February 24, 2012 at 03:32 PM (#4068006)
This reads like something out of a proto-sabermetrics website in 2001.
   3. Walt Davis Posted: February 24, 2012 at 04:16 PM (#4068033)
Not gonna bother reading the article and I'd guess the regression is not brilliantly specified or interpreted but ...

(a) like #1, I've never had a problem using WHIP as quick and dirty. Obviously the bigger the sample, the more reliable it is (i.e. less susceptible to BABIP fluctuation).
(b) component ERA (or DIPS/FIP) probably does better than ERA and that one advantage WHIP would have over ERA is it is less forgiving of unearned runs, many of which are the pitcher's "fault."
(c) of course what WHIP is mainly missing is HR rate.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Forsch 10 From Navarone (Dayn)
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: The NHL is finally back thread, part 2
(161 - 12:38am, Apr 21)
Last: Shredder

NewsblogOT: NBA Monthly Thread - April 2014
(376 - 12:34am, Apr 21)
Last: Darkness and the howling fantods

NewsblogZander Hollander, Sports Trivia Shepherd, Dies at 91
(11 - 12:21am, Apr 21)
Last: puck

NewsblogDoug Glanville: I Was Racially Profiled in My Own Driveway
(409 - 12:18am, Apr 21)
Last: Morty Causa

NewsblogDaniel Bryan's 'YES!' chant has spread to the Pirates' dugout
(132 - 12:15am, Apr 21)
Last: Monty Predicts a Padres-Mariners WS in 2016

NewsblogVIDEO: Brewers, Pirates brawl after Carlos Gomez triple
(80 - 12:07am, Apr 21)
Last: Shock

NewsblogBryce Harper benched for 'lack of hustle' despite quad injury
(101 - 11:50pm, Apr 20)
Last: Lassus

NewsblogChase Utley is the hottest hitter in baseball and has a shot at .400
(72 - 11:39pm, Apr 20)
Last: Lassus

NewsblogOMNICHATTER for April 20, 2014
(94 - 11:35pm, Apr 20)
Last: Dale Sams

NewsblogOT: The Soccer Thread March, 2014
(952 - 11:01pm, Apr 20)
Last: Jose Can Still Seabiscuit

NewsblogPirates Acquire Ike Davis From Mets
(54 - 9:15pm, Apr 20)
Last: Canker Soriano

NewsblogMinuteman News Center: Giandurco: This means WAR
(95 - 9:05pm, Apr 20)
Last: BDC

NewsblogJohn Torres: Baseball must bag sickening farewell tours
(50 - 8:43pm, Apr 20)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogChris Resop - The Most Interesting Reliever in the World
(22 - 8:13pm, Apr 20)
Last: CrosbyBird

NewsblogMitchell: Now Playing First Base for the Yankees
(58 - 7:55pm, Apr 20)
Last: Ray (RDP)

Demarini, Easton and TPX Baseball Bats

 

 

 

 

Page rendered in 0.1893 seconds
54 querie(s) executed