Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Saturday, January 14, 2012

Fangraphs: Can Yoenis Cespedes Showcase Talents In MLB?

Os as shape-shifter deluxe, Mitch Williams said the other day…“All Yoenis Cespedes does is hit ground balls!”

So although Cespedes was definitely one of the top power hitters in the Cuban League, his exploits are hardly all-world or necessarily the best in his own country. The Cuban parks seem to be very difficult to pitch in. According to Davenport’s translations — which probably have to be taken with a pound of salt given how few players make the transition from Cuban baseball to American professional baseball — Cespedes’s numbers still work out to above-average major league power. I don’t think this is a terribly surprising conclusion — it’s difficult to hit 33 home runs in 350 at-bats in any league. It just doesn’t necessarily mean a 60-homer season is coming in the states.

The next question relates to plate discipline.

...Cespedes has shown remarkable improvement from a hack-tastic first season, all the way to the point where he walked more times than he struck out in 2011. However, there is the question of how many of those walks were intentional — he was in the process of setting a new home run record, after all. Either way, Cespedes made excellent contact in each of the past four seasons and although his strikeouts will undoubtedly rise against the higher talent in the MLB, we shouldn’t expect him to be the next Austin Jackson.

...Just looking at the statistics Cespedes compiled in Cuba, there isn’t a glaring weakness which looks to tank his game upon landing with an American (or Torontonian) squad. He was as complete as a player can be in any league. Much of his value depends on his ability to play center field, of which there seems to be optimism around scouts. His Cuban numbers seem to suggest above-average power for the position already, and with any sort of plate discipline he has the ability to push an All-Star level in MLB. With his power and his superior athleticism and strength, the risk factor for Cespedes seems lower than with other relative unknown players, and the reward if he reaches his potential could be incredible.

Repoz Posted: January 14, 2012 at 06:51 PM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: international, projections, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
The Id of SugarBear Blanks
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogA Salute to Sy Berger, From a Card-Carrying Fan - NYTimes.com
(4 - 2:25pm, Dec 21)
Last: eddieot

NewsblogRuben Amaro Jr. says it would be best if Phillies move on from Ryan Howard
(41 - 2:24pm, Dec 21)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

NewsblogGetting ready to gamble on Jung-Ho Kang | FOX Sports
(5 - 2:22pm, Dec 21)
Last: Zach

NewsblogThe Jeff Jacobs HOF Ballot: Keep The Voting Serious And Fair
(44 - 2:21pm, Dec 21)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

NewsblogDetermining Hall vote is no easy task | New York Post
(9 - 2:19pm, Dec 21)
Last: SoSHially Unacceptable

NewsblogThe 2015 HOF Ballot Collecting Gizmo!
(166 - 2:17pm, Dec 21)
Last: Peter Farted Again

NewsblogOT: Politics - December 2014: Baseball & Politics Collide in New Thriller
(5176 - 2:17pm, Dec 21)
Last: The Id of SugarBear Blanks

NewsblogMarty Noble's HOF Ballot
(27 - 2:01pm, Dec 21)
Last: Lance Reddick! Lance him!

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - December 2014
(764 - 1:56pm, Dec 21)
Last: rr

NewsblogOT: Soccer December 2014
(336 - 1:53pm, Dec 21)
Last: frannyzoo

NewsblogAP sources: Umpires, MLB reach 5-year agreement
(4 - 1:51pm, Dec 21)
Last: Mike Webber

NewsblogThe Yankees’ plan in case A-Rod can’t play at all
(17 - 1:00pm, Dec 21)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

Hall of Merit2015 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(106 - 12:02pm, Dec 21)
Last: Yoenis Cespedes, Baseball Savant

NewsblogDodgers biggest spenders in payroll
(8 - 9:16am, Dec 21)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

NewsblogOT: NFL/NHL thread
(9190 - 8:37am, Dec 21)
Last: PASTE Thinks This Trout Kid Might Be OK (Zeth)

Page rendered in 0.1231 seconds
46 querie(s) executed