Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, March 19, 2012

FanGraphs: Jon “Boog” Sciambi: Broadcasting the Stats

As Michael Kay merrily goes on promoting Kryssy Kocktail for his next CenterStage fiasco.

On using predictive stats in a broadcast: “I’m always cognizant of the stats I’m putting out there and whether they have predictive value. That’s the biggest thing. I try to stay away from runners in scoring position, and if I use it, I’ll try to explain, ‘This is what has happened in the past.’ I want to make it clear that I’m not giving the stat to say, ‘This will predict what will happen in this at bat.’

“There is so much information out there that you’ve got to be careful. I try to pick and choose, but I definitely have an idea. I know the stats that are more predictive in nature and the ones that can mislead. First and foremost, I don’t want to mislead. I think the most effective use for stats in what I do is to try to eliminate the noise.”

On sacrifice bunts and run probability: “I have Tom Tango’s bunt tables and I will use them from time to time. Most of the time we speak about total amount of runs — the potential amount of runs that could be scored — and I think we more often need to include, especially in late/close games, ‘What is the chance that you’ll just score?’ By and large, when we use bunts tables in statistical evaluation, the first place we go to is that spot with base-state and out-state. You’re expected to score 0.42 runs and in this state it’s 0.65 runs. I think both tables should be included when you’re analyzing bunts. What is the total amount of runs you’re expected to score, and what is the percentage chance that you’re expected to score?

“The fans want to hear stats, but at a very basic level. I feel you have to be as efficient as possible when explaining them. You have to make them understand. If you can do it efficiently, they absolutely want to hear them. If you put it as simply as, ‘If you bunt in this spot, you’re expected to score this percent of the time/this amount of runs and if you don’t bunt in this spot, so on and so forth.

Repoz Posted: March 19, 2012 at 09:09 AM | 5 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: media, sabermetrics, television

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Der-K thinks the Essex Green were a good band. Posted: March 19, 2012 at 10:04 AM (#4084109)
Regardless of any saber-centric bona fides, Sciambi's a good announcer - I'm happy for his success.
   2. spike Posted: March 19, 2012 at 11:15 AM (#4084198)
Man, I so wish he was still doing Braves games. And agree with above - very pleased he's done well.
   3. Barnaby Jones Posted: March 19, 2012 at 12:11 PM (#4084271)
The downgrade from Sciabmi to Chip Caray is so large as to be potentially unquantifiable.
   4. Rickey! On a blog from 1998. With the candlestick. Posted: March 19, 2012 at 12:56 PM (#4084326)
Boog does the best job I've ever heard from anyone of making the new understanding of the game's numbers useful and interesting, but doing so in a way that doesn't alienate the guy from Hall County who's watching the game with his kid who stands out a little on his youth league team, but doesn't know or care what regression analysis even is.
   5. Leroy Kincaid Posted: March 19, 2012 at 05:22 PM (#4084613)
What I didn't like about this guy is he was one of those broadcasters who felt he needed to interview his former-player booth-mate (Don Sutton, I think it was) while the game was going on. That only makes me change the station.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
James Kannengieser
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogGiants purchase contract of 2B Uggla
(8 - 12:09am, Jul 28)
Last: Rickey! On a blog from 1998. With the candlestick.

NewsblogSchoenfield: Why didn't the Braves win more titles?
(42 - 12:05am, Jul 28)
Last: Rickey! On a blog from 1998. With the candlestick.

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread- July 2014
(966 - 11:46pm, Jul 27)
Last: 'zop sympathizes with the wrong ####### people

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 7-27-2014
(145 - 11:46pm, Jul 27)
Last: Los Angeles El Hombre of Anaheim

NewsblogDJ Short: Maximum stay on Hall of Fame ballot changed from 15 to 10 years
(55 - 11:33pm, Jul 27)
Last: McCoy

NewsblogFull Count » Mike Carp explains why he requested a trade from Red Sox
(15 - 11:30pm, Jul 27)
Last: Dale Sams

NewsblogGossage on Bonds, McGwire Hall hopes: ‘Are you f–king kidding?’
(105 - 11:25pm, Jul 27)
Last: Jolly Old St. Nick Still Gags in October

NewsblogHall of Fame Announces Changes to Voting Process for Recently Retired Players, Effective Immediately
(81 - 11:18pm, Jul 27)
Last: Booey

NewsblogFull Count » Mike Carp, Felix Doubront and the challenges of player discontent on a struggling team
(3 - 11:15pm, Jul 27)
Last: Dale Sams

NewsblogHoVG: John Rocker Shows Up in Cooperstown… “Survivor” Up Next
(31 - 10:52pm, Jul 27)
Last: depletion

NewsblogDodgers and Diamondbacks Triple-A teams involved in wild brawl
(8 - 10:43pm, Jul 27)
Last: depletion

NewsblogRoger Angell goes into the Hall of Fame
(27 - 10:19pm, Jul 27)
Last: Howie Menckel

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1956 Ballot
(7 - 9:28pm, Jul 27)
Last: neilsen

NewsblogOTP - July 2014: Republicans Lose To Democrats For Sixth Straight Year In Congressional Baseball Game
(3287 - 9:07pm, Jul 27)
Last: robinred

SABR - BBTF ChapterWho's going to SABR??
(100 - 6:40pm, Jul 27)
Last: Scott Fischthal

Page rendered in 0.1009 seconds
52 querie(s) executed