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1. JRVJ (formerly Delta Socrates) Posted: February 02, 2010 at 04:35 PM (#3452503)Sadly, I would bet on the latter more than the former.
The picture in TFA makes him look like a sad clown.
There have been a lot of hyped amateur players (mostly pitchers) who ended up as flops. I wonder if that is due to the attention itself or the fact that there just is no such thing as a sure thing. I think it's more the latter.
So much can go wrong between being a 16-year-old phenom and being a successful major leaguer that the odds are most of the overhyped kids, just like most 1st round draft picks, won't have great major league careers. Injuries are always a risk. Killing someone and going to prison is a risk. It's also possible that a kid who was able to completely dominate others his age as a teen just physically peaked early and didn't have as much upside in him as most presumed. Not everyone is mentally focused and gives 100% effort to improving his skills. Not everyone can handle the pressure coaches place on him to succeed. And then there are distractions: girls, money, Primer, booze and boredom. A player who gets too much attention and a H-U-G-E signing bonus (which really might rob him of his motivation) is apt to be even more distracted than your run-of-the-mill 18-22 year old kid in the minors.
Added together, I'd say the odds are Bryce Harper winds up more Michelle Wie than he does Joe Mauer.
I think that is ABSOLUTELY POSITIVELY a reason
Damn, I was hoping for Anna Kournikova.
What's she up to these days?
2 of these things are not quite like the other 3
In Harper's case this may be mitigated by Harper dominating older competition for awhile now.
David Sills commits to USC
I sure hope Harper doesn't lean on Crosby as his mentor.
No one after the first 2 or 3 picks has any shot at him. If by some miracle he's still there when you pick at #10, it's a no brainer, so why bother with the scouting.
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