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1. billyshears Posted: March 30, 2010 at 02:12 PM (#3488591)Yes, althought it has traditionally been referred to as the "set-up" role.
Looks a lot more like he needs to walk a lot of righties or they can hit him with some power. If he's in a traditional set-up role, he could be in a lot of innings where he's facing 2/3, 3/3, or 3/4 righties to start the inning.
As for the role and the name of it, yes, it's a little silly. But it wasn't my idea to make it and call it that. But since it exists (and in the era of specialization, I can see why it does) I figured I'd look into whether Feliciano makes sense in it.
@Spivey: I'm not sure he'll ever dominate righties, but I think he can be more effective than his past splits would indicate. And FWIW, his past splits aren't that bad against righties. They're not great, but they're not terrible. A lot of guys can get by with a split like that I think.
For example if a manager is facing something like Lyle Overbay-John McDonald-Travis Snider, he might keep his lefty specialist in to face the rigthy in the middle. Whereas a better right handed hitter might convince the manager to pull him out after one batter.
Like I said, I have no idea if this actually effects things, and I certainly have no idea whether it's played any role in Feliciano's splits, but I've always wondered.
A manager who puts Johnny Mac in between two good hitters is off his bean.
Maine is probably a solid bet to post an ERA under 5 (though the number of innings is uncertain) and Pelfrey and Perez both have had FIP/xERAs under 5 their whole career.
I just meant all their starting pitchers have spring training ERAs over 5.00.
I am optimistic about Johan. I am cautiously optimistic about Niese (I think he's going to be a good starting pitcher eventually). Pelfrey will be better than last year. I don't have any clue about Perez. Maine is good if he's healthy.
That being said, he's hardly the biggest question mark on the Mets 2010 pitching staff.
Pedro's 33. He's trending the wrong way (though SSS, obviously), and I haven't heard that he has a new pitch or delivery that will improve his chances against righthanders. Given that, his career splits aren't likely to change:
v. righties .272/.364/.425/788 tOPS 128
v. lefties .214/.279/.302/.581 tOPS 68
Kiko Calero's a much better option, to the point that if I couldn't walk the righty, I'd risk sending Feliciano to RF and let Calero pitch to him. Calero's been unreal against righty's for his career:
Kiko Calero
2009 2-2 1.95 67g 15gf 0sv 60.0ip 36h 1 hr 30bb 69k
Career v LHB 64bb 102k 1.59k/bb .244/.352/.373/725 458 PAs BABIP 300 130tOPS+
Career v RHB 62bb 222k 3.58k/bb .202/.266/.312/578 786 PAs BABIP 270 83tOPS+
Here's your ROOGY. I don't think the Mets are planning to start the season with Green on the major league roster, but if they did...
Sean Green
2009: 1-4 4.52 79g 19gf 0sv 69.2ip 64h 5hr 36bb 54k
Career: 10-11 4.38 239g 53gf 2sv 248.2ip 255h 12hr 119bb 184k 97era+
v RHB 232g 681 PA 49bb 139k 2.84k/bb .266/.329./.349/678 babip .332 tOPS+ 85
v LHB 181g 436 PA 70bb 45k 0.64k/bb .270/.400/.418/817 babip 290 tOPS+ 124
Hell, even Pat Misch as a reliever has been better against righties than Feliciano:
2009: 3-4 4.12 22g 7gs 1cg 59.0ip 62h 9hr 19bb 23k
Career: 3-11 4.79 60g 18gs 10gf 1cg 1sho 0sv 156.0ip 173h 23hr 49bb 88k 90era+
v RHB: 56g 471PA 34bb 54k 16hr .284/.342/.454/796 .290 babip
v LHB: 57g 210PA 15bb 34k 7hr .286/.340/.458/798 .316 babip
The above is misleading in that as a reliever Misch's ERA is 2.85. As a starter it's 6.00. I'd rather have Pat F. Misch face a given righty in a one out situation than I would Feliciano, unfortunately.
Figueroa's also better:
v rhb .253/.321/.418/.739
Nieve's no worse, and this is as a starter and as a reliever:
v rhb .256/.311/.474/785
Similarly, Parnell:
v rhb .289/.353/.412/766
I guess what it comes down to is, if there's no one in your pen who is worse against righthanded hitters than the guy who is asking to be your setup man, why on earth would you put him in that role?
Now that's a plan.
This reminded me fondly of the Mets-Reds game of 1986 (even though Jerry Manuel is no Davey Johnson). How often has this been done otherwise in MLB?
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