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Saturday, November 10, 2012
And that means teams should be very cautious about responding to what they see in the playoffs. The Yankees inability to win against the Tigers in the American League Championship doesn’t necessarily mean the Yankees need to make major changes for next season. Every baseball team – not matter how it is constructed – is going to have a bad week once in a while. And if that bad week happens to occur in October, your team will look bad in the playoffs and your fans will be unhappy.
I should add, this was very much the argument Steve Walters (economist at Loyala University and consultant to the Baltimore Orioles) recently made at the Wages of Wins Journal. The playoffs are simply hard to predict. As Steve noted in the videocast, even winning more than 100 games is no guarantee of a World Series title. Across the past 25 years, 20 different teams have finished the regular season with more than 100 victories. And of these, only two managed to win a title.
So the playoffs should be thought of as entertainment. But if you are not entertained because your team lost (the outcome for 90% of playoff teams), don’t think this “proves” your team isn’t the “best”. And if your team does win… well, you can think that your team is the “best”; even if the rest of us know this isn’t true. And I am not saying that just because my team lost (okay, that’s probably not true).
Thanks to Barnald the Sore Loser.
Posted: November 10, 2012 at 08:31 AM | 19 comment(s)
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