Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Free Agent Profile: Jose Dariel Abreu: MLB Rumors - MLBTradeRumors.com

Great breakdown from Tim Dierkes.

Predicting Abreu’s contract is particularly difficult without knowing the player’s goals.  Cespedes made a point of limiting his term to four years, to allow a quick path back to free agency.  Puig maximized his total dollars by taking a seven-year deal, a contract few saw coming in advance.  Napoli has his share of drawbacks, yet I’ve projected a three-year, $42MM contract.  Given that Abreu is more than five years younger, won’t cost a draft pick, and may have more power, an average annual value of $10MM or less may be a bargain.  $60MM over six years appears to be Abreu’s ceiling.  Ultimately I find the oft-cited six-year, $54MM prediction to be the best bet.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 16, 2013 at 11:50 AM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: cuban baseball, free agents, jose abreu

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Dale Sams Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:14 PM (#4574356)
Offer Nap a QO. If he doesn't bite you get a draft pick and either Carp or Nava can play 1B for nearly min.

But I'm sure the Sox will overpay for beard grit.
   2. JRVJ Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:16 PM (#4574360)
Abreu (and other loophole Cuban players) are unique in that they only cost money AND there's no limit to how much can be spent on them for international signing purposes (obviously if the Yankees sign him, his salary counts for salary cap purposes).

Seeing how much money there is in the game, I could see a team going hog wild for Abreu, with the express intent of bulking up their talent pool.

We'll see.
   3. John Northey Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:39 PM (#4574380)
Cuba and Japan are the 'magic money pits' now. No compensation, and due to posting fees not counting against salary cap you get an even bigger boost there. It will be interesting to see what happens.
   4. The District Attorney Posted: October 16, 2013 at 01:22 PM (#4574422)
Yeah, I expect Abreu to go for a ton, because as discussed you get more for your buck, and because of the success of Cespedes and Puig (even though we've seen before that the latter logic can be misleading).

I hope the Mets at least make an offer, but I certainly don't expect them to end up with the player, since I think the bidding will get out of their range, and since they have three guys (Ike, Duda, Flores) who at least carry some hope to fill the position adequately. (Unlike the corner outfield situation.)

   5. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 16, 2013 at 01:46 PM (#4574444)
Abreu (and other loophole Cuban players) are unique in that they only cost money AND there's no limit to how much can be spent on them for international signing purposes (obviously if the Yankees sign him, his salary counts for salary cap purposes).



And because of risk, they're generally cheaper than regular free agents, and even with the age fuzziness, younger. Any smart team should be in on Cuban FAs.
   6. The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott) Posted: October 16, 2013 at 03:40 PM (#4574612)
I'd be surprised if Napoli got a 3 year guaranteed deal, AVN doesn't go away. I'd expect if anything for him to get a single year with a fairly low base salary, but with a couple years of vesting options and lots of performance escalators.
   7. Long Time Listener, First Time Caller Posted: October 17, 2013 at 08:46 PM (#4576322)
Robothal reporting White Sox are expected to sign him at 6/68
   8. Dan Posted: October 17, 2013 at 09:26 PM (#4576370)
I'd be surprised if Napoli got a 3 year guaranteed deal, AVN doesn't go away. I'd expect if anything for him to get a single year with a fairly low base salary, but with a couple years of vesting options and lots of performance escalators.


I expect the Sox to give him a QO, and for him to accept it and be back for 1 year @ $14M.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Mike Emeigh
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogHeyman: Twins’ hiring of Falvey raising eyebrows
(4 - 12:52am, Sep 30)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogThe Other Weird Thing About the Home-Run Surge | FanGraphs Baseball
(38 - 12:44am, Sep 30)
Last: Cargo Cultist

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 9-29-16
(109 - 12:15am, Sep 30)
Last: PreservedFish

NewsblogTebow homers on first instructional league pitch
(41 - 12:04am, Sep 30)
Last: The Keith Law Blog Blah Blah (battlekow)

NewsblogAnthony Rizzo and Ben Zobrist were forced to swap positions (and gloves) for a single play | MLB.com
(54 - 11:48pm, Sep 29)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOTP 2016 Sep 26: A single for Donald Trump - He doesn’t have to hit a home run to send Hillary to the showers
(1441 - 11:47pm, Sep 29)
Last: PreservedFish

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 9-28-2016
(23 - 11:14pm, Sep 29)
Last: Whaddaya think of that, John Moore?

NewsblogJesus Montero suspended 50 games for use of a stimulant
(2 - 11:12pm, Sep 29)
Last: Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogOT - September 2016 College Football thread
(365 - 10:27pm, Sep 29)
Last: Lance Reddick! Lance him!

Sox TherapyLooking Ahead - Playoff Roster
(46 - 9:53pm, Sep 29)
Last: Textbook Editor

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 9-29-2016
(11 - 9:33pm, Sep 29)
Last: Hank G.

NewsblogUntitled — We all want the real Pitch, but...
(11 - 8:38pm, Sep 29)
Last: snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster)

Hall of Merit2017 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(108 - 8:35pm, Sep 29)
Last: Bleed the Freak

NewsblogOT: NBA 2016-17 Preseason Thread
(33 - 8:35pm, Sep 29)
Last: Crosseyed and Painless

Gonfalon CubsFear, Worry, and Overthinking
(5 - 8:29pm, Sep 29)
Last: Kiko Sakata

Page rendered in 0.2910 seconds
49 querie(s) executed