Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Free Agent Profile: Jose Dariel Abreu: MLB Rumors - MLBTradeRumors.com

Great breakdown from Tim Dierkes.

Predicting Abreu’s contract is particularly difficult without knowing the player’s goals.  Cespedes made a point of limiting his term to four years, to allow a quick path back to free agency.  Puig maximized his total dollars by taking a seven-year deal, a contract few saw coming in advance.  Napoli has his share of drawbacks, yet I’ve projected a three-year, $42MM contract.  Given that Abreu is more than five years younger, won’t cost a draft pick, and may have more power, an average annual value of $10MM or less may be a bargain.  $60MM over six years appears to be Abreu’s ceiling.  Ultimately I find the oft-cited six-year, $54MM prediction to be the best bet.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 16, 2013 at 11:50 AM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: cuban baseball, free agents, jose abreu

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Dale Sams Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:14 PM (#4574356)
Offer Nap a QO. If he doesn't bite you get a draft pick and either Carp or Nava can play 1B for nearly min.

But I'm sure the Sox will overpay for beard grit.
   2. JRVJ Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:16 PM (#4574360)
Abreu (and other loophole Cuban players) are unique in that they only cost money AND there's no limit to how much can be spent on them for international signing purposes (obviously if the Yankees sign him, his salary counts for salary cap purposes).

Seeing how much money there is in the game, I could see a team going hog wild for Abreu, with the express intent of bulking up their talent pool.

We'll see.
   3. John Northey Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:39 PM (#4574380)
Cuba and Japan are the 'magic money pits' now. No compensation, and due to posting fees not counting against salary cap you get an even bigger boost there. It will be interesting to see what happens.
   4. The District Attorney Posted: October 16, 2013 at 01:22 PM (#4574422)
Yeah, I expect Abreu to go for a ton, because as discussed you get more for your buck, and because of the success of Cespedes and Puig (even though we've seen before that the latter logic can be misleading).

I hope the Mets at least make an offer, but I certainly don't expect them to end up with the player, since I think the bidding will get out of their range, and since they have three guys (Ike, Duda, Flores) who at least carry some hope to fill the position adequately. (Unlike the corner outfield situation.)

   5. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 16, 2013 at 01:46 PM (#4574444)
Abreu (and other loophole Cuban players) are unique in that they only cost money AND there's no limit to how much can be spent on them for international signing purposes (obviously if the Yankees sign him, his salary counts for salary cap purposes).



And because of risk, they're generally cheaper than regular free agents, and even with the age fuzziness, younger. Any smart team should be in on Cuban FAs.
   6. The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott) Posted: October 16, 2013 at 03:40 PM (#4574612)
I'd be surprised if Napoli got a 3 year guaranteed deal, AVN doesn't go away. I'd expect if anything for him to get a single year with a fairly low base salary, but with a couple years of vesting options and lots of performance escalators.
   7. Long Time Listener, First Time Caller Posted: October 17, 2013 at 08:46 PM (#4576322)
Robothal reporting White Sox are expected to sign him at 6/68
   8. Dan Posted: October 17, 2013 at 09:26 PM (#4576370)
I'd be surprised if Napoli got a 3 year guaranteed deal, AVN doesn't go away. I'd expect if anything for him to get a single year with a fairly low base salary, but with a couple years of vesting options and lots of performance escalators.


I expect the Sox to give him a QO, and for him to accept it and be back for 1 year @ $14M.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Darren
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogReplay catches Albert Pujols off bag and costs LA Angels in loss at Texas
(43 - 11:35pm, May 01)
Last: Slivers of Maranville descends into chaos (SdeB)

NewsblogOTP 2016 April 25: Forget politics, baseball season in full gear
(1801 - 11:34pm, May 01)
Last: David Nieporent (now, with children)

Newsblog5-1-16 OMNICHATTER
(212 - 11:27pm, May 01)
Last: Jay Seaver

NewsblogWho Was Ty Cobb? The History We Know That’s Wrong
(20 - 11:26pm, May 01)
Last: zenbitz

NewsblogExploring how MLB has turned Yankee Stadium against Yankees | New York Post
(9 - 11:23pm, May 01)
Last: bobm

NewsblogThe strange saga of Jose Reyes is nearing an end. But what then? - The Denver Post
(59 - 11:19pm, May 01)
Last: madvillain

NewsblogOT: Wrestling Thread November 2014
(1526 - 10:54pm, May 01)
Last: Chokeland Bill

NewsblogOT: NBA Playoffs Thread 2016
(1001 - 10:53pm, May 01)
Last: Spivey

NewsblogSherman: How baseball enticed Dee Gordon to use PEDs
(51 - 10:28pm, May 01)
Last: bbmck

NewsblogOT: Soccer March/April 2016
(717 - 9:13pm, May 01)
Last: Biff, highly-regarded young guy

NewsblogBeyond the Boxscore: Joe Mauer is back.
(10 - 8:50pm, May 01)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogAn oral history of Kirk Gibson's 1988 World Series home run
(13 - 8:13pm, May 01)
Last: Guapo

NewsblogAstros, Rangers Exploring Carolina League Teams
(7 - 6:22pm, May 01)
Last: Fernigal McGunnigle has become a merry hat

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1992 Ballot
(12 - 5:41pm, May 01)
Last: I'll Call'A Rocky, You Colavito

NewsblogMiami Herald: MLB has suspended Dee Gordon for 80 games after he tested positive for PEDs
(60 - 3:55pm, May 01)
Last: cardsfanboy

Page rendered in 0.3049 seconds
47 querie(s) executed