Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Free Agent Profile: Jose Dariel Abreu: MLB Rumors - MLBTradeRumors.com

Great breakdown from Tim Dierkes.

Predicting Abreu’s contract is particularly difficult without knowing the player’s goals.  Cespedes made a point of limiting his term to four years, to allow a quick path back to free agency.  Puig maximized his total dollars by taking a seven-year deal, a contract few saw coming in advance.  Napoli has his share of drawbacks, yet I’ve projected a three-year, $42MM contract.  Given that Abreu is more than five years younger, won’t cost a draft pick, and may have more power, an average annual value of $10MM or less may be a bargain.  $60MM over six years appears to be Abreu’s ceiling.  Ultimately I find the oft-cited six-year, $54MM prediction to be the best bet.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 16, 2013 at 11:50 AM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: cuban baseball, free agents, jose abreu

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Dale Sams Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:14 PM (#4574356)
Offer Nap a QO. If he doesn't bite you get a draft pick and either Carp or Nava can play 1B for nearly min.

But I'm sure the Sox will overpay for beard grit.
   2. JRVJ Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:16 PM (#4574360)
Abreu (and other loophole Cuban players) are unique in that they only cost money AND there's no limit to how much can be spent on them for international signing purposes (obviously if the Yankees sign him, his salary counts for salary cap purposes).

Seeing how much money there is in the game, I could see a team going hog wild for Abreu, with the express intent of bulking up their talent pool.

We'll see.
   3. John Northey Posted: October 16, 2013 at 12:39 PM (#4574380)
Cuba and Japan are the 'magic money pits' now. No compensation, and due to posting fees not counting against salary cap you get an even bigger boost there. It will be interesting to see what happens.
   4. The District Attorney Posted: October 16, 2013 at 01:22 PM (#4574422)
Yeah, I expect Abreu to go for a ton, because as discussed you get more for your buck, and because of the success of Cespedes and Puig (even though we've seen before that the latter logic can be misleading).

I hope the Mets at least make an offer, but I certainly don't expect them to end up with the player, since I think the bidding will get out of their range, and since they have three guys (Ike, Duda, Flores) who at least carry some hope to fill the position adequately. (Unlike the corner outfield situation.)

   5. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 16, 2013 at 01:46 PM (#4574444)
Abreu (and other loophole Cuban players) are unique in that they only cost money AND there's no limit to how much can be spent on them for international signing purposes (obviously if the Yankees sign him, his salary counts for salary cap purposes).



And because of risk, they're generally cheaper than regular free agents, and even with the age fuzziness, younger. Any smart team should be in on Cuban FAs.
   6. The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott) Posted: October 16, 2013 at 03:40 PM (#4574612)
I'd be surprised if Napoli got a 3 year guaranteed deal, AVN doesn't go away. I'd expect if anything for him to get a single year with a fairly low base salary, but with a couple years of vesting options and lots of performance escalators.
   7. Long Time Listener, First Time Caller Posted: October 17, 2013 at 08:46 PM (#4576322)
Robothal reporting White Sox are expected to sign him at 6/68
   8. Dan Posted: October 17, 2013 at 09:26 PM (#4576370)
I'd be surprised if Napoli got a 3 year guaranteed deal, AVN doesn't go away. I'd expect if anything for him to get a single year with a fairly low base salary, but with a couple years of vesting options and lots of performance escalators.


I expect the Sox to give him a QO, and for him to accept it and be back for 1 year @ $14M.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Darren
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOTP: 5 December 2016: Baseball's New Collective Bargaining Agreement
(1281 - 10:32am, Dec 09)
Last: The Good Face

NewsblogPablo Sandoval got 'complacent' with big Red Sox deal
(35 - 10:31am, Dec 09)
Last: PreservedFish

Gonfalon CubsCubs roster update - post Winter Meetings
(13 - 10:31am, Dec 09)
Last: What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face?

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 12-9-2016
(2 - 10:31am, Dec 09)
Last: BDC

NewsblogIndians receiving perfect set of circumstances to make a run at Edwin Encarnacion - Indians - Ohio
(6 - 10:24am, Dec 09)
Last: Nasty Nate

NewsblogOT: NBA 2016-17 Preseason Thread
(1290 - 10:22am, Dec 09)
Last: Bitter Mouse, Space Tyrant

NewsblogCardinals near deal with OF Dexter Fowler | MLB.com
(2 - 10:12am, Dec 09)
Last: Renegade (((JE)))

NewsblogWould O's fans really hate Bautista if the team signed him? | Sports on Earth
(17 - 10:04am, Dec 09)
Last: Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogNationals acquire outfielder Adam Eaton | MLB.com
(66 - 10:01am, Dec 09)
Last: PreservedFish

NewsblogThe Aroldis Chapman fallout will be even more interesting than the deal itself | FOX Sports
(1 - 9:16am, Dec 09)
Last: RMc is Fairly Irrefutable

Newsblog2016 Rule 5 Draft results | MLB.com
(34 - 9:13am, Dec 09)
Last: Nasty Nate

NewsblogJAYSON STARK ON THE WINTER MEETINGS: “I’M ONLY GOING TO REPORT INFORMATION THAT I AM CONFIDENT ABOUT”
(9 - 4:40am, Dec 09)
Last: TVerik, who wonders what the hell is "Anskeey"

NewsblogAstros discuss deal for Jose Quintana, but White Sox want a haul - Houston Chronicle
(14 - 2:05am, Dec 09)
Last: ReggieThomasLives

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1999 Discussion
(5 - 9:47pm, Dec 08)
Last: DL from MN

NewsblogCards would have to leave comfort zone to land outfielder they desire | stltoday.com
(11 - 9:45pm, Dec 08)
Last: cardsfanboy

Page rendered in 0.1633 seconds
47 querie(s) executed