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Thursday, April 24, 2014

Full Count » Red Sox to call up right-hander Alex Wilson, option Daniel Nava

Nava had a great year in 2013. This year he has looked just awful on both sides of the ball. Still, I’m surprised they sent him down. Having options left is not good.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 24, 2014 at 06:47 AM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: daniel nava, red sox, shane victorino

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   1. villageidiom Posted: April 24, 2014 at 07:52 AM (#4692933)
Victorino completed his third rehab game on Tuesday in Triple-A Pawtucket, going 0-for-4 with three strikeouts. He has gone 1-for-11 with an infield single during his rehab assignment.
It's a rehab assignment, but still it doesn't inspire confidence.

...So if I have this straight, Nava went down and Wilson came up for Wednesday, in case they needed a fresh reliever. And today we expect Wilson to be sent down and Victorino to be activated, in time for a Doubront (5.1 IP average) start. What could possibly go wrong?

(Yeah, I know, "what could possibly go wrong" is another Mike Carp start in LF.)
   2. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: April 24, 2014 at 08:33 AM (#4692950)
The biggest thing here, as noted above, is that Nava has options, unlike some of the other players who they might rather send down.

However, other things are at play. Jackie Bradley, Jr. is putting them in a tough spot, because:

1) They don't want to keep him on the big league club unless he is playing pretty regularly.
2) His defense is awesome. It is clearly better than Ellsbury, and when Victorino comes back, that outfield defense becomes as good as anybody in baseball.
3) While his BA and SLG aren't good early on, he (like the other rookie in the lineup, Bogaerts) is a patient hitter, so the OBP is going to be pretty good if he hits .250...which everybody believes he can easily clear.
4) Nobody in the division is running away with it early on, so the Red Sox are not yet feeling a lot of pain from trying to incorporate two rookies into the lineup, and deal with a pair of injuries (Middlebrooks and Victorino).

So, I think this move is a sign that the team is comfortable enough with Bradley to keep him playing every day, even as Victorino comes back.
   3. The District Attorney Posted: April 24, 2014 at 10:50 AM (#4693090)
This is weird. The guy was 5th in the league in OBP last year.

No one wants Carp? I realize that the most likely suitor in Pittsburgh got Ike instead, but you would still think many other teams would have a lot more use for Carp than the Red Sox do. There is value in simply resolving the logjam, which presumably explains why the Mets were willing to accept an underwhelming package for Ike. (Of course, now I'm suggesting that the Red Sox emulate the Mets. Still...)
   4. Ray (RDP) Posted: April 24, 2014 at 10:59 AM (#4693105)
Nava having options basically explains it. He hasn't forgotten how to hit, unless he suddenly cratered, which I guess is possible but nobody sane concludes that based on three weeks of play.

That said, he's not a .300 hitter either, as he was last year (career high .352 BABIP last year). This year he's paid back the BABIP luck from last year with enough interest to satisfy a loan shark. He's got a .167 BABIP and the only reason for that (other than sheer bad luck) is that he's hitting more balls on the ground. His line drive rate and what he does with his flyballs are unchanged.

Again, it's 75 PA.
   5. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: April 24, 2014 at 11:00 AM (#4693106)
So if I have this straight, Nava went down and Wilson came up for Wednesday, in case they needed a fresh reliever. And today we expect Wilson to be sent down and Victorino to be activated, in time for a Doubront (5.1 IP average) start. What could possibly go wrong?


With Lackey's 8 innings last night the bullpen is refreshed. With short starts the last few nights the bullpen was blown out. If Doobs gets knocked out early the Sox can go to Badenhop or Capuano tonight. Neither guy was available last night so the Sox needed someone in case Lackey got knocked out early. If Doobs gets killed tonight the Sox still have depth.


No one wants Carp?


I suspect it is more of a function that the Sox want Carp than no one else wants him. There is no incentive for the Sox to just ship Carp out if they aren't making themselves better. Letting Nava (who has been AWFUL so far) get his timing back in Pawtucket isn't the worst move. The idea that in the next 3-4 weeks someone from Sizemore/Bradley/Carp/Gomes/Victorino is going to get hurt is not that big a reach.
   6. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: April 24, 2014 at 12:14 PM (#4693179)
I suspect it is more of a function that the Sox want Carp than no one else wants him. There is no incentive for the Sox to just ship Carp out if they aren't making themselves better. Letting Nava (who has been AWFUL so far) get his timing back in Pawtucket isn't the worst move. The idea that in the next 3-4 weeks someone from Sizemore/Bradley/Carp/Gomes/Victorino is going to get hurt is not that big a reach.


Agreed. Not having a single outfielder the Sox can pencil into the lineup on an everyday basis really does make Carp more valuable to them.
   7. Davo Dozier Posted: April 24, 2014 at 12:17 PM (#4693184)
Certainly the strangest transaction I've seen in a long time--those rules around Options sure play a big role. (Ten days ago, the Nats sent down reliever Aaron Barrett, who has been unhittable this year, because they needed a fresh arm in the bullpen and he was the only one with Options left.)

When I do OOTP simulations, I just turn those rules off. I don't want to worry about them!
   8. Walt Davis Posted: April 24, 2014 at 06:20 PM (#4693591)
What's strange about this transaction? With Victorino coming back, somebody had to go. They made the move a day early to get the extra pitcher for a day.

The "wild card" here has very little to do with Nava, Carp or Bradley -- it's the choice to keep Sizemore. He got off to a great start, has completely cratered over the last week (2 for 31) but stayed in the starting lineup. b-r has his defense in CF as being pretty awful though and, with Victorino back to provide CF cover, if Sizemore doesn't start hitting again soon, they'll release him. Of course if Carp doesn't start hitting again soon ... if Nava doesn't start hitting again soon ...
   9. Joe Bivens, Minor Genius Posted: April 24, 2014 at 06:48 PM (#4693612)
Sizemore tripled last night. One AB, I know, but he's worth more of a look.
   10. Joe Bivens, Minor Genius Posted: April 24, 2014 at 06:49 PM (#4693613)
Wait, was that Holt?
   11. Joe Bivens, Minor Genius Posted: April 24, 2014 at 06:53 PM (#4693617)
Nope, Sizemore.

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