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Thursday, May 17, 2012

Greenberg: Cubs’ Ricketts decries proposal

Chicago Cubs chairman Tom Ricketts issued a statement Thursday condemning “racially divisive issues” after an article in The New York Times detailing a proposal by Ricketts’ “super PAC” to challenge President Obama’s re-election campaign because of his relationship with controversial Rev. Jeremiah Wright, among other things.

The Cubs are currently working with Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel, President Obama’s former chief of staff, and the state of Illinois to craft a public/private financing plan to renovate Wrigley Field.

In a story posted on the New York Times’ website on Thursday morning, it was revealed that Joe Ricketts, the billionaire founder of TD Ameritrade who gave his children more than $400 million to buy the Cubs and Wrigley Field, was funding a $10 million political action committee, the Ending Spending Action Fund, aimed at challenging the president in the upcoming presidential election.

McCoy Wilfong for Money Posted: May 17, 2012 at 11:33 PM | 920 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   201. zenbitz Posted: May 20, 2012 at 03:51 PM (#4136385)
@193 - I have vol 1/2 on CD.
   202. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 03:55 PM (#4136388)
People do know - that's the point. Obama is "not an American" to his opponents - his skin color, "european style socialism" and Kenyan place of birth (don't even bother trying to convince a significant minority otherwise) are held to be hallmarks of his fundamental un-Americanism.
Fortunately, nobody ever criticized John Kerry as Europeanesqe -- French, to be specific.
   203. The Yankee Clapper Posted: May 20, 2012 at 04:30 PM (#4136400)
What strikes me as unique about the Obama situation is that the Derangement Syndrome has taken firm hold in the actual Congress.

Perhaps you missed Congressmen Kucinich, Conyers and others trying to impeach Bush & Cheney.

Obama was elected by a fairly comfortable margin in 2008. If he loses in 2012, it will be because people who previously voted for him object to the way he governed, and not because people who didn't vote for him in 2008 were "mean" to him.
   204. Jolly Old St. Nick Done Jumped The Ship Posted: May 20, 2012 at 04:32 PM (#4136401)
Fortunately, nobody ever criticized John Kerry as Europeanesqe -- French, to be specific.

Yes, we can all distinctly recall Donald Trump and a large percentage of the Republican electorate openly proclaiming themselves undecided about whether or not John Kerry was an American citizen, and not even constitutionally eligible to become president.
   205. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 04:51 PM (#4136411)
Yes, Downtown Bookie's #194 explains perfectly what I was trying to get at:
But this isn't that. This is just a blind hatred for an individual to the point where neither logic nor core principles play any role. And though I've made many trips around the Sun, and I've seen a lot of hatred directed at many a politician, this is a phenomena that I'm experiencing for the first time.

And it's kinda sad.
   206. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:02 PM (#4136421)
Perhaps you missed Congressmen Kucinich, Conyers and others trying to impeach Bush & Cheney.
Setting aside whether they were right or wrong in their beliefs, I don't think trying to impeach a president whom you believed lied to Congress in order to go to war is "deranged."
   207. Jolly Old St. Nick Done Jumped The Ship Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:18 PM (#4136429)
Setting aside whether they were right or wrong in their beliefs, I don't think trying to impeach a president whom you believed lied to Congress in order to go to war is "deranged."

Not to mention that while impeachment has either been proposed or enacted against many presidents, no other president until now has has his very identity as as American questioned. That's the fundamental distinction that some people here simply refuse to see as substantially different.
   208. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:33 PM (#4136435)
Obama's long-run reputation will of course depend in great part on the perception of the economy during his time in office. But what makes him fundamentally different from Bush and LBJ is that[/quote...]Andy is fundamentally incapable of generalizing anything, and every single thing is different than everything else, and no matter how many similarities you point out he'll just move the goalposts. I mean, no other president in history has ever been called "Barack" by his opponents! Thus, all criticism of him is by nature entirely different than all criticism of every past president!
   209. McCoy Wilfong for Money Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:39 PM (#4136440)
no other president until now has has his very identity as as American questioned.

Well, almost all of them have had their loyalty questioned which I think is a lot worse. On one side people are saying person X wasn't born in America while on the other side you have people saying that person X is a spy, a traitor, a puppet for foreign interests, yadda-yadda.

I also find it hard to believe that during the 19th century that they didn't use any kind of similar slander against politicians at all. I mean I bet it would have been a slander against Hamilton if ever ran for President.
   210. tshipman Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:42 PM (#4136443)
If he loses in 2012, it will be because people who previously voted for him object to the way he governed, and not because people who didn't vote for him in 2008 were "mean" to him.


I think it's far more likely that there will not be a significant number of people who literally switch their vote. If Obama loses, it will almost certainly because people who voted for him stay home and people who didn't vote last cycle come out.

Any voters who change their vote will most likely not be motivated by specific critiques of his policies so much as a general sense of frustration with the economy.

I think that there are very, very few voters (less than 1% of the electorate) who voted for Obama and specifically will vote for Romney based on any actual policy decisions by the administration.
   211. spike Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:43 PM (#4136445)
No shortage of sitting Congressmen who'd like to impeach -

Rep.Todd Akin (R- Missouri) says the President has only escaped impeachment so far for 'tactical' reasons in the Republican House,Rep. Cliff Stearns (R-Fla.) says the birth certificate is enough to start proceedings, but it would be too time consuming at the moment; Rep. Trent Franks (R-Ariz.) has raised the prospect of impeaching Obama over DOMA; and Rep. Michael Burgess (R-Texas) talked up the idea of presidential impeachment because "it would tie things up" in Washington for a while, making governing impossible.

In 2010, both Rep. Darrell Issa (R-Calif.) and Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) also raised impeaching Obama.
   212. McCoy Wilfong for Money Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:47 PM (#4136447)
Quick google search turns up:
Chester A. Arthur
Christopher Schurmann
Charles Hughes
Barry Goldwater
George Romney

   213. McCoy Wilfong for Money Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:49 PM (#4136448)
I can't imagine anyway on election day someone saying, "I voted for Obama in 2008 but now I'm going to vote for Romney". That's a weird person that does that.
   214. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 05:57 PM (#4136456)
Andy is fundamentally incapable of generalizing anything, and every single thing is different than everything else, and no matter how many similarities you point out he'll just move the goalposts. I mean, no other president in history has ever been called "Barack" by his opponents! Thus, all criticism of him is by nature entirely different than all criticism of every past president!
His argument is that many people refuse to recognize Obama's very legitimacy based on purely personal animus. I don't see why that's hard to understand, or that's it's a nit-picky argument.
   215. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 06:10 PM (#4136462)
His argument is that many people refuse to recognize Obama's very legitimacy based on purely personal animus. I don't see why that's hard to understand, or that's it's a nit-picky argument.


It's no different from Bush Derangement Syndrome, or the dozens of lies presented in Farenheit 9/11 (which many mainstream liberals and Democrats signed on to), etc.
   216. JE (Jason Epstein) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 06:15 PM (#4136466)
2012:
I can't imagine anyway on election day someone saying, "I voted for Obama in 2008 but now I'm going to vote for Romney". That's a weird person that does that.

1972:
"I live in a rather special world. I only know one person who voted for Nixon. Where they are I don’t know. They’re outside my ken. But sometimes when I’m in a theater I can feel them."
   217. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: May 20, 2012 at 06:24 PM (#4136469)
Kael-ed!
   218. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 06:42 PM (#4136480)
It's no different from Bush Derangement Syndrome,
No, that term refers to an irrational hatred/paranoia of Bush. Not the same.
or the dozens of lies presented in Farenheit 9/11 (which many mainstream liberals and Democrats signed on to), etc
I don't know what these are, but If there are any that are analogous, I'd like to hear them.
   219. Dan The Mediocre Posted: May 20, 2012 at 06:44 PM (#4136483)
or the dozens of lies presented in Farenheit 9/11 (which many mainstream liberals and Democrats signed on to), etc


Care to name a few of these?
   220. Jarrod HypnerotomachiaPoliphili(Teddy F. Ballgame) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 06:48 PM (#4136484)
It's no different from Bush Derangement Syndrome, or the dozens of lies presented in Farenheit 9/11 (which many mainstream liberals and Democrats signed on to), etc.


Even assuming everything nasty said about Bush by his opposition was a lie, you don't see a difference between attacking someone based on his (alleged) actions and attacking someone based on who he is?
   221. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: May 20, 2012 at 07:13 PM (#4136496)
That the ACA was, at heart, a Heritage Foundation idea, yet is now attacked as the Devil's own work... well, that tells me what I need to know about many things, such as opposing Obama for his ideas vs. because he's Obama.
   222. robinred Posted: May 20, 2012 at 07:21 PM (#4136501)
I like Obama, and I didn't like Bush, but I think it's important to remember that there is no VLAPP (Vitriol Level Above Previous President) metric. All POTUSes and POTUS candidates get attacked on a combination of their actions, their policies, their words, and the parts of their images that their opponents can go after. I agree in a sense with the guy who said Obama is a "normal dude." Obama is a pol, a very good one, and he has run his career to this point without having been exposed in a major scandal involving influence, policy, money, or sex. Like all big-time pols, he is a very competitive person, but off-stage, he appears to be simply a mild-mannered, well-spoken family man who would be a law professor if he weren't in politics.

So, with that to "work with", the GOP attack dogs have latched on to, among other things, his demographic profile, which is certainly far different in some ways than any POTUS we have had before. In that sense, the way he is attacked is obviously "different." Saying that one knows for sure that it is worse or more vicious, or, alternatively, that one knows for sure that it isn't, are nothing but assertions that are totally unprovable, sort of like saying that Obama wasn't "vetted" enough.

The argument in favor of Obama attacks being worse is the fact that there is the shadow of racism attached to some of them. I take that seriously, but again, it is not something that can be measured or proven, other than that we know if affects some extremists.
   223. cercopithecus aethiops Posted: May 20, 2012 at 07:23 PM (#4136502)
I can't imagine anyway on election day someone saying, "I voted for Obama in 2008 but now I'm going to vote for Romney". That's a weird person that does that.


I'm not that surprised to hear this sort of thing said about any incumbent. But I tend to think that most people who say it are lying about who they voted for in the previous election.

That the ACA was, at heart, a Heritage Foundation idea, yet is now attacked as the Devil's own work... well, that tells me what I need to know about many things, such as attacks against Obama for his ideas vs. because he's Obama.


At least part of that can be explained as standard issue conservative goalpost-moving. The ACA is what the Heritage Foundation wanted when they thought Hillary Clinton was going to give them something that they considered much worse; that doesn't mean it's what they want 20 years later. If Obama came out in favor of making the Bush tax cuts permanent tomorrow, Boehner would insist that that's not enough and his conference won't go along unless he agrees to cut taxes even further.
   224. tshipman Posted: May 20, 2012 at 07:33 PM (#4136505)
I can't imagine anyway on election day someone saying, "I voted for Obama in 2008 but now I'm going to vote for Romney". That's a weird person that does that.


I can imagine someone doing this. But the people who do this say things like, "Well, the economy just isn't where it needs to be." Or, "I think that he wants to raise my taxes," or even, "He wants to take my gun away!"

The number of voters who were Obama 2008 voters but will be Romney 2012 voters are not the kind of people who have sophisticated views of policy. I would go so far as to say that if you're really someone who is paying attention, the only way you are a Romney 2012 voter is if you believe that lowering taxes on the rich is the single biggest issue for Americans, or you think of voting for president as some weird social/tribal thing. (Okay, one other caveat, you're like some kind of weird, committed nutbag Austrian).

The Republican party in 2012 is a single issue party: Lower taxes for rich people. That is it.
   225. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 07:51 PM (#4136512)
His argument is that many people refuse to recognize Obama's very legitimacy based on purely personal animus. I don't see why that's hard to understand, or that's it's a nit-picky argument.
Because he has gerrymandered his argument in such a way that it has to be true, but is meaningless. Obviously no other president has ever been accused of having been born in Kenya. But plenty of other presidents have had their legitimacy questioned, starting with each of his predecessors. And "personal animus"? Do you really think that if he had an (R) after his name, the people challenging Obama (*) would be doing so? Different presidents' legitimacies are challenged in different ways because the specific facts are different, but Reagan was called a senile actor who just read his scripts, and was just a figurehead. Bush 43 of course stole an election, and was just a puppet of Karl Rove and Dick Cheney. Clinton only won because of Perot, and of course should have been impeached. Etc. There's nothing special about the reaction to Obama. It's no more vitriolic than the reaction to any other president. It's just more recent, so it seems more prominent.




(*) I'm not talking about the Orly Taitzes of the world. There are always nuts out there. It's just that they usually don't get so much media attention.
   226. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 07:53 PM (#4136513)
I can't imagine anyway on election day someone saying, "I voted for Obama in 2008 but now I'm going to vote for Romney". That's a weird person that does that.
Out of curiosity, why? It doesn't even take any complicated reasoning; you just have to like Romney more than McCain.
   227. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 07:58 PM (#4136515)
That the ACA was, at heart, a Heritage Foundation idea, yet is now attacked as the Devil's own work... well, that tells me what I need to know about many things, such as opposing Obama for his ideas vs. because he's Obama.
It was repudiated by Heritage 15 years ago, long before anyone had heard of Barack Obama.
   228. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:07 PM (#4136519)
It's no different from Bush Derangement Syndrome,

No, that term refers to an irrational hatred/paranoia of Bush. Not the same.


It is the same, unless your point is that Bush and Obama are literally two different people.

The Kenya thing is an irrational hatred/paranoia of Obama. With a dose of racism mixed in, but obviously Bush isn't black so racism couldn't have been a motivation of his detractors. The specific facts are different, which is the entire "difference" here. There is nothing different substantively: critics who are irrational and driven by hatred/paranoia will latch on to any possible thing they can. As with Bush.
   229. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:11 PM (#4136521)
It was repudiated by Heritage 15 years ago, long before anyone had heard of Barack Obama.
Here is Heritage's explanation of its anti-ACA amicus brief, filed in May. If you can find me a reference to any past repudiation, I'd appreciate it.
Over 21 years ago, Heritage analysts initially (and mistakenly) considered the idea of a limited individual mandate coupled with appropriate tax incentives as a favorable answer to the “free rider” problem—i.e., citizens who do not buy personal health insurance knowing that, in the event of illness or injury, the government will ensure they get the necessary medical care. Of course, even that limited and qualified position did not demonstrate support for an unqualified individual mandate as structured in the Obamacare statute.
   230. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:12 PM (#4136522)
or the dozens of lies presented in Farenheit 9/11 (which many mainstream liberals and Democrats signed on to), etc

Care to name a few of these?


No, I don't. I'm not going to sit here and educate you as to basic facts from several years ago. It would be like demanding to know all the reasons why Jeff Francoeur is not as good as Mickey Mantle was. It's not a crime to be uninformed, but if you are, a little research will go a long way.
   231. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:19 PM (#4136525)
Reagan was called a senile actor who just read his scripts,

Which was actually true, by his second term. Not his fault, of course. The poor SOB had Alzheimers, which isn't even something I'd wish on Ronald Reagan.
   232. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:25 PM (#4136528)
The first half of Farenheit 911 with all the Carlysle Group and Bandar Bush nonsense was really terrible in retrospect. The second half is good.
   233. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:27 PM (#4136529)
That Amicus Brief is hysterical: in brief, a limited individual mandate with tax incentives is good conservative policy, a broader mandate with tax penalties could only have been cooked up by Nazi Stalinist crossbreed terrorists.
   234. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:41 PM (#4136533)
But plenty of other presidents have had their legitimacy questioned, starting with each of his predecessors. And "personal animus"? Do you really think that if he had an (R) after his name, the people challenging Obama (*) would be doing so? Different presidents' legitimacies are challenged in different ways because the specific facts are different, but Reagan was called a senile actor who just read his scripts, and was just a figurehead. Bush 43 of course stole an election, and was just a puppet of Karl Rove and Dick Cheney. Clinton only won because of Perot, and of course should have been impeached. Etc. There's nothing special about the reaction to Obama. It's no more vitriolic than the reaction to any other president. It's just more recent, so it seems more prominent.
You're not understanding what "legitimacy" means in the context of this argument. The examples above are primarily judgments of competency and/or ability to govern, not of the legitimacy of the presidency, with the exception of Bush 43.
   235. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:42 PM (#4136534)
Here is Heritage's explanation of its anti-ACA amicus brief, filed in May. If you can find me a reference to any past repudiation, I'd appreciate it.
I don't have time to go back through all of Heritage's history tonight to pull references, but you might want to check the actual brief, instead of Heritage's blog post about its brief. It cites two specific instances -- both in the 2000s, but pre-Obama. (2006, when Obama was just an inexperienced first-term senator, and 2008, when Obama was still opposed to the mandate. Hillary supported it in the primaries; Obama opposed it.))

(Oh, and contrary to cercopithecus aethiops in #223, the ACA is not "what the Heritage Foundation wanted when they thought Hillary Clinton was going to give them something that they considered much worse." The first paper they published which endorsed a mandate was published while George Herbert Walker Bush was president.)

Heritage also argues that the mandate they discussed differed in significant ways from the Obamacare mandate, for what it's worth. In any case, when Heritage first published a paper supporting the mandate, they were not addressing the constitutional issue. The constitutional landscape changed in the mid-1990s, after Lopez.
   236. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:47 PM (#4136535)
It is the same, unless your point is that Bush and Obama are literally two different people.

The Kenya thing is an irrational hatred/paranoia of Obama. With a dose of racism mixed in, but obviously Bush isn't black so racism couldn't have been a motivation of his detractors. The specific facts are different, which is the entire "difference" here. There is nothing different substantively: critics who are irrational and driven by hatred/paranoia will latch on to any possible thing they can. As with Bush.
No. The Kenya thing is a refusal to recognize his presidency as legitimate. The Bush Derangement Syndrome is an irrational hatred/paranoia of Bush, not a refusal to recognize his presidency as legitimate. (There are plenty of people who do, but that's not what Bush Derangement Syndrome purports to describe.)
   237. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:52 PM (#4136538)
No. The Kenya thing is a refusal to recognize his presidency as legitimate.


And Bush's presidency was illegitimate because he stole the election.

It's the same attack, brought on by a different mechanism.
   238. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:52 PM (#4136539)
You're not understanding what "legitimacy" means in the context of this argument. The examples above are primarily judgments of competency and/or ability to govern, not of the legitimacy of the presidency, with the exception of Bush 43.
No. They're just different ways of challenging the legitimacy. Nobody else was going to be challenged as being Kenyan because that wouldn't have made sense for the specifics of any other president. But they were challenged in ways that were applicable to their situation.
   239. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 08:57 PM (#4136540)

And Bush's presidency was illegitimate because he stole the election.

It's the same attack, brought on by a different mechanism.
Bush Derangement Syndrome doesn't refer to claims that "Bush stole the election." It's an irrational hatred/paranoia of Bush, according to the guy who coined the phrase. Now, some people who have the latter surely believe the former, but that's not what the term means.
   240. Jolly Old St. Nick Done Jumped The Ship Posted: May 20, 2012 at 09:19 PM (#4136551)
Even assuming everything nasty said about Bush by his opposition was a lie, you don't see a difference between attacking someone based on his (alleged) actions and attacking someone based on who he is?

Clearly they don't, because otherwise they wouldn't keep raising the same point over and over that's already been conceded over and over. Nobody's disputing that other presidents have been subject to vitriol as intense as Obama's. But seeing that this is coming from the same people who wouldn't concede that the earth is round if a liberal scientist said that it was, their reaction is hardly surprising.

--------------------------------------------------

The argument in favor of Obama attacks being worse is the fact that there is the shadow of racism attached to some of them. I take that seriously, but again, it is not something that can be measured or proven, other than that we know if affects some extremists.

Robin, it's not necessarily "worse" in terms of vitriol level, because it'd be hard to top the level of bile that was directed against (just to name a few) Hoover, FDR, Truman, LBJ, Nixon, Reagan, Clinton and Bush II. But to have one's American identity repeatedly attacked is fundamentally different in nature from any even the sort of rhetoric that was directed against those eight.

Robin, imagine if 20% of the Primates here started questioning David's citizenship on the grounds that "we don't know where he was born", and some of them started spreading lies that he was really born in Israel rather than in the U.S., even though his birth had been duly noted in two local newspapers at the time of his birth. On one level that wouldn't necessarily be any worse than the sort of personal insults that he and Kevin used to hurl at each other, but it would still be fundamentally different than the usual sort of slamming. And while David would likely laugh it off as the work of a group of deranged fools, I think he might have the right to suspect that there was something a bit darker that lay underneath those charges, and that if the number of people who believed them began to grow, it would be cause for concern.




   241. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 09:32 PM (#4136554)
No. They're just different ways of challenging the legitimacy. Nobody else was going to be challenged as being Kenyan because that wouldn't have made sense for the specifics of any other president. But they were challenged in ways that were applicable to their situation.
I'm sorry, but despising Clinton for lying under oath or Bush 2 for acting as Karl Rove's puppet isn't the same.
   242. The Yankee Clapper Posted: May 20, 2012 at 10:00 PM (#4136561)
I can't imagine anyway on election day someone saying, "I voted for Obama in 2008 but now I'm going to vote for Romney". That's a weird person that does that.

Obama campaigned as a post-partisan politician who, among other things, would restore competence to government, rein in the deficits, and get the economy going. Just about every poll gives him lower marks in those areas compared to 2008. I suppose it is possible for someone to not know that type of voters, even if their existence, if not precise number, is pretty obvious. After all, Pauline Kael didn't know anyone that didn't vote for McGovern.
   243. Dan The Mediocre Posted: May 20, 2012 at 10:05 PM (#4136565)
No, I don't. I'm not going to sit here and educate you as to basic facts from several years ago. It would be like demanding to know all the reasons why Jeff Francoeur is not as good as Mickey Mantle was. It's not a crime to be uninformed, but if you are, a little research will go a long way.


In other words, you have nothing.

But if you had bothered to list names, you'd notice a key difference in terms of how much they were accepted compared to Republicans talking about Obama being born in Kenya or impeaching him.
   244. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: May 20, 2012 at 10:14 PM (#4136572)
edit, dumb comment
   245. tshipman Posted: May 20, 2012 at 10:34 PM (#4136577)
Obama campaigned as a post-partisan politician who, among other things, would restore competence to government, rein in the deficits, and get the economy going. Just about every poll gives him lower marks in those areas compared to 2008. I suppose it is possible for someone to not know that type of voters, even if their existence, if not precise number, is pretty obvious. After all, Pauline Kael didn't know anyone that didn't vote for McGovern.


See, this is sort of interesting. Yes, if someone switches their vote from 2008, they would likely cite those things. And yet, if they were paying attention, they wouldn't switch their vote. Obama has, pretty unquestionably, dramatically increased the competence level of the federal government, this can be seen most dramatically in our diplomatic relations. He's attempted a number of deficit reduction deals (most significantly to the right of the median voter). The best part, the one about getting the economy going, that was actively sabotaged by Republicans with the debt ceiling nonsense.

This is what I mean by people paying attention. If you're paying attention, close attention, it's really striking the level of bad governance from the GOP.
   246. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: May 20, 2012 at 10:43 PM (#4136579)
If the GOP accepts Obama's offer of the "Grand Bargain" last summer, what does the resulting austerity do to the US recovery? Recall: It had cuts upwards of $4.5 trillion, according to Time.
   247. Weekly Journalist_ Posted: May 20, 2012 at 10:55 PM (#4136584)
I believe...and I could be wrong...but I believe those cuts were mostly set to take effect a few years down the road.
   248. tshipman Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:01 PM (#4136588)
I believe...and I could be wrong...but I believe those cuts were mostly set to take effect a few years down the road.


This is correct.


If the GOP accepts Obama's offer of the "Grand Bargain" last summer, what does the resulting austerity do to the US recovery? Recall: It had cuts upwards of $4.5 trillion, according to Time.


Here's the thing though: the whole debt ceiling fiasco was incredibly harmful in and of itself. Just the fact that there was a showdown over something so stupid caused huge amounts of uncertainty in hiring and consequently, demand.
   249. The Yankee Clapper Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:15 PM (#4136596)
Obama has, pretty unquestionably, dramatically increased the competence level of the federal government, this can be seen most dramatically in our diplomatic relations. He's attempted a number of deficit reduction deals (most significantly to the right of the median voter). The best part, the one about getting the economy going, that was actively sabotaged by Republicans with the debt ceiling nonsense.

I think you're assuming that policies, or politicians, you agree with are "more competent" than those you disagree with, although that might well be true for those of different persuasions, too. In any event, Obama and his party had control of the White House and both Houses of Congress until 2011 - making it somewhat difficult to blame the economy on GOP sabotage. Obama got the stimulus he wanted but many voters don't think it was affordable or well spent.
   250. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:17 PM (#4136597)
The claim that other presidents haven't had their citizenship challenged may be technically true (I don't know for sure), but certainly candidates who were one step from the presidency have been subject to this. As Snopes points out (see the last paragraph in particular), McCain's citizenship status was challenged (born in the Panama Canal Zone), as well as Goldwater's (born in Arizona before Arizona was admitted as a state).

Does it not "count" because neither McCain nor Goldwater ultimately became president? Would the challenges have stopped if they had?

It's a particularly egregious challenge in McCain's case because he fought in a war for the US.

In any event, the point is that crazed critics will seize upon any possible argument against a president.
   251. Gold Star - just Gold Star Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:19 PM (#4136598)
I think you're assuming that policies, or politicians, you agree with are "more competent" than those you disagree with...
I have a policy preference of the government responding well to emergencies, such as hurricanes.
   252. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:31 PM (#4136602)
In any event, the point is that crazed critics will seize upon any possible argument against a president.
Sure. But it's not about whether some crazies will do this with any candidate/president. It's about the magnitude of this phenomenon re Obama.
   253. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:36 PM (#4136603)
Sure. But it's not about whether some crazies will do this with any candidate/president. It's about the magnitude of this phenomenon re Obama.


Yes, yes, there's always some stated reason why like things are supposedly different.

This reminds me about the lawyer who had no argument for why his client's case was distinguishable from the precedent cited against him. "Your Honor, everything about this case is different -- why, even the parties' names are different."

   254. Zipperholes Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:55 PM (#4136605)
Yes, there's always some stated reason why like things are supposedly different.

This reminds me about the lawyer who had no argument for why his client's case was distinguishable from the precedent cited against him. "Your Honor, everything about this case is different -- why, even the parties' names are different."
The premise of this entire discussion was that a huge chunk of the population--i.e., millions of people--has a particular attitude towards Obama.

A few crazies on the fringe holding similar beliefs about other candidates isn't analogous.
   255. Jolly Old St. Nick Done Jumped The Ship Posted: May 20, 2012 at 11:58 PM (#4136608)
The claim that other presidents haven't had their citizenship challenged may be technically true (I don't know for sure), but certainly candidates who were one step from the presidency have been subject to this. As Snopes points out (see the last paragraph in particular), McCain's citizenship status was challenged (born in the Panama Canal Zone), as well as Goldwater's (born in Arizona before Arizona was admitted as a state).

Does it not "count" because neither McCain nor Goldwater ultimately became president? Would the challenges have stopped if they had?


No, they don't "count" because those two challenges rose to about the decibel level of Harold Stassen's 7th run for the presidency. They didn't come within a million miles of being seriously advanced by anyone other than a few forgotten individuals or fringe groups, none of whom you could likely name without resorting to google. They weren't advanced or hemmed and hawed by any Democratic officeholders, by any Democratic counterpart to Donald Trump, or by double digit numbers of rank and file Democrats. They weren't featured on scores of True Believer talk shows on and off for four whole years. Your feeble attempts at equating apples and oranges are getting weaker by the minute.
   256. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 12:17 AM (#4136615)
Obama campaigned as a post-partisan politician who, among other things, would restore competence to government, rein in the deficits, and get the economy going. Just about every poll gives him lower marks in those areas compared to 2008. I suppose it is possible for someone to not know that type of voters, even if their existence, if not precise number, is pretty obvious. After all, Pauline Kael didn't know anyone that didn't vote for McGovern.

See, this is sort of interesting. Yes, if someone switches their vote from 2008, they would likely cite those things. And yet, if they were paying attention, they wouldn't switch their vote. Obama has, pretty unquestionably, dramatically increased the competence level of the federal government, this can be seen most dramatically in our diplomatic relations. He's attempted a number of deficit reduction deals (most significantly to the right of the median voter). The best part, the one about getting the economy going, that was actively sabotaged by Republicans with the debt ceiling nonsense.
Your argument makes no sense. Even if one agrees that Obama had good ideas in these areas, what's the argument, exactly? "Reelect Obama: It's not his fault that he couldn't get anything done."


EDIT: Oops, missed the part about "diplomatic relations." Okay, how about, "Reelect Obama: It's not his fault that he couldn't get anything done. And he's popular in Europe."
   257. McCoy Wilfong for Money Posted: May 21, 2012 at 01:25 AM (#4136624)
They didn't come within a million miles of being seriously advanced by anyone other than a few forgotten individuals or fringe groups, none of whom you could likely name without resorting to google.

Well, each good attack on a President requires "something" for the crazies to latch onto. Clinton had Whitewater which turned into Monica. Obama has birthers because it appears to damage the President and there is "something" there. If Obama was simply a black man born in Chicago, Illinois and lived all his life in Illinois until his 16th birthday this wouldn't be an issue. It's an issue because for the most part it is all "they" have and it is all they have that appears to have teeth. What is being done to him on this issue is no different than what was done to every single President before him.
   258. tshipman Posted: May 21, 2012 at 01:30 AM (#4136625)
Your argument makes no sense. Even if one agrees that Obama had good ideas in these areas, what's the argument, exactly? "Reelect Obama: It's not his fault that he couldn't get anything done."


Why would you vote to elect people who at best don't take governance seriously and at worst actively sabotaged their country?


I think you're assuming that policies, or politicians, you agree with are "more competent" than those you disagree with, although that might well be true for those of different persuasions, too. In any event, Obama and his party had control of the White House and both Houses of Congress until 2011 - making it somewhat difficult to blame the economy on GOP sabotage. Obama got the stimulus he wanted but many voters don't think it was affordable or well spent.


No, I mean Hillary has been massively competent. NATO is back to going along with whatever we say, AsiaPAC region is more closely aligned to our interests rather than China's, I can keep going. US Foreign Policy is back to having grown-ups in charge.

Dems had a filibuster proof majority for two months. R's turned the Senate into a 60 vote minimum chamber. That is bad governance. And O didn't get the stimulus he wanted. POTUS assumed that if the economy were still struggling, more stimulative measures would still be on the table. Thus he did not go as big as he would have otherwise.
   259. Liver of blaspheming 'zop Posted: May 21, 2012 at 04:21 AM (#4136640)
Tshipman, just because you agree with what someone does doesn't make it competent. In fact, given the time needed to figure out if something was "competent" or not, I submit there's no way you could determine the competence of recent policy beyond a simple "oh, I like that idea". Hell, in 2003 I thought invading Iraq was competent, and i had a friend - a tenured Ivy League professor, no less, who was an ardent John Edwards supporter because he thought he was the only "competent" candidate.
   260. The Id of SugarBear Blanks Posted: May 21, 2012 at 08:39 AM (#4136668)
Okay, how about, "Reelect Obama: It's not his fault that he couldn't get anything done. And he's popular in Europe."

And he won the Nobel Peace Prize!!!
   261. The Id of SugarBear Blanks Posted: May 21, 2012 at 08:43 AM (#4136669)
NATO is back to going along with whatever we say,

Except for France, which looks likely to pull its troops out of Afghanistan on their own timetable, i.e., significantly quicker than the US wants.
   262. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 08:44 AM (#4136671)
No, they don't "count" because those two challenges rose to about the decibel level of Harold Stassen's 7th run for the presidency. They didn't come within a million miles of being seriously advanced by anyone other than a few forgotten individuals or fringe groups, none of whom you could likely name without resorting to google.


It's just funny that you say this, and then you cite Donald Trump, who is the Donald Duck of politics, complete with a hairstyle that looks like a duck's ass.

Or did you think Trump's run for the presidency was taken seriously by people?
   263. Bernal Diaz has an angel on his shoulder Posted: May 21, 2012 at 08:53 AM (#4136674)
Perhaps not in NYC but out here in flyover country Trump was taken seriously. He has a tv show after all. Then Obama crushed him like the bug he is. That was fun. Oh and the vitriol against Obama is because he is black. Pretty simple really.
   264. The Id of SugarBear Blanks Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:01 AM (#4136680)
Perhaps not in NYC but out here in flyover country Trump was taken seriously. He has a tv show after all. Then Obama crushed him like the bug he is. That was fun. Oh and the vitriol against Obama is because he is black. Pretty simple really.

So America's preeminent carnival barker got himself some attention, and that's supposed to mean something?
   265. The Id of SugarBear Blanks Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:03 AM (#4136683)
So why is JP Morgan still taking massive trading risks and losing my money 3 1/2 years into the era of presidential "competence"?

What exactly is it that Obama has accomplished, other than being a relatively erudite non-Texan?
   266. Jolly Old St. Nick Done Jumped The Ship Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:21 AM (#4136694)
The claim that other presidents haven't had their citizenship challenged may be technically true (I don't know for sure), but certainly candidates who were one step from the presidency have been subject to this. As Snopes points out (see the last paragraph in particular), McCain's citizenship status was challenged (born in the Panama Canal Zone), as well as Goldwater's (born in Arizona before Arizona was admitted as a state).

Does it not "count" because neither McCain nor Goldwater ultimately became president? Would the challenges have stopped if they had?

No, they don't "count" because those two challenges rose to about the decibel level of Harold Stassen's 7th run for the presidency. They didn't come within a million miles of being seriously advanced by anyone other than a few forgotten individuals or fringe groups, none of whom you could likely name without resorting to google.

It's just funny that you say this, and then you cite Donald Trump, who is the Donald Duck of politics, complete with a hairstyle that looks like a duck's ass.


I guess that means that at one point 17% of the Republican primary voters thought of voting for Donald Duck.

But of course Trump wasn't the only Republican parroting those "doubts" about Obama's citizenship. The entire Republican talk show ensemble has been doing it on and off for the last four years, always in the "just asking questions" mode. The Republican secretary of state in Arizona is vowing to keep Obama off this year's ballot if Hawaii doesn't send him Obama's birth certificate. There wasn't anything remotely comparable to any of this in the cases of Goldwater and McCain that you cited as similar birther claims, and you know it.
   267. Liver of blaspheming 'zop Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:34 AM (#4136698)
There wasn't anything remotely comparable to any of this in the cases of Goldwater and McCain that you cited as similar birther claims, and you know it.


As mentioned upthread, it's a dead parallel for Chester Arthur.
   268. Rickey Fredonia Fudge Duckery Precious Twiddle Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:40 AM (#4136702)
I can't imagine anyway on election day someone saying, "I voted for Obama in 2008 but now I'm going to vote for Romney". That's a weird person that does that.


I know a few folks who theoretically voted for Obama in 2008 who say they will not vote for him in 2012. Most of them say they're going 3rd party, though, not GOP. Of course, I'm not sure I believe them. Can't trust a right winger, ya know. Best to just put 'em down, and double tap for good measure.
   269. BDC Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:49 AM (#4136708)
What exactly is it that Obama has accomplished, other than being a relatively erudite non-Texan?

Ending US involvement in the Iraq war and passing the health care bill.

There are also numerous minor accomplishments that resonate more with the left than globally, but they are important to me and many who will vote like me: two crucial Supreme Court nominations, the repeal of DADT, support for gay marriage (finally).

Obama has clearly disappointed the left on most issues (quite an irony for those who see him as some sort of raving socialist). But on the whole, I don't think he's disappointed the left as much as Bill Clinton did in his first term.
   270. Bernal Diaz has an angel on his shoulder Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:52 AM (#4136710)
The whole Osama Bin Laden thing was pretty good too.
   271. The Id of SugarBear Blanks Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:54 AM (#4136711)
I voted for him in 2008, with the hope of some level of reform -- particularly in the areas of civil liberties, war crimes, and the financial system. He's done nothing but go along to get along since Inauguration Day. He's been a mediocre steward of the macroeconomy and, for all the testimonials to his "competence" and international "influence," there is little to no harmony between European and US economic policy.

He's failed a lot of his centrist voters, and it's entirely delusional to think otherwise.
   272. BDC Posted: May 21, 2012 at 09:55 AM (#4136712)
And my memory of the McCain / Canal Zone issue was that it was mainly raised as an ironic counterpoint to the birther claims. Here's our guy, quite obviously born in the state of Hawaii, but he somehow doesn't count because he has a funny name and was born in a funny state and lived abroad for a while. Here's your guy, hmmn, by the actual technical letter of the law it's possible he wasn't born an American citizen, which is totally freaking stupid because how can you get more American than McCain by the spirit of the Constitution?

In fact, that sort of crystallizes the whole issue. Birthers can't believe that they're letting Africans beget American citizens in the middle of the Pacific these days. There must be some way to disallow that! Let's look for a loophole. What, the Canal Zone is a loophole? Oh please, loopholes never apply to white military officers. And so on ...
   273. BDC Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:05 AM (#4136717)
Bear, I will agree that the issues you raise in 271 have been the biggest disappointments to me. I don't think that Obama has shown any real ethos on civil liberties. He just doesn't see any problem with indefinite detention, assassination, and the whole complex of abuses associated with them. That's actually one reason I didn't list killing Osama as some big accomplishment: there was never the slightest qualm about just offing the guy, as opposed to, like, arresting his ass and putting him on trial. I understand the practical difficulties with trying Osama, but overt, due-process justice has disappeared even from the lip-service of this administration.

I'll still vote for him, but largely because Romney would do no better on that issue, and a lot worse on the others. A Republican President could clean up the civil-liberties morass in a Nixon-to-China sort of reversal, but no Republican is going to campaign on those terms (cf. John McCain, whose anti-torture rhetoric slipped into pusillanimity while he was the nominee).
   274. Never Give an Inge (Dave) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:15 AM (#4136722)
Edit: Nevermind.
   275. Never Give an Inge (Dave) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:18 AM (#4136726)
And Bush's presidency was illegitimate because he stole the election.

It's the same attack, brought on by a different mechanism.


Whether or not Bush "stole" the election, it's not a completely crazy position to claim he didn't actually win it.

Whereas it's crazy to claim that Obama was not born in the U.S.
   276. Jolly Old St. Nick Done Jumped The Ship Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:19 AM (#4136727)
There wasn't anything remotely comparable to any of this in the cases of Goldwater and McCain that you cited as similar birther claims, and you know it.

As mentioned upthread, it's a dead parallel for Chester Arthur.


Yes, that's another great comparison: A phony issue with obvious racial undertones that's lingered for four years and is still believed by a sizable minority of the main opposition party's base, vs. an equally phony issue that was raised in desperation to deny a candidate the vice presidential nomination---a challenge that didn't survive convention week and is now a decidedly minor footnote to history.

After Arthur was nominated for Vice President in 1880, his political opponents suggested that he might be constitutionally ineligible to hold that office.[8] A New York attorney, Arthur P. Hinman, apparently hired by his opponents, explored rumors of Arthur's foreign birth.[9] Hinman initially alleged that Arthur was born in Ireland and did not come to the United States until he was fourteen years old, which would make him ineligible for the Vice Presidency under the United States Constitution's natural-born citizen clause.[9][c] When that story did not take root, Hinman spread a new rumor that Arthur was born in Canada, but this claim also failed to gain credence.[9]
   277. tshipman Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:31 AM (#4136735)
He's been a mediocre steward of the macroeconomy and, for all the testimonials to his "competence" and international "influence," there is little to no harmony between European and US economic policy.


See, this is a great example of my earlier point up-thread. "Little to no harmony between European and US economic Policy." Should we have more austerity? Should Europe have less?


So why is JP Morgan still taking massive trading risks and losing my money 3 1/2 years into the era of presidential "competence"?


Because Dodd-Frank hasn't taken effect yet, in part because of debate over how to define and critique hedging. Also: the JP Morgan thing is bad press, but they're still going to turn a profit this year. Not really the same thing as 2008 at all. Why don't we have a bill that breaks up the banks? Republican opposition!

particularly in the areas of civil liberties


Mitt Romney: "Some people have said we ought to close Guantanamo. My view is we ought to double Guantanamo."

war crimes


Yes, it is a disappointment that Obama didn't allow Bush to be prosecuted.

Tshipman, just because you agree with what someone does doesn't make it competent.


Some things we can look at and clearly see as competent or incompetent. US Foreign Policy has been competently run. Asia has been oriented away from China. Myanmar/Burma agreed to elections. Crushing sanctions have been negotiated around Iran. These aren't partisan issues, but rather issues of competence.

If you want to look at domestic policy: administration managed to slow the rate of cost growth of health care below inflation. First time that's happened in years and year.

The debt ceiling? Incompetent and irresponsible. Continued blocking of judicial appointments when seats have been empty for over a year? Incompetent and irresponsible. Calling for massive tax breaks in the face of deficits created by past ones? Incompetent and irresponsible.

Republicans are the party of bad governance.
   278. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:54 AM (#4136749)
Whether or not Bush "stole" the election, it's not a completely crazy position to claim he didn't actually win it.
In 2000, perhaps. In 2004, it's Kenyaesqe.
   279. Rickey Fredonia Fudge Duckery Precious Twiddle Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:55 AM (#4136750)
It's all cute and #### the way 1) Sugar Bear just randomly claims the title of "centrist" with no guffaws of laughter raining down from the heavens and 2) how he says stuff like "Obama let me down on civil liberties" and then fails to mention the fact that Mitt Romney's entire foreign policy team and potential administrative apparatus reads like a Who's Who list of the neocon apparatchiks from Bush-Cheney's tenure. Honestly, it would be directly in line with Mitt Romney's FP team, as it's currently congealing, to hire John Yoo back into the government.

If you have an issue with Obama's glacial approach to civil liberties (which mirrors his "lead from behind" approach for everything, by the way) then you might want to go vote for Gary Johnson or something. But if you claim that's your reason for voting GOP in 2016 you're lying to yourself as well as everyone else, and that's just pathetic.
   280. McCoy Wilfong for Money Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:57 AM (#4136753)
a challenge that didn't survive convention week and is now a decidedly minor footnote to history.

You think over a hundred years from now the birther thing isn't going to be a minor footnote?
   281. Rickey Fredonia Fudge Duckery Precious Twiddle Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:57 AM (#4136754)
In 2000, perhaps. In 2004, it's Kenyaesqe.


Very, very few people actually claim Bush didn't win re-election properly in 2004. There was some oddities with voting machines in Ohio, but it's not a common position to be taken outside of the fringe left (which really, no one here is even close to being a part of.) There's a strong case that Bush did not properly win election in 2000.
   282. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 10:58 AM (#4136755)
Your argument makes no sense. Even if one agrees that Obama had good ideas in these areas, what's the argument, exactly? "Reelect Obama: It's not his fault that he couldn't get anything done."

Why would you vote to elect people who at best don't take governance seriously and at worst actively sabotaged their country?
I don't agree with the premise itself, but you're changing topics. The issue here is Romney or Obama, not Boehner or Obama.
   283. Rickey Fredonia Fudge Duckery Precious Twiddle Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:05 AM (#4136763)
The issue here is Romney or Obama, not Boehner or Obama.


If you think Mitt Romney, if elected, would suddenly revert back to moderately conservative Massachusetts governor Mitt and not pander to the social-con forces that elected him to the White House, you're a bigger fool than even I thought. (And that would be shocking.)
   284. tshipman Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:09 AM (#4136766)
I don't agree with the premise itself, but you're changing topics. The issue here is Romney or Obama, not Boehner or Obama.


That's not true. The party governs. Voting for Mitt Romney is not just a decision about who will be president. It also gives more power to the Republicans in the House, who have already defined his agenda for him. Mitt Romney has very few decisions to make in his first term, and they're mostly surrounding things like appointments. The Republican Party has quite a few decisions related to budgeting, and those are already signaled in advance.

Edit: the issue isn't Romney v. Obama, it's Republican Governance vs. Democratic Governance.
   285. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:11 AM (#4136768)
Yes, that's another great comparison: A phony issue with obvious racial undertones that's lingered for four years and is still believed by a sizable minority of the main opposition party's base, vs. an equally phony issue that was raised in desperation to deny a candidate the vice presidential nomination---a challenge that didn't survive convention week and is now a decidedly minor footnote to history.


Yes, yes, nothing like it is like it. Nothing could possibly be like it.

This is your amphetamines-steroids failed logic all over again, where things that are fairly similar in the abstract are deemed completely different because of different specific facts. Well, specific facts will always be different. That is not something to hang a credible argument on.
   286. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:15 AM (#4136772)
See, this is a great example of my earlier point up-thread. "Little to no harmony between European and US economic Policy." Should we have more austerity? Should Europe have less?
This is based on the strange premise, promoted by Krugman, that Europe is trying "austerity." Greece, yes. Europe, no.
   287. Liver of blaspheming 'zop Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:16 AM (#4136773)
Some things we can look at and clearly see as competent or incompetent. US Foreign Policy has been competently run. Asia has been oriented away from China. Myanmar/Burma agreed to elections. Crushing sanctions have been negotiated around Iran. These aren't partisan issues, but rather issues of competence.

If you want to look at domestic policy: administration managed to slow the rate of cost growth of health care below inflation. First time that's happened in years and year.

The debt ceiling? Incompetent and irresponsible. Continued blocking of judicial appointments when seats have been empty for over a year? Incompetent and irresponsible. Calling for massive tax breaks in the face of deficits created by past ones? Incompetent and irresponsible.



US Foreign Policy is a disaster. Syria is screwed up beyond all recognition. So is Israel/Palestine. "Crushing sanctions" have been as effective as Obama taking out his Obama-snake and saying "Eee-yaw!" and is about to get even more screwed up when the Israelis, in something that was completely preventable if the relationship with Israel was properly handled, start a bleeping war. Asia would've turned away from China anyways as it began to assert itself, particularly with respect to the S. China Sea territorial claims. China still expands influence in Central Asia, Africa, and South America. We have no substantive relationship with Europe, particularly on economic matters.

The debt ceiling forced national discussion of the budget issue and changed the national dialogue re: budget issues for the better. Blocking lifetime appointments of judges who would impose policies you disagree with is good governance, not incompetence. Massive tax breaks do not cause deficits - massive spending causes deficits. Republicans are trying to address the structural impossibility of rolling back entitlements.

Everything cuts both ways. Competence is in the eye of the beholder until the long view of history reveals (at least to some degree) the pragmatic "rightness or wrongness" of an answer. I don't know if my partisan views are competent but neither do you.
   288. The Id of SugarBear Blanks Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:16 AM (#4136774)
If you think Mitt Romney, if elected, would suddenly revert back to moderately conservative Massachusetts governor Mitt and not pander to the social-con forces that elected him to the White House, you're a bigger fool than even I thought. (And that would be shocking.)

Like Obama, he'll do whatever he can to cobble together a 50.1% majority to re-elect him in 2016. If pandering will do it, he'll pander -- just as Obama didn't do anything on war crimes, civil liberties, and the financial system.(*) If going "Sister Souljah" on the fundie nutjobs will do it, he'll do that. This is all choreography and consultant nose-counting and poll-watching; there's little to nothing substantive about it.

I'm not looking to hire a "leader," or someone who's going to "inspire" me -- I need neither leadership, nor inspiration -- I'm looking to hire someone to manage the goverment effectively.

(*) And just as Obama didn't come out for same-sex marriage until the polls and political positioning dictated that he should. If they hadn't, he wouldn't have. Don't kid yourself.
   289. Jolly Old St. Nick Done Jumped The Ship Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:20 AM (#4136776)
This is your amphetamines-steroids failed logic all over again, where things that are fairly similar in the abstract are deemed completely different because of different specific facts. Well, specific facts will always be different. That is not something to hang a credible argument on.

Yes, Ray, and since Ted Williams and Mickey Lolich were both Major League ballplayers who attempted to make contact with a baseball by hitting it with a bat, there's no difference between them that anyone might pay attention to.
   290. BDC Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:22 AM (#4136777)
There's a strong case that Bush did not properly win election in 2000

Indeed. There are three significant non-insane positions, one lined up behind the other: (1) There was never a proper statewide recount in Florida; (2) even if Bush would have legitimately won such a recount, the Supreme Court basically decided the election on politically dubious grounds that ushering him into office quickly was more important than learning that fact; (3) even if the Supreme Court's decision was Constitutionally impeccable and the Florida result correct, Gore still won the national popular vote.

Bush came into office with less legitimacy than any President since Rutherford B. Hayes. If you wonder why people sour on the process and give up on voting, elections like the 2000 Presidential contest are prime factors.

Neither major party has shown an ounce of commitment to reform the American electoral system to make it more responsive to voters' will. The Republicans have shown a certain amount of commitment to making it harder to vote, another prime factor in people souring on the process.

   291. tshipman Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:23 AM (#4136780)
Massive tax breaks do not cause deficits


This is a neat trick. How do you explain our current deficit?

The debt ceiling forced national discussion of the budget issue and changed the national dialogue re: budget issues for the better.


This is another one. Not agreeing to pay bills already agreed upon is responsible now? Damaging the country's credit is a good idea?


This isn't subjective, your views are delusional.

This is based on the strange premise, promoted by Krugman, that Europe is trying "austerity."


Veronique de Rugy posts here? And uses David Nieporent as her handle? Major downgrade in name, Veronique.

I'll let Ezra Klein handle this.


And austerity really is happening in Europe. The best way to see this is to look at the change in the “structural budget deficit” for each euro zone country — that’s the amount of deficit countries have once you factor out economic conditions. (After all, you don’t want to count a surge in tax revenues due to economic growth as “austerity.”) In other words, this is the part of the deficit that governments have direct control over. And, according to data from the IMF’s World Economic Outlook (see table B-7 ), most euro zone countries have been sharply cutting their structural deficits since 2009.


Here's a chart!
   292. BDC Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:26 AM (#4136781)
Obama didn't come out for same-sex marriage until the polls and political positioning dictated that he should. If they hadn't, he wouldn't have

I have to disagree there. In fact, he endorsed same-sex marriage immediately after a statewide vote in a key swing state that he barely won in 2008 went overwhelmingly the other way.

There is a certain amount of expedience in such a move all the same (when isn't there in Presidential politics?) To stay silent in the face of the NC result would have been to tacitly condone it, a position that was getting more absurd by the moment. But the actual timing showed some political courage.
   293. zonk Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:26 AM (#4136782)
I voted for him in 2008, with the hope of some level of reform -- particularly in the areas of civil liberties, war crimes, and the financial system. He's done nothing but go along to get along since Inauguration Day. He's been a mediocre steward of the macroeconomy and, for all the testimonials to his "competence" and international "influence," there is little to no harmony between European and US economic policy.


Any hope that ANY President would stem civil liberties abuses needs to read more history -- no administration has ever willingly given up tools its predecessors have been able to win for themselves. No succeeding President disavowed Washington for marching on the Whiskey Rebellion, no succeeding President chastised Lincoln for suspending habeas corpus and getting the OK from congress after the fact, no succeeding President disavowed FDR's executive orders dealing with internment (though Reagan apologized 40 years later), and no President is going to forfeit the security state the Bush administration built.

Those horses left the barn when the laws were passed and EOs signed and for all the Scalia wings' supposed love of individual rights, that crew tends to be fine with giving great latitude to law enforcement and state security when it comes to rights that don't involve money, commercials, or property -- just individuals.

   294. McCoy Wilfong for Money Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:28 AM (#4136785)
If you wonder why people sour on the process and give up on voting, elections like the 2000 Presidential contest are prime factors.

Except it got people to vote in future elections. The amount and % of people who voted was higher after the 2000 election.
   295. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:29 AM (#4136786)
That's not true. The party governs. Voting for Mitt Romney is not just a decision about who will be president. It also gives more power to the Republicans in the House, who have already defined his agenda for him. Mitt Romney has very few decisions to make in his first term, and they're mostly surrounding things like appointments. The Republican Party has quite a few decisions related to budgeting, and those are already signaled in advance.
It may give "more power" to the Republicans in the House, but it also provides more constraints for them, since they have to defer to the president instead of fighting him. Right now House Republicans can cast whatever symbolic votes they want, passing whatever they want, knowing it won't become law anyway. They can block whatever they want, knowing they can point fingers at the president for failure to accomplish things. If Romney becomes president, they can't "actively sabotage" him; they have to support him.

But in any case, that doesn't help Obama's argument. You can't cast conditional votes; "Vote Obama if Democrats retake the House" is not an option on the ballot.
   296. zonk Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:30 AM (#4136788)
The debt ceiling forced national discussion of the budget issue and changed the national dialogue re: budget issues for the better. Blocking lifetime appointments of judges who would impose policies you disagree with is good governance, not incompetence. Massive tax breaks do not cause deficits - massive spending causes deficits. Republicans are trying to address the structural impossibility of rolling back entitlements.


Even while they weasel out of the mandated defense cuts from the budget deal... there's a lot more fat in the DoD budget than in entitlements -- I'll believe the GOP really cares about deficits, rather than finds them a useful talking point, when they allow our annual defense budget to slip from say, as much as the next 10 nation's defense budgets combined to something like "only as large as the next 3 nation's defense budgets combined".
   297. Ray (RDP) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:34 AM (#4136792)
Indeed. There are three significant non-insane positions, one lined up behind the other: (1) There was never a proper statewide recount in Florida; (2) even if Bush would have legitimately won such a recount, the Supreme Court basically decided the election on politically dubious grounds that ushering him into office quickly was more important than learning that fact; (3) even if the Supreme Court's decision was Constitutionally impeccable and the Florida result correct, Gore still won the national popular vote.


It was a statistical tie, which meant that the only just thing to do was to fall back on the process that was in place - the statutory deadlines and such. Bush won every official count, and extending the statutory deadlines would have been unjust because all they had left at that point was process. It wasn't humanly possible to "count every vote," and, sure, if you do enough "counting," Gore will ultimately win (at which point he'll declare that they should stop Counting Every Vote), but Gore did not win by the rules that were in place at the outset. Instead, the Florida Supreme Court tried to make up the rules as it went along.

And the popular vote was utterly irrelevant, as they weren't campaigning for that. It would be like declaring the team with the most hits to be the winner after the fact.
   298. The Good Face Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:38 AM (#4136794)
There's a strong case that Bush did not properly win election in 2000

Indeed. There are three significant non-insane positions, one lined up behind the other: (1) There was never a proper statewide recount in Florida; (2) even if Bush would have legitimately won such a recount, the Supreme Court basically decided the election on politically dubious grounds that ushering him into office quickly was more important than learning that fact; (3) even if the Supreme Court's decision was Constitutionally impeccable and the Florida result correct, Gore still won the national popular vote.


#3 above is, in fact, insane. The law WRT the national popular vote is crystal clear; it doesn't matter. At all. You could make a non-insane argument that winning the presidency while losing the national popular vote diminishes a new president's mandate for pushing his agenda, but any argument that it means such an election was not "properly won" is the province of moonbattery.
   299. zenbitz Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:43 AM (#4136797)
I think Obama has been bad. But I am confident he has been no worse than McCain would have been, and seems very likely better than Romney going forward. Of course, I live in California so i dont get a vote either way.

What i think is obama's best quality is that he's pragmatic and (relatively) un-ideological.
Had he been more liberal on civil liberties or soft on Afganistan, he would be crucified by the right. Now all they have is "socialism" and "kenya".

Of course the economy's the thing, and BOs the captain of the ship. He is going to have a hard sell to demonstrate some combination of:
1) would have worse with less stimulis
2) would have been better with more stimulis, and repubs in congress blocked me

Or even
3) someone elses/no bodys fault

I happen to think all of 1/2/3 are partially true, but its a very wonky argument. It wont be made.
Instead, the demo attack machine will try to paint Romney as uncaring.
   300. David Nieporent (now, with children) Posted: May 21, 2012 at 11:48 AM (#4136799)
I'll let Ezra Klein handle this.
(1) That's Brad Plummer.
(2) His own data completely fails to support his claim. He cites the "IMF's World Economic Outlook (see table B-7)," but what that table actually shows is that there was a massive spike in deficits in 2009, and a small falloff over the next two years, leaving deficit spending higher than it was when the economic crisis began in 2008. The 2009 endpoint is an utterly ridiculous starting point; being slightly less profligate than at the height of one's Keynesian project is not "austerity."

(To be sure, there are some significant reductions in deficit spending in 2012 and 2013 -- but those are all projected, not actual. Based on actual data about what has actually happened, there has been no "austerity.")

As for Plummer's claim that "austerity" is measured by budget deficits rather than spending, such that countries increasing spending, but hiking taxes, are actually engaged in "austerity," funny, but I never heard Krugman suggest that letting Bush's tax cuts on the rich expire was bad policy because it constituted "austerity."
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