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Sunday, September 02, 2012

Groveman: The Mets, David Wright and the road less traveled

The Mets cannot look out far.
The Mets cannot look in deep.
But when was that ever a bar
To any watch the Mets keep?

Let’s Say The Mets Took This Path:

    • Resign David Wright Long-Term
    • Sign A Few Free Agents
    • Trade Prospect Wilmer Flores
    • Compete With Washington in the NL East in 2013
    • Make World Series Run in 2014 (Behind: David Wright, Ike Davis, Matt Harvey and Zack Wheeler)

The second path is darker and misty.  We can’t truly see our way, but we try our best and stumble on.  On this path the Mets trade David Wright, the face of the franchise, to a contender in need of immediate help at 3rd base.  They look to receive 2-4 prospects with at least one in the elite level of prospect-hood.  Let us argue that the Mets make this trade and that elite player they receive plays the outfield and hits righty.  The Mets then look at Lutz for the first half of 2013, until Wilmer Flores proves he’s ready.  The Mets promote Flores and, for good measure, Matt Den Dekker.  The Mets are still built from within in terms of pitching, with limited need for acquisitions there.  In 2014 the Mets re-evaluate their needs in terms of free agency based on how their young team progressed the previous year.

Let’s Say The Mets Took This Path:

    • Use Option/Trade David Wright
    • Promote From Within
    • Wait For 2014 To Make Any Signings
    • Compete With Washington and Atlanta in 2014 and 2015
    • Make World Series Run in 2015 or 2016 (Behind: Wilmer Flores, Ike Davis, Matt Harvey, Zack Wheeler and the mystery man we traded Wright for)

Both of these paths get the Mets towards fielding a World Series contending team in the next 3 years.  One takes a little longer but might have the bigger reward and potential for an extended run of NL dominance.  One focuses on what we have and tries to use it without sacrificing our future.  Sadly… the Mets might take a different path altogether.

Repoz Posted: September 02, 2012 at 10:01 AM | 9 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets

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   1. The District Attorney Posted: September 02, 2012 at 10:26 AM (#4225005)
The article seems to create a false dichotomy where the Mets either need to go for it by trading Wilmer Flores, or rebuild by trading David Wright.

It's a false choice. Just keep both guys. Stay the course, thousand points of light.
   2. Jeff Frances the Mute Posted: September 02, 2012 at 10:51 AM (#4225015)
Does Wright want to resign with the Mets?
   3. PreservedFish Posted: September 02, 2012 at 11:39 AM (#4225026)
Unless Wilpon is going to shrink the payroll to Astros levels, the Mets have more than enough money to resign Wright, so they should do it. And I like seeing that Wilmer Flores is back on track, but to me he is not the caliber of prospect that you set your long-term plans around.

Silly article for any number of reasons...
   4. Russlan is fond of Dillon Gee Posted: September 02, 2012 at 12:43 PM (#4225043)
The Mets should try to extend both Wright and Dickey this offseason. If they can't do so, the Mets should probably trade both Wright and Dickey. I'd much rather re-sign both but that might not be an option. The Mets have more than enough payroll to keep both because they don't really have anyone under contract for 2014.
   5. Darren Posted: September 02, 2012 at 12:56 PM (#4225052)
I wonder why the Mets let Reyes go and kept Wright. Wouldn't they have been much better off trading Wright for some value and resigning Reyes for about what they're paying Wright? Then they could have slid Murphy in at 3rd, where he has actual value, moved Tejada to 2b, and had a really, really nice infield. Plus they'd have whatever they got back for Wright.

   6. JJ1986 Posted: September 02, 2012 at 01:51 PM (#4225088)
I wonder why the Mets let Reyes go and kept Wright. Wouldn't they have been much better off trading Wright for some value and resigning Reyes for about what they're paying Wright? Then they could have slid Murphy in at 3rd, where he has actual value, moved Tejada to 2b, and had a really, really nice infield. Plus they'd have whatever they got back for Wright.


I think Reyes was considered a risk to miss time each year due to injury. If you have only one star offensive player, you want him in there every day.
   7. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: September 02, 2012 at 02:08 PM (#4225099)
The Mets should try to extend both Wright and Dickey this offseason.

Concur. Payroll isn't the Mets shortfall now, it's talent.
   8. Darren Posted: September 02, 2012 at 02:32 PM (#4225122)
Reyes was a risk and it's not really clear that he'll be as good as Wright, but he fit with the rest of the pieces on the team so much better. If they could have dealt Murphy to someone who needed a 3B, that would have worked too.
   9. The District Attorney Posted: September 03, 2012 at 11:26 AM (#4225472)
#5: Two ways to look at this.

Without hindsight: It simply was not clear a year ago that Tejada and Murphy were even MLB-starter caliber players at all, much less guys whose presence should factor into ginormous personnel decisions.

With hindsight: Now that we know they both have played pretty well, your plan becomes more plausible in hindsight. But, it's not like Tejada is defensively challenged at SS, and it's not like Murphy is hitting enough to be a good 3B. I suspect both guys are best utilized where they are currently.

It's still possible that the team overall would benefit from your proposed realignment, if you had gotten a lot back in the Wright trade. But getting back to the "without hindsight" point of view, I doubt that would be the case, considering that a reported offer of Wright for Peter Bourjos was generally acknowledged by fans of both teams to be a steal in favor of the Mets. Trading Wright last offseason would have been selling very low on him. Like the other two infielders, he looks much better now than he did then.

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