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Wednesday, May 16, 2012

Hardballtime.com: Angels fire hitting coach Mickey Hatcher

From beat writer Alden Gonzalez of MLB.com comes word that the Angels fired longtime hitting coach Mickey Hatcher late Tuesday night.

Triple-A Salt Lake hitting instructor Jim Eppard has been promoted to serve as Hatcher’s replacement.

Tripon Posted: May 16, 2012 at 12:45 AM | 35 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: angels, anti-semitism, assenmacher

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   1. Tricky Dick Posted: May 16, 2012 at 08:13 AM (#4132603)
So that's the problem with Pujols' lack of HRs.
   2. Best Regards, L.M. Posted: May 16, 2012 at 08:26 AM (#4132615)
Maybe he'll finally stop laying down three bunts a game.

That's what he's been doing, right? That's the only thing that makes sense.
   3. ColonelTom Posted: May 16, 2012 at 08:44 AM (#4132624)
Well, that didn't take long. Scioscia better watch his back. It's Albert's show now.
   4. RB in NYC (Now Semi-Retired from BBTF) Posted: May 16, 2012 at 08:53 AM (#4132632)
Well, that didn't take long. Scioscia better watch his back. It's Albert's show now.
There's some real truth in that last sentence, but I think Scioscia has a lot more juice than Hatcher.
   5. ColonelTom Posted: May 16, 2012 at 08:59 AM (#4132634)
Scioscia's autobiography will be called "Yes I Can, If Albert Says It's Okay." 'Cause Albert calls the shots for all of those guys.
   6. Shooty is in the Trust Tree Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:01 AM (#4132636)
There's some real truth in that last sentence, but I think Scioscia has a lot more juice than Hatcher.

Maybe, but still not as much as the 250 million dollar man. On the other hand, Hatcher was pretty terrible so it's possible this has nothing to do with the big guy.
   7. Lassus Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:05 AM (#4132640)
So the ton of people incredulous for the last 3 years that Hatcher has kept his job has had no effect? Pujols stabbed him in the nuts and threw him under a Disney monorail is the most likely explanation?
   8. ColonelTom Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:39 AM (#4132661)
The timing sends that message, even if it's a coincidence.
   9. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:41 AM (#4132665)
Like I said before, I could have sworn I heard he was fired years ago.

The Angels need Mathis back!
   10. ColonelTom Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:45 AM (#4132670)
Mathis could be their new hitting coach! Problem solved.
   11. Yeaarrgghhhh Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:46 AM (#4132671)
Scioscia's autobiography will be called "Yes I Can, If Albert Says It's Okay." 'Cause Albert calls the shots for all of those guys.

Well done.
   12. JE (Jason Epstein) Posted: May 16, 2012 at 09:46 AM (#4132672)
He will look great on the Yankees.
   13. Champions Table Posted: May 16, 2012 at 10:31 AM (#4132713)
While begging for his job, Hatcher asked Pujols to "kick this ass for a man!"
   14. Greg Pope thinks the Cubs are reeking havoc Posted: May 16, 2012 at 10:53 AM (#4132740)
I don't get the tags for this article...
   15. phredbird Posted: May 16, 2012 at 11:00 AM (#4132744)
Angels fired longtime hitting coach Mickey Hatcher late Tuesday night.



that'll fix it!

*rolls eyes*
   16. Cris E Posted: May 16, 2012 at 11:20 AM (#4132764)
So was Hatcher the longest tenured hitting coach until this week? I think he was in that job forever, right? Lessee, media guide said 13th year. Who is the dean now?
   17. Downtown Bookie Posted: May 16, 2012 at 11:30 AM (#4132779)
14. Greg Pope Posted: May 16, 2012 at 10:53 AM (#4132740)
I don't get the tags for this article...


Well, naturally. Being a Pope, we would expect you to deny it.

DB
   18. SoSH U at work Posted: May 16, 2012 at 11:41 AM (#4132792)
Who is the dean now?


Dave Magadan and Kevin Long are in their sixth years. Anyone beat them?

   19. Cris E Posted: May 16, 2012 at 11:55 AM (#4132810)
Joe Vavra (MIN) was hired in Oct 2005. That sort of surprises me as I still think of him getting his feet wet.
   20. Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad) Posted: May 16, 2012 at 11:58 AM (#4132816)
that'll fix it!

*rolls eyes*


Well, it'll fix their problem of having Mickey Hatcher as their hitting coach, which is kind of a good thing in and of itself.
   21. zonk Posted: May 16, 2012 at 12:01 PM (#4132825)
So was Hatcher the longest tenured hitting coach until this week? I think he was in that job forever, right? Lessee, media guide said 13th year. Who is the dean now?


Wow, just wow if that's true... I mean - he's been universally and long hailed as just awful, awful, awful at being a hitting coach. He CAN'T be the longest tenured, can he? Has there been Hatcher student that's excelled or exceeded talent under his tutelage? Seems to me the Angels have run plenty of talent through his thresher, virtually all of which has stagnated or worse... Which Angels hitter is on his resume... Chone?
   22. JJ1986 Posted: May 16, 2012 at 12:06 PM (#4132831)
Which Angels hitter is on his resume... Chone?


Napoli did alright.
   23. zonk Posted: May 16, 2012 at 12:07 PM (#4132836)
Napoli did alright.


He's done better since escaping...
   24. AROM Posted: May 16, 2012 at 12:19 PM (#4132853)
Which Angels hitter is on his resume


Mark Trumbo.

Torii Hunter has maintained his above average production through his contract, a mild surprise given he was 32 when he signed and about to turn 37.

Oh, and Kendry Morales. His AAA numbers were inferior to those of Brandon Wood. Despite playing in SLC he didn't hit for a ton of power there, but has been a power hitting force in MLB, and I don't think anybody will blame Hatcher for that walk-off grand slam celebration.
   25. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: May 16, 2012 at 01:18 PM (#4132938)
Oh, and Kendry Morales. His AAA numbers were inferior to those of Brandon Wood.


I wouldn't quite say that:

Morales hit .335/.374/.518 in AAA
Wood (2 years younger) hit .279/.344/.523, same team/park largely overlapping seasons

But still MASSIVELY divergent MLB outcomes considering how close quality wise they were in AAA

You know what other SS prospect hit very similar to Wood and Morales in AAA (PCL)?

Ronny Cedeno: .355/.411/.527 (618 PAs)

Career MLB OPS+
Morales: 119
Cedeno: 69
Wood: 39

It's almost enough to make one think that Minor League Stats are meaningless :-)





   26. Tripon Posted: May 16, 2012 at 01:49 PM (#4132989)
It's almost enough to make one think that Minor League Stats are meaningless :-)


Minor league stats in triple-A, and the PCL, sure.
   27. AROM Posted: May 16, 2012 at 01:58 PM (#4133002)
You're right, Morales had an advantage in BA and OBP over Wood. The stats above though understate Brandon's slugging advantage, as it includes his 2010 (probably phantom) injury rehab assignment after he was broken by MLB pitching, and his 2012 very poor play for Colorado Springs. Looking at 2007-2009 for SLC, Wood slugged .548.

   28. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: May 16, 2012 at 02:24 PM (#4133029)
Wood also hit .321/.383/.672 in Rancho C. - league was .286/.357/.452

He then hit .276/.355/.552 in the Texas League (league was .269/.343/.417 that year) (and Arkansas scored 4.96 r/g and gave up 6.27- I don't have park factors handy, but I'm guessing- good hitter's park...)


Wood has played most of his Minor League career in atypically high run environments- as Bill James noted in his first ever Abstract article on MLEs- some minor league numbers have a lot of "air" in them and you have to take that air out first... Wood's raw minor league numbers have A LOT of "air" in them.

Which doesn't quite explain Kendrys Morales- who had a comparable amount of "air"- I think the following:

1: Wood was never as good as you would think from his raw numbers in the Minors- he had that nice shiny 43 homer league from A ball (Calif league)- but in AAA he was never one of the league elites- sure he popped a .970 OPS once- but 11 guys that year cleared 1.000

2: Wood's game translated poorly, perhaps he's a mistake hitter, perhaps he's particularly bad on breaking stuff and was helped by the high altitudes of many of his minor league parks

3: Wood peaked at 20/22, it happens...

4: Morales' game translated better to MLB for whatever reason- in the minors he was low walk and low K - perhaps he's actually helped by facing guys with better command who are more often throwing near the plate...

5: Morales has made adjustments and/or otherwise improved...
   29. BWV 1129 Posted: May 16, 2012 at 03:26 PM (#4133081)
Arkansas is actually a pitchers' park in that league, last I heard.
   30. AROM Posted: May 16, 2012 at 03:40 PM (#4133104)
All the Angels hitting prospects hit in the same environments as Wood. Mark Trumbo did not hit as well as Wood throughout the minors, and has done just fine in the big leagues. While there was more air than normal to let out of the stats, there's no reason to think he shouldn't at least hit .240 with 25 homers or something like that.

I don't know what happened to Wood, and I've looked at him in extreme PBP detail. Even when matching specific pitchers who pitched in AAA and the majors, it turns out Brandon struggled in the show against pitchers he killed in the big leagues. From watching him I think at some point his confidence took a hit and he never recovered.

Arkansas is actually a pitchers' park in that league, last I heard.


It is now, but there was a ballpark change a few years back.
   31. Petunia inquires about ponies Posted: May 16, 2012 at 03:59 PM (#4133126)
Wow, just wow if that's true... I mean - he's been universally and long hailed as just awful, awful, awful at being a hitting coach. He CAN'T be the longest tenured, can he? Has there been Hatcher student that's excelled or exceeded talent under his tutelage? Seems to me the Angels have run plenty of talent through his thresher, virtually all of which has stagnated or worse... Which Angels hitter is on his resume... Chone?

In a previous thread on this topic - maybe 2-3 weeks ago - somebody ran through all the personnel changes since Scioscia took over for LAA, and it's simply that he NEVER changes his staff. EVER.
   32. AROM Posted: May 16, 2012 at 04:21 PM (#4133155)
The only staff changes he's made previously were to replace coaches that got managerial jobs elsewhere.
   33. Golfing Great Mitch Cumstein Posted: May 16, 2012 at 04:23 PM (#4133162)

All the Angels hitting prospects hit in the same environments as Wood.


This prompted a question in my head. Are minor league hitting stats seeing the same decline that MLB has seen? Historically, does MiLB scoring track changes in MLB?
   34. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: May 16, 2012 at 04:57 PM (#4133200)
Arkansas is actually a pitchers' park in that league, last I heard.

It is now, but there was a ballpark change a few years back.


looking it up, yep, Wood played there the last year in Ray Winder Field (which was built in 1932 with "convict labor" according to BBREF)

and well we have park factors for 2006 Arkansas, and it was 1.24
so yes indeedy that was a serious hitter's park

That's a park factor, not a multiplier, the multiplier would be about 1.11, which gives him an OPS+ of 122 for his 2006 AA season

by way of comparison, Minnesota's "prize" in the Johann Santana trade, Carlos Gomez, hit .281/.350/.423 in AA that same year (EL, league was .252/.323/.380) Binghamton's 2006 park factor was 1.00, so Gomez's .773 OPS gave him a 120 OPS+ - essentially the same as Wood's .907 OPS in Arkansas. Neither man can hit worth a damn in the MLB.

   35. Johnny Sycophant-Laden Fora Posted: May 16, 2012 at 05:15 PM (#4133219)
This prompted a question in my head. Are minor league hitting stats seeing the same decline that MLB has seen? Historically, does MiLB scoring track changes in MLB?


1: Minor leagues have been all over the place

PCL was at .286/.359/.448 in 2011, up from .277/.348/.432 in 2010
The IL was .260/.329/.400 in 2011, down from .263/.330/.410 in 2010

2: They tend to track, but rather loosely, and not every year.

I think people tend to underestimate the difference in minor league run environments- some parks/leagues/years you can have a 6.00 r/g environment, another park/league/year you can see a 3.50 r/g environment.

In 1990 the EL hit .250/.318/.344. A certain prospect hit .333/.422/.457 (That's a 166 OPS+ without looking at park... this fellow played in a pitchers park though...) Compare that to the .286/.359/.448 PCL 2011 average (How about Albuquerque with its 1.23 park multiplier?)
Brett Lawrie hit .353/.415/.661 in AAA last year- a 1.076 OPS, tremendous but not quite as good in context as Bagwell's .879 OPS in 1990 - but a good 30 OPS+ points above Brandon Wood's career AAA best in 2008.

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