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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, April 09, 2008
Wanna see a season disappear?...Enter Henning’s World of Magic.
Considering nothing the Tigers have done the past week is rational, an armchair manager is going to try his hand at shaking up a team that somehow is 0-7. Here are 11 ideas from “Manager for a Day,” who isn’t afraid to employ a little mad science in trying to shake this team out of its catatonic state, which reached crisis level during Tuesday’s 5-0 expiration against the Red Sox at Fenway Park:
4. Straighten out Carlos Guillen at first base before he gets killed. He has been crossing over the bag, and over the baseline, too many times in his first games as the Tigers’ official first baseman. His health is in at least as much danger as Detroit’s infield defense until he gets his choreography down.
5. Put a call into the farm system. Notify the Tigers’ developmental team that they need to get a kid catcher ready to start the season in 2009. Pudge Rodriguez had a fabulous spring. But good fastballs are making his bat and his age (36) an issue already.
7. Ponder some kind of defensive strategy that is going to allow the Tigers’ left half of the infield to hold up in 2008. This is especially necessary for a team that deploys three left-handed starters. Cabrera has disturbingly limited range to his left. Edgar Renteria can’t compensate for balls that get past Cabrera and into the hole. Now the vigilantes who wanted Inge banished from third can see why there was so much made of his range and how it helped to choke off big innings.
Repoz
Posted: April 09, 2008 at 12:11 PM | 38 comment(s)
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1. ColonelTom Posted: April 09, 2008 at 12:22 PM (#2736101)This isn't football, it's maaagic!
Sign Doug Mietnkiewicz?
Already taken. We'd be willing to move him for a reasonable offer, though.
Brain Sabean: Suzie, get the farm on the line. Tell them I want one of everything!
Pete Rose
Tony Perez
George Brett
Darrell Evans
Harmon Killebrew
Joe Torre
Todd Zeile
Jim Thome
Richie Hebner
Dick Allen
Enos Cabell
Dave Magadan
Jeff King
If you up it to 500 games, you lose Brett, Thome, Zeile, Hebner, and King.
Edit: Could Cabrera join their ranks? Maybe, if he stays in shape. But a lot of those guys (i.e. Cabell, Hebner, Zeile, Rose, Perez) were leaner, more athletic types than Cabrera is. Others weren't necessarily all that great at 1B, but had to play SOMEWHERE.
My guess: Cabrera is the Tigers' DH really, really soon.
FWIW, only three players have played 300 games at 1B and SS (I picked 300 since that's about 2 seasons worth of games): Ernie Banks, Julio Franco and Pete Runnels. Guillen--from past adventures--is already up to 51 games at 1B, so he holds the job in Detroit a couple of years he should manage to add his name to that list.
It's a Jones/Thames platoon which is going to be fairly productive at the plate, I think.
I've never understood why people think you can just plug bad defensive players into 1B and -- poof -- all of your problems would be solved. While it ain't shortstop, it's hard over there, and quite awkward for the uninitiated. Is there really a long line of success stories in converting guys in their prime to first?
There aren't a lot of guys converting in their primes because players who start out at other positions tend to still have the ability to stay there in their primes.
And we're now surprised that the IF defense has dropped off?
PS -- With Jurrjens pitching well in ATL, the Renteria trade has disaster written all over it. You can't really "blame" DD, because he had no idea he was going to get Cabrera, but the end result isn't a very good one.
Well, I'd first say that anyone NOT on that list would have to qualify as a situation that "didn't work" the way the Tigers would need it to work for Cabrera in that, if it did, they'd have had 400+ games there. Remember: Detroit is not trying to squeeze a couple more years out of Cabrera's bat, as is usually the case with such conversions. They need him to stick at first (or somewhere) for a decade.
That list consists of people who were either so bad at third at so young an age that they HAD to move to first, or else versitile players who played for teams that NEEDED them to move to first because of roster and/or playing time issues. Cabrera would be in the former camp. That gives you, what, Thome and Allen? Maybe Brett and Evans, although their moves were far more about prolinging their careers than hiding their gloves during their prime.
Obviosuly you risk this kind of move for a bat like Cabrera's if you have to. If it's me? I move him to DH and leave him alone to become Big Papi-west. Of course you have Sheffield to worry about (signed through next season). Not sure what you do there.
Well, you did limit the list to 3B. But the real issue, as Pops pointed out in #9, is that most players aren't moving to 1B mid-career while still in their primes. They're moving to 1B in late career, when their fielding has fallen off and their hitting probably is too. So it's not surprising that it's not a long-term solution; their "term" is already running out when they switch.
Piazza is a classic example of that. He moved to 1B at age 35, when his offense was already slipping and he was coming off of a lost year (68 games). It's not exactly shocking that he didn't last there, given that he put up an OPS+ of 108.
I do agree with your main point that it's not always so easy to just plug a guy into 1B. But it's still easier than plugging him into any other defensive position. Obviously players typically slide left on the spectrum (Damon being a recent example).
Harmon Killebrew
Gary Sheffield
Sid Gordon
Bob Bailey
Tony Phillips
Pete Rose
Howie Shanks
Sheffield is the obvious inspiration here, if for no other reason than that he's in the same dugout as Cabrera and can offer some pointers. Of course he was originally a shortstop -- albeit a bad one -- and, in my opinion, a much better overall athlete than Cabrera is.
Killebrew may be a nice comp in that (a) he was stocky; and (b) the vast majority of his time in left came when he was around Cabrera's age. He was moved back to the corners at age 29 in order to save his legs, however,(and to accommodate Don Michner). Not sure if this was related or not, but he got injured in the same year he moved off of the outfield (1965) and never went back on a regular basis after that. Twikies won the pennant that year, of course. Howie Shanks was a Deadballer, and Rose, Phillips, and Bailey were more athletic than Cabrera is. Chipper Jones falls just short on this list, but his move to left was something of a disaster for his health and, to a lesser extent, his bat.
If you expand it to all outfield positions you get guys like Bobby Bonilla, Larry Parrish, and Hubie Brooks. There are a lot of similarities to those guys and Cabrera, although Miguel obviously has a better bat.
If it's me? Given how much less of an athlete Cabrera is than the Pete Roses of the world, and given how much more valuable his bat is to the Tigers than any of these guys' bats were to their teams (possibly save Killebrew), I'd be wary of risking Miguel and his hamstrings in the outfield. This may just be the Braves fan in me projecting, though. I think that move killed Chipper for a couple of years, and if it killed Cabrera in the same way, the Tigers would be toast.
We can probably stop typing Rose's name, as he played over 500 games at every position other than catcher, short, and center.
chuckle.
That, and the 6.29 runs allowed per game. That's not ALL the defense's doing. The Tigers have a really, really shaky bullpen.
If the Tigers suffer too many more injuries, they'll start looking like the 2007 White Sox.
Well, I'd first say that anyone NOT on that list would have to qualify as a situation that "didn't work" the way the Tigers would need it to work for Cabrera in that, if it did, they'd have had 400+ games there.
I don't agree with this at all. If someone didn't end up playing 400 games at first base, it doesn't automatically mean they couldn't handle the position. It can means the team didn't need or want him to play 400 games there, or that his bat wasn't good enough to play first, or he got injured, or he got old, or they game him another shot at another position, or something else. There are many, many reasons why a guy may not play 400 games at first after moving there mid career.
The real question is whether a team would be less hurt defensively by putting Cabrera at third base or first base. I'd guess the answer would be first, and I don't think there's any real historical evidence that suggests differently. If the team moved Cabrera to DH a couple of years later does not automatically mean moving him to first for a couple of years was a bad idea.
The bullpen (not including Jason "let's throw gasoline on the" Grilli) has been better than the rotation so far, IMO.
You're really killing his value, and the team's flexibility by making him a permanent DH at this point. I think you have to give him a good long look at 1B, at least 1.5 seasons before you punt him to DH.
You call them up and say,
Dombrowski: "oh, by the way, we need a catcher"
Farm: "OK. We have 3 or 4 good catching prospects here, but I was just using them as ball boys...didn't realize you actually wanted them to make the bigs"
No, I suspect this was just Henning's way of saying that Pudge looks done and the Tigers need to seriously look for a replacement. I'm sure others will insist that he is actually that dumb, what with him being a professional sportswriter and all.
That may very well be what he meant, but the way he writes it makes him look like a naif. "We need a catcher, get a catcher ready!"
Other than that, it's ok. With the luxury of hindsight, the Tigers are exactly the kind of team that may have been better off signing Adam Everett to play short. They could have afforded to punt offense in the 9 hole, it would have shored up their infield D, and they'd still have the immortal Jair J. around. Hindsight is great! I have a feeling they in no way expected to come away with Cabrera, though, when they picked up Renteria. Those must have been interesting days in the Tiger FO.
No, it's not necessarily over. The offense won't put up a .640 OPS all season, and the improvement should take some of the pressure off the starting pitchers, who need to figure out how to make 100 pitches last 7 innings every now and then. There are enough pieces in the bullpen to make it workable.
But the performance to date has been awful in every facet of the game.
Well, teams don't usually look good during 7-game losing streaks. I wouldn't worry about it.
His defense in Detroit has looked fine to me thus far. Just solid, average, but a far cry from "statue".
PECOTA says they're not good so they're not! Get with the program
Heh.
The Royals currently have the best team ERA in the AL (2.57) and the White Sox have the best team OBP (.372) and SLG (.494).
Yes, if this were October, that would be awesome. AWESOME!
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