Small Faces to Big Donkey…All or Nothing.
As you can see, barring injury, all of the milestones I mentioned are clearly in view for later this season. What’s more, as we’ll discover, Dunn has a chance at becoming the first player ever to reach 400 HR before reaching 1000 RBI.
...I think you’ll agree that Adam Dunn is truly in a class of his own. Dunn’s current RBI to HR ratio is lower than all other players at the time of reaching the 400/1000 plateau. Among career marks for these players, only Mark McGwire has a lower RBI to HR ratio of 2.43.
Interestingly, the 400 HR club is pretty consistent in terms of walk frequency. But, there’s a big difference in driving in runs between the higher strikeout and lower strikeout groups. Of course, this isn’t really a surprise. However, the conventional thinking in this era of ever increasing strikeout rates runs something like this:
1 – Lots of strikeouts are okay if the hitter hits lots of home runs
2 – Lots of home runs are good because home runs score lots of other runs as well
3 – More runs = more wins
Can’t argue with any of that, except that as point 1 becomes more pronounced, point 2 becomes less so. And, if point 2 is less pronounced, then so to is point 3. Just something to consider in evaluating today’s sluggers.