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Thursday, April 12, 2012

HHS: Comparing 2012 offense to 2011 (it’s crashing and burning, folks)

If there was a Voros Law for games played…wouldn’t that be a fly in the…

Here’s a quick look at offensive numbers in 2012 vs 2012. Both are through the first 142 games of each season.

...Ummm…wow. Offense is way down so far this year compared to the same timeframe last year, and last year’s offense continued the overall trend of decline.

If run scoring remains this low for the entire season, it will be the lowest since 1981 (strike-shortened) and 1976 (full-season).

 

Repoz Posted: April 12, 2012 at 05:52 AM | 15 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: history, sabermetrics

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   1. TomH Posted: April 12, 2012 at 08:16 AM (#4104736)
Rockies 17 Giants 8 will help.

1 The article does compare apples-to-apples for last year's first 142 G, but that is two small samples.
2 The overall conclusion "if socirng stays this low" ought to be accompanied by historical averages for early April.
3 The point in the article about K/9 at 7.3 so far is I believe noteworthy; record-high striekouts surely will depress batting avgs.
   2. AROM Posted: April 12, 2012 at 08:31 AM (#4104744)
Most teams have now played 6 games. Meaning ace starters have pitched 33% of the schedule.
   3. Scott Lange Posted: April 12, 2012 at 08:40 AM (#4104746)
Most teams have now played 6 games. Meaning ace starters have pitched 33% of the schedule.


That was true for the first 142 games last year too.
   4. Misirlou is bad, he's nationwide Posted: April 12, 2012 at 08:43 AM (#4104748)
Last year might be abnormally high. 4.56 runs/game for the first 142 games, 4.29 for all of April, and 4.28 for the year.
   5. Joey B. has ignited his October #Natitude Posted: April 12, 2012 at 10:14 AM (#4104812)
Yep, we've been talking about this for a while now, but it's amazing that the trend appears to be continuing. Offense has steadily declined since they got the WWF freaks out of the game, and now we're back to the normal baseball that existed before.
   6. villageidiom Posted: April 12, 2012 at 10:17 AM (#4104814)
That was true for the first 142 games last year too.
Yeah, but last year John Lackey and AJ Burnett pitched some of those games.
   7. JE (Jason Epstein) Posted: April 12, 2012 at 10:24 AM (#4104821)
Quick: Bring the NYS right-center field fences in a few more feet!
   8. Booey Posted: April 12, 2012 at 10:34 AM (#4104835)
Looks like it's time to abolish steroid testing...
   9. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: April 12, 2012 at 10:58 AM (#4104868)
Looks like it's time to abolish steroid testing...

They picked a bad week to quit injecting HGH (and sniffing glue).
   10. Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: April 12, 2012 at 11:04 AM (#4104875)
Looks like it's time to abolish steroid testing...


It seems obvious to me that the only conclusion is that the pitchers are juicing like crazy.
   11. Booey Posted: April 12, 2012 at 11:53 AM (#4104914)
It seems obvious to me that the only conclusion is that the pitchers are juicing like crazy.

They must have invented some new, pitcher specific roids then, since we all know that the previous versions only helped hitters (and Roger Clemens).

Well, and Andy Pettitte. But only once or twice.
   12. Ted Williams Carlos Williams Posted: April 12, 2012 at 01:02 PM (#4104974)
I'm not sure we "know" steroids helped anyone.
   13. Booey Posted: April 12, 2012 at 01:32 PM (#4104999)
I'm not sure we "know" steroids helped anyone.

I think your sarcasm detector may be on the fritz...
   14. Rants Mulliniks (formerly Cold Prosimian) Posted: April 12, 2012 at 02:31 PM (#4105057)
So that explains how Toronto is 4-2 despite a .575 OPS.......
   15. Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: April 12, 2012 at 02:35 PM (#4105063)
Rockies 17 Giants 8 will help.

there have been 63 runs scored in the 5 Giants games and 21 runs scored in the 5 Pirates games

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