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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Wednesday, August 13, 2008
Berkman’s fourth career regular-season grand slam was the highlight of an eight-run seventh inning that sent the red-hot Astros to a 12-4 pounding of the Giants at Minute Maid Park.
The Astros tied a season-high with their sixth consecutive win to climb over the .500 mark (60-59) for the first time since June 10. They have won 10 of their last 12 and 14 of their last 18.
Behind Berkman’s grand slam, a two-run single by Darin Erstad and a two-run homer by Ty Wigginton, the Astros scored a season-high eight runs in the seventh, turning a 3-2 deficit into a 10-3 lead.
...
Eight consecutive batters reached after one out in the inning. Erstad’s two-run, bases-loaded single to left scored Brad Ausmus with Hunter Pence sliding home on his heels.
The play was reminiscent of Geoff Blum’s two-run single in the bottom of the ninth against the New York Mets on Aug. 2 in which Mark Loretta slid home a split-second before Pence barreled into him.
Unfortunately for Ed Wade’s (or is it Drayton McLane’s?) playoff hopes, the team he hopes to catch has won seven in a row, so all this has done so far is keep them from losing even more ground.
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1. kthejoker Posted: August 13, 2008 at 02:52 PM (#2901047)who has somehow managed to get leftys out don't ask me how
really
if this team wins 90 games/the pennant, it will have to be the luckiest worst team evah. including the 73 mets, the 87 twins and the 06 cards
but i personally am rooting for wandy to pitch the first WS nono since don larsen and therefore win the WS MVP.
Really? Do you happen to have a link, or did he make the statement during a broadcast?
The Astros would have to go 30-13 over the remainder of the season (that would require a win % of around 70). Basically, they would have to be the 1906 Cubs or the 2001 Mariners for a quarter of a season.
The Astros have maybe a 0.5% chance of catching them as opposed to the 0.1% chance of catching the Cubs.
The BPro Playoff Odds simulator estimates the Astros have a .02227% chance of winning the division and a .45043% chance of getting the wildcard. That's pretty good agreement :)
If only I could find some statistical mumbo-jumbo rationalization for pulling numbers off the top of my head!
According to my CFBPS, Astros gunboat Carlos Lee will lose 100 points of slugging next year, but only 10 points of OBP.
berkman hit a granny in the famous 18 inning game vs atlanta in the 05 NLDS. everyone remembers ausmus!!!!! tying the game with a homer in the 9th and burke hitting the walkoff in the 18th
- interesting - berkman, unlike the more famous bagwell/biggio, has been a MONSTAH in the playoffs. and if lidge hadn't coughed it up to Uncle in game 5, berkman certainly would have been the MVP
But in all fairness, this is a lot easier to do over 43 games than over 162. You certainly don't have to be as good as the 2001 Mariners to go 30-13 over 43 games.
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