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Wednesday, August 15, 2018

How MLB’s Coldest Hitter Got Hot

In the span of a few months, Calhoun went from being colder than he’d ever been to about as hot as he’d ever been. “It’s definitely pretty extreme,” Calhoun said. “I don’t know if I’ve ever really experienced anything like it.” Almost no hitter ever has. Baseball Prospectus provided The Ringer with RPA+ data for all hitters in all calendar months going back to 1950 in which they recorded at least 80 plate appearances. Only one hitter — the Dodgers’ Ron Fairly in 1966 — has ever experienced a more drastic difference between his best and worst offensive months in a single season than Calhoun has in 2018.

This is a few days old, but Calhoun’s turnaround has been almost an extreme regression to the mean.  Through May 31st he was slashing 145/195/179, which was a bit inflated by a 3-5 with a home run opening day.  I thought the shift had done him in.  Since coming off the DL, he’s slashing 296/368/639.  That’s a pretty dramatic turnaround.

Shredder Posted: August 15, 2018 at 12:02 AM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: kole calhoun, los angeles angels

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   1. Never Give an Inge (Dave) Posted: August 15, 2018 at 11:32 AM (#5727148)

Not quite the same since he wasn't quite as bad as Calhoun was, and he turned it around earlier, but Matt Carpenter had a 64 OPS+ at the end of April. He's now at 164 on the season.
   2. Zonk qualifies as an invasive species Posted: August 15, 2018 at 11:36 AM (#5727152)
How bad has Chris Davis been?

So bad he can't even win the coldest player honors.
   3. John DiFool2 Posted: August 15, 2018 at 01:41 PM (#5727239)
He's not cold, he's petrified.
   4. TomH Posted: August 15, 2018 at 01:51 PM (#5727252)
Chris Davis has a great night last night!

Sitting in my quasi-good seats, the Mets brought in a young reliever mid-late-game, whom I had not heard of. His repertoire seemed to be fastball-fastball-fastball. He could trhow fast; the gun was showing 96 consistently, and he certainly was faster than starter Jason Vargas. Chris Davis swings (and often misses) at a ton of crappy pitches, but if you throw him fastballs without much movement in the same spot, Chris Davis can still hit the ball a lonnnng way.

It was odd how many Mets fans there were last night. Considering 2018 to many of them has been as disappointing as the orioles.
   5. Master of the Horse Posted: August 15, 2018 at 02:00 PM (#5727263)
After the game on May 15th Matt Carpenter was hitting .140/.286/.272

Matt Carpenter leads the NL in OPS, slugging and homers. Since July 1 he is slugging .751. Calhoun got nothing on Carpenter
   6. Tom Nawrocki Posted: August 15, 2018 at 02:27 PM (#5727288)
Carlos Gonzalez has had a similar season, although he was never quite as terrible as Carpenter or Calhoun. He was hitting .214/.262/.366 on May 26, and he's hitting .326/.383/.559 since then.

The thing about CarGo is that he does this almost every year. Last year he was at .219/.301/.355 as late as June 18, then hit .304/.377/.511 the rest of the way. In 2015, he was at .201/.284/.319 as of May 27, then went .295/.339/.617 the rest of the way. If he would just sit out the first two months of every season, he'd still be a big star.
   7. Random Transaction Generator Posted: August 15, 2018 at 02:49 PM (#5727316)
Kendrys Morales peaked a bit too early in July after having a terrible first month.

                                        
Split          G PA   BA  OBP  SLG   OPS
April/March   17 58 .160 .259 .240  .499
May           22 79 .233 .291 .411  .702
June          25 92 .277 .326 .482  .808
July          22 85 .338 .459 .574 1.032
August        11 45 .100 .200 .175  .375


Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/15/2018.

Randall Grichuk's April/June difference (no May because he was injured for the entire month) is also huge.

                                       
Split          G PA   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
April/March   25 77 .106 .208 .227 .435
June          25 91 .294 .341 .647 .988


Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 8/15/2018.
   8. The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott) Posted: August 15, 2018 at 08:30 PM (#5727538)
Less dramatic, but Jackie Bradley Jr. has a .910 OPS since June 24, prior to which he had a .563 OPS for the season. If I ever need to define a streaky hitter for someone, it'd be JBJ.

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