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Sunday, November 26, 2006

Improvisation Phillies-Style: Pat Gillick, Shane Victorino & the Arcane Bourbaki of Juan Thomas

That Topogigio générale, Jeff Angus…interviews Pat Gillick.

Jeff Angus: Improvisation. Most business are really bad at it. Baseball tends to be quite good at it. And you had a master stroke of improvisation this year when you sold your marquee player at the end of July but acquired four veterans after August 19. To the outside world it looked like you were cashing in your chips in late July, but when the team’s performance picked up, you changed course significantly.

Pat Gillick: Well, I think in baseball things have changed dramatically. You have to be very flexible, you have to be able to move very quickly. Consequently you have to improvise. I think you have to be ready for everything. In baseball, because of free agency and large contracts, things are not the way they were years ago; you have to be able to move, to improvise, to move at a moment’s notice.

Repoz Posted: November 26, 2006 at 12:47 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: business, phillies

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   1. Rough Carrigan Posted: November 26, 2006 at 02:08 AM (#2245789)
Pat Gillick (adopting Pee Wee Herman voice): I meant to do that.
   2. OlePerfesser Posted: November 26, 2006 at 02:58 PM (#2245928)
It's certainly accurate to say, as Jeff does, that "It made sense for Gillick to consider the sell-off when he did, and it made sense (in 20-20 hindsight) for him to try to shell out some dollars three weeks later for a bit of a run at the wild card."

But the decision to punt on '06 at the trading deadline was a very close call.

On Sunday, July 30, the Phils were only 5 GB the Reds (the Reds!) for the Wild Card, and the teams between them weren't exactly Murderer's Row. They were only 1/2 GB the Dodgers, and interestingly Ned Colletti read the situation in the opposite way: he basically said "this WC race is wide open, and I'm going for it!" Gillick gave up.

So I'd submit that it would also have been accurate to say "Gillick was hired to win now. He wanted to win now. It would have made sense, therefore, for him to emulate Colletti and not only keep Abreu et al, but add some talent for a whacky Wild Card race he was plainly in the middle of. Inexpicably, however, he dumped talent and salary--but at least was man enough to admit error and replace it a few weeks later when the team's status as a contender became plain even to him."

So I agree with Jeff that there's a "flexibility story" to be told about Gillick's '06. But I think a more interesting and equally reasonable story needs some consideration: that a wise old GM made a huge mistake in reading his team's competitive position at a crucial time, but recovered nimbly enough to avert disaster. An open question is whether the Phils would've gotten into the playoffs instead of just short of them with Colletti at their helm instead of Gillick.

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