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1. DL from MN Posted: November 14, 2012 at 03:32 PM (#4302612)This assumes a degree of certainty that doesn't exist.
Not really. Cano has a .7 win lead in fWAR, and 1.3 in BBrefWAR. There is some certainty in gaps that large.
If you want to just eyeball it, Cano's offense is clearly close enough to where the value of being a good fielding secondbaseman will allow him to overcome below average (or poor if we are ignoring the numbers) fielding thirdbaseman.
There's plenty of difference in the numbers to create certainty, or the numbers are useless (which they are if ~1 win in value is uncertain) and you can figure it out with a logic. Either way, if you aren't factoring in the unique value of the Triple Crown (which I assume the IBA's are not intending to do, I'm fine with the BBWAA doing it), it looks like a pretty clear win for Cano.
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