I meant to post this the other day…but I was gurneyed-out to a ReSuscitation Science Symposium.
When you factor in Wins Above Replacement, a sabermetric statistic that measures a player’s overall value, Soriano has a solid case. According to BaseballReference.com, Trout leads the AL with a WAR of 8.4. Soriano has a 1.2, which is 91st in the league. But, again, Soriano has only played 43 games in the AL. If Soriano’s production was pro-rated over an entire season, his 5.2 WAR would tie him with Evan Longoria for the 10th-highest total in the league. Yes, I realize that pro-rating Soriano’s numbers means he would have to continue this torrid pace for six months, not just seven weeks.
When voters review the AL landscape, I expect that Miguel Cabrera will garner most of the first-place votes and win the MVP over Trout and Chris Davis. After those three players, Cano, Josh Donaldson, Manny Machado, Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia, Evan Longoria and Adrian Beltre will appear on many ballots. MVP voters have told me that selecting the final three players on the ballot can be tougher than picking the first three.
So the question is: will Soriano squeeze in at the bottom of some ballots? If Soriano continues powering the Yankees and they win a Wild Card, I think he will get a few votes. Voters need to focus on the word valuable. Soriano has been as valuable as anyone in the league since rejoining the Yankees. A few votes would be appropriate for the valuable player who has kept the Yankees’ season alive.
Posted: September 18, 2013 at 04:53 AM | 40 comment(s)
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