Over the years I’ve converted to the BA/OBP/SLG line, to OPS, WHIP and some of the other core metrical categories of statistical analysis that are clearly valuable, and superior to older, more conventional statistics. I’m not interested here in debating the merits of Sabermetrics but in wondering how objective numbers-crunching might be at odds with affection, how objective evidence might bump up against loving memories of a player who in our imaginations played with grace and excellence (or at least with “grit”) but who when his numbers are crunched settles ignobly into the bottom half of career players. When the numbers tell you that a beloved player from your youth was below-average, what does that tell you about statistics, about your love for a game. About memory?
...How would you respond to someone who might see the accumulation and analysis of sabermetric stats as having a deadening effect on intuitive love of a given player?
...Seriously, this is a tough question, I think, because I don’t know if kids love players the way they did back then. I’m not certain healthy, free-thinking people have such idols any longer in 2012. Going to the game is no longer the absolute 100% delight it was even 30 years ago. Think about this; the ballpark is basically the team’s “store” and what they are saying to you is, “Come to my store and I will make you pay for parking to give me business.” Think about how nuts that sentence reads. You have to pay for the privilege of patronizing their establishment. It’s obnoxious and a leverage of your affection for the ballclub and its history. I think today kids like David Wright, they like Derek Jeter, they like players. They don’t love them.
I think the accumulation and analysis of sabermetric stats in the context of your affection for a player is the same as your buddy trying to tell you that the girl in sophomore year high school you were crazy about was a terrible lab partner. Good to know, I suppose, but it doesn’t really affect your overall perspective on the person. Unless of course, you found yourself in Physics class with her the following year.
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1. BDCOne is Randy Hundley: it was an article of faith for me that Hundley was a great catcher and potentially a great hitter who was robbed of a brilliant career by injuries. The record doesn't really seem to show that (always granted that WAR is hard to read for catchers). When Hundley caught 160 games in 1968, he was about 2 WAR. When he hit 19 home runs for the Cubs in 1966, the heart of the new-deadball era, he had an OPS+ of 87 (never walking in Wrigley Field will kill your OPS+ in any era). It does seem that Hundley did extraordinary things as a catcher, particularly in technique, though how valuable his defense was is hard to ascertain. He worked with some excellent pitchers. But I had this vision of him as the white Roy Campanella (at least potentially), and it just isn't real.
Another Cub from that period is Glenn Beckert. I was a scrappy sandlot second baseman, so I loved Beckert, and when he hit .342 in 1971 I was sure he was as close to perfect as a ballplayer could get. Now come to find that was good for an OPS+ of just 108 (never walking, Wrigley Field). And to add insult, WAR has him as -28 runs on defense for his career (DRA has him at -25). He grades passably with his glove at his peak, but I thought he was superior. Sigh.
I also thought of Del Unser, whom I always thought had a kind of mystique about him: good glove, decent speed, smart player, fine CF, could hit a little, would take a walk. WAR and other "new" metrics have him as pretty good, actually, particularly with the Phillies (which was when I followed him), and nobody thought he was that great anyway. He was underrated – sort of the poor kid's Joe Rudi – and the record actually confirms my opinion of him.
That leaves Larry Bowa. DRA has him at -57 runs for his career; B-Ref WAR actually has him at +30, which surprises me a little. Everyone thought at the time that he was a great defender (by "everybody" I mean my 8th-grade class), and he learned how to hit a little; seriously, when Bowa hit .290 or .300 we thought he was an overlooked MVP candidate. (I had forgotten that he placed third in MVP voting in 1978, so I guess he wasn't that overlooked.) The "new" metrics tell me that he was at best a capable defender, and he hit OK for his position, and became over time a very fine baserunner, and was an exceptionally smart player. And played forever, and played for winners: surprisingly enough, my youthful fascination with Bowa is not undercut by the record. (It was always clear that he had no power, for instance, so there was no way to honestly claim he was as good a player as Garry Maddox or Bob Boone, let alone Mike Schmidt. I just loved the heck out of him :)
When you hit 40 (I'm well over 50 now), you don't love players anymore, it's true. They come and go and they've broken your heart so often that you just watch them more critically now. And like Jordan here, and like the banished Andy, I get fed up with the Mallpark experience and the music and the constant branding of everything and the sportsbars within the stadium and crap. But I see little kids in HAMILTON 32 shirts squirming around when Josh bats. It's still pretty cool.
I saw nothing wrong with liking the Yankees at the same time. I just loved baseball and both teams were on TV all the time, so why not ? Bobby Murcer was my favorite Yankee.
Guess I had a thing for centerfielders with some power.
I started playing Strat baseball after the 1971 season, and it didn't take me long to figure out the value of walks/power vs. hollow batting average and to never pay much attention to the pitchers won loss record on the card as that often didn't seem to have anything to do with how good the card was. (Steve Carlton kinda sucked in 1971)
So after 71 not too many surprises for me. Strat was the best teacher I ever could have had.
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