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1. Misirlou is bad, he's nationwide Posted: May 08, 2012 at 09:43 PM (#4126919)Was that Shawn Green?
Yes. 6-6, 4hr, 2b, single
1st Josh Hamilton (11) 2 run shot to center off Arrieta, Andrus scored.
3rd Josh Hamilton (12) 2 run shot to left off Arrieta, Andrus scored.
7th Josh Hamilton (13) 2 run shot to center off Arrieta, Andrus scored.
8th Josh Hamilton (14) 2 run shot to center off O´Day, Andrus scored.
Easy day for Elvis -- just get on base and wait for your chance to jog home.
Have any of the other 4 home-run days all been 2 run shots -- with the same guy on base?
While hitting .406 with 36 RBI
Anyway, crowning anyone as the best team since whenever on May 8th is pretty silly.
Hey smart guy, I'm not just basing my statement on this year so far; I'm basing it on this year so far, and all of last year, and all of the year before that. Get it?
In that case, they're no better than the 2010 Phillies, who, coming off back to back pennants, started out 24-13.
That said, yay Josh!
Josh Hamilton's home runs disrupt the space-time continuum.
I bit a little, but backed off before getting in too much trouble.
Hamilton's fourth shot was indeed a shot.
Not that Beltran didn't enjoy a nice bounce back last season after a couple seasons of poor health, but if there was ever a sure bet for him to put up a monster season at this point in his career, it's St. Louis.
so--you expect MORE of them??
That's one of those things I've seen endless parodies of, but don't know where it originates. What performance is that based on?
Yup.
I was also about to add that the movie contains the line that inspired my favorite BBTF post of 2012. Upon finding it, I realized that it was a post by none other than Srul Itza.
From 1918 to 2012, (requiring HR=4), sorted by most recent date
he's an outlier because his was in extras--also he's one of a few who has 3 homers and a triple in one game, as mentioned in this thread
Pat "All-or-nothing" Seerey
Mike Schmidt's was extra innings too. A Saturday afternoon game at Wrigley.
correct--I should have said..
Has anyone else ever had a four home run game without pulling the ball even once?
Well, those, yes, but those are not outright caricatures like the Warner Brothers Bugs Bunny Cartoons:
Racketeer Rabbit
Wow. Pinch hitter in the 8th and wins it in the 13th. Amazing. Bob Bailey (who? sorry! I was born in 1973) didn't have a bad game either.
That's the record for hitters. For pitchers, its Vern Law for a 16-inning complete game. Though, if you go further back, I'm sure it's been topped. Probably Leon Cadore and Joe Oescheger from the 1-1 (26) 1920 marathon game are tied for the all-time one-game high. Both pitched complete games in that one.
Actually, Shamsky's team lost the game. But you couldn't blame Shamsky for his homers in the 8th, 10th, and 11th.
That was hard to find. I presume you mean July 19, 1955. 18IP for a WPA of 1.675. Is that it?
JB's post reads even better if you cram a cigar butt in one corner of your mouth and punctuate the pauses with "nyaaahh"s.
- that's from bugs bunny - rocky sez that in bugs n thugs. or is it buggsy and muggsy
rocky's gonna rub youse out, see?
Ha! Missed that.
Sort of falls in line with Chief Wiggum's (who was based on Edward G.) taunt to Flanders: "Where's your Messiah now, Flanders, nyah."
"Where's your Messiah ..."
If the Pirates hadn't rallied in the bottom of the 19th, the single-game records for both batting and pitching WPA would have come in losing efforts. That would have been awesome.
From 1918 to 2012, sorted by greatest wpa_bat
From 1918 to 2012, sorted by greatest wpa_def
Wow, he gave 168%!
I'm guessing Rennie Stennett's 7-for-7 in a 22-0 win is the lowest WPA for a great game. WPA of .082, wasn't even tops on his team.
Hmmm ... Cubs' starter that day was HoMer Rick Reuschel.
Realyy horrifying image try this
I'm totally wrong. ESPN has an article just about World Series games. Freese had .969, Game 6 in 2011.
Perfect example of the silliness of WPA as a concept. Gibson had .870 WPA for his 2-run home run to win the game. Meanwhile, Mickey Hatcher hits a two-run homer in the first inning and it's only worth .170 WPA. They're both two-run homers in a game the team won by one run, both off of good pitchers (Stewart and Eck), not that WPA takes that into account. There's no reason for one to be worth 5 times as much as the other.
I'm guessing Rennie Stennett's 7-for-7 in a 22-0 win is the lowest WPA for a great game. WPA of .082, wasn't even tops on his team.
In this game, Gil Hodges went 5-6, hit for the cycle and had two home runs, 14 total bases, for a WPA of 0.79.
I bet more than five times as many people remember who hit the home run that won the game than remember who hit the home run in the first.
In this game, Gil Hodges went 5-6, hit for the cycle and had two home runs, 14 total bases, for a WPA of 0.79.
D'oh! That is supposed to be .079.
No doubt. Kind of like how people tend to remember the batting champion over the OPS+ champion. Not that Gibson's home run was less valuable than Hatcher's, and it was certainly more exciting, but Hatcher's home run enabled Gibson's home run to have as much value as it did. That sort of conditional probability is not captured in WPA.
Anyway, a few other notable games:
Jose Bautista, 3 HR, .040 WPA
Edwin Encarnacion, 3 HR, .042 WPA
Bobby Doerr, 3 HR, .046 WPA
Torii Hunter, 3 HR, .066 WPA
Drew Stubbs, 3 HR, .067 WPA
Thinking about how to search to get something that corresponds to this list.... what about restricting yourself to games where the players produced a win's amount of batting runs (or RAR or RE or whatever) and then sorting in decreasing order of WPA?
...and a double.
Marichal and Perry both did it after 1962.
I'm surprised Carl Hubbell's 18 inning 1-0 win didn't make it.
they said on espn radio this morning (courtesy of elias sports bureau) that Mark Whiten's game - he drove in Gerald Perry on all 4 of his homers, but clearly, by his 12 rbi, he drove in others as well.
Actually, Whiten drove in Todd Zeile 3 times as well. He was close to driving in both Perry and Zeile 4 times each.
And the Cardinals that day - 28 runs scored, and they still split the double header!
Gil Hodges drove in Carl Furillo 4 times, but one of his homers was a 3 run homer where he also drove in Jackie Robinson.
Mays drove in Davenport 3 times in his 4 hr bid.
So 3 times has the same guy trotted home 4 times, but Hamilton is the only guy to have *only* driven in the same guy all 4 times.
Poor Mike Cameron - 4 solo shots.
What a slacker.
On a day when his team scored 15 runs!
On a day when his team scored 15 runs!
Hitting directly behind a guy who also hit two home runs in the same inning as you did will keep your RBI count down.
Who cares? WPA is totally and absolutely useless as a value measure. STOP USING IT THIS WAY. It is a predictive stat, it ignores events that come after the event being measured. This means that if the game is over WPA IGNORES INFORMATION WE HAVE. STOP STOP STOP STOP STOP STOP trying to use it as a retrospective value measure.
#79, yes.
Ha! Missed that.
Another twist is that Shamsky was actually put in as a late-inning defensive replacement to help preserve the Reds lead, not as a pinch hitter.
For the good reason that (as often noted here) you can easily come back from a 2-run deficit in the first (as the A's actually did), but a 2-run walkoff is an absolute nail in the coffin. As Randy notes, this has ####-all to do with the value of two runs. It's an attempt to quantify something far more variable: the likelihood of winning from that point forward, which is interesting partly as a curiosity and partly as a measure of the psychology of someone following a game.
I find the only use of WPA is as a retrospective emotional impact stat.
It's a completely and utterly useless stat for any type of analysis that doesn't involve detailing the emotional impact of the play on the fans. It's not predictive(because WPA assumes automatically that the rest of the game is composed of average hitters), it's not a value stat because as mentioned it treats 2 run homeruns in the same game vastly different.
It's the rbi of the stat community, while managing to be even sillier.
Don't know, but Joe Torre once erased Felix Millan on 4 straight GIDPs.
Settle down, Beavis. It was pure curiosity, that's all. WPA is just a fun stat. FUN. Remember when baseball used to be fun? It's like Neyer's "Beane count" or James's "HOF Monitor." They're just toys to play with.
Has anybody on this thread used it as a value measure? Heck, has anybody anywhere on BBTF used it as a value measure?
EDIT: Or maybe "value" isn't the right word. Maybe "significance" is better.
And this is why WPA should never be used, because even people here are confused about it. It does not measure anything about the player, it only measures the change in likelihood of the team winning the game from before to after an event. IT MEASURES NOTHING ABOUT THE PLAYER AND NOTHING ABOUT VALUE.
EDIT: The all caps sentence above is my response to post #85. Saying that so and so produced .xxx WPA in a game is a total and absolute misuse of the stat. It is nothing at all like looking at Beane Count or the HoF Monitor.
Vin Scully mentioned that on the Dodgers broadcast last night. He quoted Torre, after the game when a reporter asked him about the feat, "I couldn't have done it without Millan". Heh.
Except that this is incorrect. It attempts to predict the significance of an event AT THE TIME OF THE EVENT. When the rest of the events of the game are unknown. After the game is over, we know the actual significance of that event and WPA is utterly and totally useless beyond maybe as a rough measure of the emotional impact of an event on the fans, as cfb said in #83.
EDIT: reworded a little bit to make my point more clear.
Didn't start Arietta, but I will claim those bonus points as my opponent has both Hamilton and Beltran. Sigh. 10 HR/25 RBI by Tuesday?
Eh. My opponent last week had Ryan Braun's 3-HR game and I still won the week 8-2 including a sweep of the hitting categories. I'm up against the best team in our league right now (including Hamilton) and am still sitting at 4-5-1 entering today. I'll take that at this point.
This, exactly. It's not a great measure of a player's value contributed, but it is a very good measure of his dramatic contribution, if you will.
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