Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, August 20, 2012

Joura: Thoughts on Left on Base and GDPs for the Mets

If Michael the Kay shows up for today’s “No Parm - No Fowl” fest…I’ll print this out.

Sunday the Mets left 10 runners on base and lost, 5-2. The story of the game is they had their chances but could not cash in. It stood in stark contrast to Saturday’s contest, where the Mets left only three runners on base but won the game. It’s easy to view Left On Base (LOB) as a negative thing but if you are ever asked to lead the league in a negative category, make sure you pick LOB.

The Cardinals lead the National League with a 4.84 runs per game average. They also lead the league on LOB with a 7.39 mark. On the flip side, the Cubs are 15th with a 3.73 runs per game mark and 15th in LOB with a 6.25 mark. The Mets are eighth with a 4.32 runs per game mark and are third with a 7.01 LOB.

For teams without a lot of power, the mantra has always been: “Get them on, get them over, get them in.” There’s no way to get them in without getting them on in the first place. And the sad reality is that there is always going to be “waste” in this equation. Not every runner who gets on, gets in. Think of it as a cost of doing business.

...If asked to guess what happened, I would say that part of it was regression, part of it bullpen issues, part of it bad luck and part of it poor managing, both on and off the field. It’s impossible to say what percentage to put into each category and where you put the blame for the second half skid probably says a lot about how you view the game in general.

All I know is that I would rather watch a game where the Mets leave 12 men on base rather than one in which they strand two. In games where the Mets leave 12 or more batters on base, they are 5-3. In games where they strand two batters, they are 1-5.

Repoz Posted: August 20, 2012 at 12:15 PM | 1 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Russlan is fond of Dillon Gee Posted: August 20, 2012 at 02:28 PM (#4212675)
I was going to talk about the 2013 Mets but decided not to after seeing the Mets owe Bay and Santana 52 million next year including buyouts. Ouch. All I want the Mets to do is either extend Wright and Dickey or trade them and start thinking about 2014 as a time to be contenders.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
1k5v3L
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogFull Count » Finally healthy, Dustin Pedroia proclaims ‘I’m not messing around’
(10 - 6:15pm, Mar 02)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOT: Soccer January 2015
(606 - 6:14pm, Mar 02)
Last: Shooty Is Disappointed With His Midstream Urine

NewsblogWith Upton out, Braves can get good look at CF options | Atlanta Braves blog
(17 - 6:12pm, Mar 02)
Last: bbmck

NewsblogThe world we live in…Man has it changed. ADDENDUM! | 38 Pitches
(54 - 6:05pm, Mar 02)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogOTP - March: You’re out, tobacco: Bill would ban products at all California baseball venues
(275 - 6:00pm, Mar 02)
Last: Rickey! is just here so he don't get fined

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - March 2015
(46 - 5:59pm, Mar 02)
Last: PASTE Thinks This Trout Kid Might Be OK (Zeth)

NewsblogKeri: The 30: Offseason Stock Report
(10 - 5:58pm, Mar 02)
Last: Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)

NewsblogSale fractures right foot in accident at home | MLB.com
(19 - 5:55pm, Mar 02)
Last: Bring Me the Head of Alfredo Griffin (Vlad)

NewsblogIs Charlie Brown the Worst Manager Ever? – The Hardball Times
(32 - 5:44pm, Mar 02)
Last: Barry`s_Lazy_Boy

NewsblogYankees Rookie Nervously Tells A-Rod How Much He Used To Hate Him As A Kid
(8 - 5:39pm, Mar 02)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogGarrett Richards of Los Angeles Angels won't be ready by Opening Day, Mike Scioscia says - ESPN Los Angeles
(12 - 5:06pm, Mar 02)
Last: Ziggy

NewsblogAlex Rodriguez Attends First-Base School, but a Key Item Is Absent
(26 - 4:28pm, Mar 02)
Last: Gonfalon Bubble

NewsblogMLB Network: Carlos Pena explains Effective Velocity (video)
(6 - 4:12pm, Mar 02)
Last: A White and Gold Leaf

NewsblogThe career paths of Brandon Nimmo and Michael Conforto |
(43 - 3:54pm, Mar 02)
Last: Arbitol Dijaler

NewsblogESPN: Switch-Pitcher Venditte The Talk Of A's Camp
(23 - 3:36pm, Mar 02)
Last: Ziggy

Page rendered in 0.1611 seconds
48 querie(s) executed