Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, August 20, 2012

Joura: Thoughts on Left on Base and GDPs for the Mets

If Michael the Kay shows up for today’s “No Parm - No Fowl” fest…I’ll print this out.

Sunday the Mets left 10 runners on base and lost, 5-2. The story of the game is they had their chances but could not cash in. It stood in stark contrast to Saturday’s contest, where the Mets left only three runners on base but won the game. It’s easy to view Left On Base (LOB) as a negative thing but if you are ever asked to lead the league in a negative category, make sure you pick LOB.

The Cardinals lead the National League with a 4.84 runs per game average. They also lead the league on LOB with a 7.39 mark. On the flip side, the Cubs are 15th with a 3.73 runs per game mark and 15th in LOB with a 6.25 mark. The Mets are eighth with a 4.32 runs per game mark and are third with a 7.01 LOB.

For teams without a lot of power, the mantra has always been: “Get them on, get them over, get them in.” There’s no way to get them in without getting them on in the first place. And the sad reality is that there is always going to be “waste” in this equation. Not every runner who gets on, gets in. Think of it as a cost of doing business.

...If asked to guess what happened, I would say that part of it was regression, part of it bullpen issues, part of it bad luck and part of it poor managing, both on and off the field. It’s impossible to say what percentage to put into each category and where you put the blame for the second half skid probably says a lot about how you view the game in general.

All I know is that I would rather watch a game where the Mets leave 12 men on base rather than one in which they strand two. In games where the Mets leave 12 or more batters on base, they are 5-3. In games where they strand two batters, they are 1-5.

Repoz Posted: August 20, 2012 at 12:15 PM | 1 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Russlan thinks deGrom is da bomb Posted: August 20, 2012 at 02:28 PM (#4212675)
I was going to talk about the 2013 Mets but decided not to after seeing the Mets owe Bay and Santana 52 million next year including buyouts. Ouch. All I want the Mets to do is either extend Wright and Dickey or trade them and start thinking about 2014 as a time to be contenders.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
dirk
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-16-2017
(1 - 7:37am, Jan 16)
Last: Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee)

NewsblogOTP 9 Jan. 2017: What’s next for sports, politics, and TV in 2017?
(1922 - 7:26am, Jan 16)
Last: Morty Causa

NewsblogOT: Wrestling Thread November 2014
(1787 - 7:16am, Jan 16)
Last: MHS

NewsblogOT - NFL stretch drive/playoffs (December 2016 - February 2017)
(576 - 7:15am, Jan 16)
Last: MHS

NewsblogRyan Thibs has his 2017 HOF Tracker Up and Running
(760 - 3:12am, Jan 16)
Last: bachslunch

NewsblogOT - December 2016 NBA thread
(1016 - 2:07am, Jan 16)
Last: maccoach57

NewsblogThe Ballot 7: Larry Walker
(155 - 1:40am, Jan 16)
Last: DanG

NewsblogOT: January 2016 Soccer Thread
(73 - 9:06pm, Jan 15)
Last: jmurph

NewsblogSunday Notes: Baseball Scotland, Projections, Posada, more | FanGraphs Baseball
(20 - 7:56pm, Jan 15)
Last: puck

NewsblogMaterials From Jim Bouton’s ‘Ball Four’ Days Going Once, Going Twice ... - The New York Times
(4 - 6:27pm, Jan 15)
Last: Morty Causa

NewsblogWe assigned cooler names to old players to get them into the Hall of Fame
(90 - 5:54pm, Jan 15)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogHall of Fame voting shifts in Jeff Bagwell's favor - Houston Chronicle
(2 - 4:32pm, Jan 15)
Last: Scott Ross

NewsblogThe many reasons why Sandy needs to move Bruce for good of Mets - NY Daily News
(12 - 1:30pm, Jan 15)
Last: Infinite Yost (Voxter)

NewsblogChecking in on Chase Utley’s Hall of Fame chances
(81 - 11:27am, Jan 15)
Last: Edmundo got dem ol' Kozma blues again mama

Hall of Merit2018 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(95 - 9:19am, Jan 15)
Last: bachslunch

Page rendered in 0.1135 seconds
47 querie(s) executed