Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Monday, August 20, 2012

Joura: Thoughts on Left on Base and GDPs for the Mets

If Michael the Kay shows up for today’s “No Parm - No Fowl” fest…I’ll print this out.

Sunday the Mets left 10 runners on base and lost, 5-2. The story of the game is they had their chances but could not cash in. It stood in stark contrast to Saturday’s contest, where the Mets left only three runners on base but won the game. It’s easy to view Left On Base (LOB) as a negative thing but if you are ever asked to lead the league in a negative category, make sure you pick LOB.

The Cardinals lead the National League with a 4.84 runs per game average. They also lead the league on LOB with a 7.39 mark. On the flip side, the Cubs are 15th with a 3.73 runs per game mark and 15th in LOB with a 6.25 mark. The Mets are eighth with a 4.32 runs per game mark and are third with a 7.01 LOB.

For teams without a lot of power, the mantra has always been: “Get them on, get them over, get them in.” There’s no way to get them in without getting them on in the first place. And the sad reality is that there is always going to be “waste” in this equation. Not every runner who gets on, gets in. Think of it as a cost of doing business.

...If asked to guess what happened, I would say that part of it was regression, part of it bullpen issues, part of it bad luck and part of it poor managing, both on and off the field. It’s impossible to say what percentage to put into each category and where you put the blame for the second half skid probably says a lot about how you view the game in general.

All I know is that I would rather watch a game where the Mets leave 12 men on base rather than one in which they strand two. In games where the Mets leave 12 or more batters on base, they are 5-3. In games where they strand two batters, they are 1-5.

Repoz Posted: August 20, 2012 at 12:15 PM | 1 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Russlan thinks deGrom is da bomb Posted: August 20, 2012 at 02:28 PM (#4212675)
I was going to talk about the 2013 Mets but decided not to after seeing the Mets owe Bay and Santana 52 million next year including buyouts. Ouch. All I want the Mets to do is either extend Wright and Dickey or trade them and start thinking about 2014 as a time to be contenders.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Forsch 10 From Navarone (Dayn)
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogClayton Kershaw Great Numbers so far for Dodgers - Stats
(4 - 7:53am, May 24)
Last: Don August(us) Cesar Geronimo Berroa

NewsblogOTP 2016 May 23: Baseball owners hear from Democratic, Republican strategists
(159 - 7:40am, May 24)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

NewsblogSan Diego Gay Men’s Chorus Humiliated in Homophobic ‘Nightmare’ at Padres Game
(171 - 7:09am, May 24)
Last: Lassus

Gonfalon CubsRegression and Perspective
(5 - 6:16am, May 24)
Last: bbmck

NewsblogUncertainty Reigns With Draft Just Three Weeks Away - BaseballAmerica.com
(12 - 6:00am, May 24)
Last: Bug Selig

NewsblogOT: Soccer March/April 2016
(1225 - 5:01am, May 24)
Last:  Shoeless Swedish Chef

NewsblogOT: NBA Playoffs Thread 2016
(2246 - 4:51am, May 24)
Last: Moses Taylor, Optimist in London

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 5-23-16
(134 - 3:16am, May 24)
Last: Snowboy

NewsblogPlease don't take away our glorious intentional walks
(43 - 2:28am, May 24)
Last: Joyful Calculus Instructor

NewsblogEither Adrian Beltre really wanted to get back to first or he ran into a terrifying ghost | MLB.com
(10 - 12:11am, May 24)
Last: JEe (Jason)

NewsblogBorges: Red Sox Nation miserable while club keeps winning | Boston Herald
(23 - 10:12pm, May 23)
Last: The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott)

NewsblogWSJ: Coco Crisp’s Rancho Mirage Estate Seeks $9.995 Million
(18 - 9:36pm, May 23)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOT: Wrestling Thread November 2014
(1574 - 9:07pm, May 23)
Last: Gonfalon Bubble

Sox TherapyThe Quiet Star
(22 - 8:04pm, May 23)
Last: Darren

NewsblogAngels reliever Cam Bedrosian is a cat admirer, and that's that - LA Times
(98 - 7:07pm, May 23)
Last: BDC

Page rendered in 0.1178 seconds
47 querie(s) executed