Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Kannengieser: Maybe David Wright Should Stop Trying To Steal Bases

Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

” cols=“100” rows=“20”>

Snarf wise…he’s gone from Jaerock Lee to Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

Repoz Posted: August 15, 2012 at 11:29 AM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. TomH Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:21 PM (#4208927)
how many were on busted hit-and-runs?
   2. JJ1986 Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:26 PM (#4208934)
Wright had been a very good percentage base stealer before this year.
   3. Lassus Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:33 PM (#4208953)
After careful consideration, I would definitely put this somewhere between #52 and #78 on the current list of the Mets' most important problems.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Ray (RDP)
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogHow model for Yankees’ vision shows lightning-rebuild hope | New York Post
(21 - 4:47pm, Aug 28)
Last: SouthSideRyan

NewsblogOmnichatter 08-28-2016
(19 - 4:45pm, Aug 28)
Last: Sonny Gray's Got a Yakker for Your Culo

NewsblogSanchez Fastest In MLB History To 11 HRs
(12 - 4:19pm, Aug 28)
Last: Joe Bivens, Floundering Pumpkin

NewsblogOTP 2016 August 22: Baseball has much to teach us about politics
(997 - 4:06pm, Aug 28)
Last: Sheer Tim Foli

NewsblogStrained relations? Irate Hammel not happy with Maddon | Chicago Sun-Times
(16 - 3:49pm, Aug 28)
Last: There's a bustle in Misirlou's hedgerow

NewsblogIndians' Brandon Guyer is hit-by-pitch king | indians.com
(14 - 3:02pm, Aug 28)
Last: PreservedFish

NewsblogOmnichatter 8-27-16
(64 - 2:59pm, Aug 28)
Last: Spahn Insane, stimulus-funded BurlyMan™

Newsblog2016 NFL thread
(17 - 2:59pm, Aug 28)
Last: Tom Nawrocki

NewsblogIt's time the owner takes some blame for the disappointing Diamondbacks | FOX Sports
(1 - 2:41pm, Aug 28)
Last: ReggieThomasLives

NewsblogAn Appreciation: Carlos Ruiz, the most popular person of the Phillies' golden era | PhillyVoice
(1 - 2:18pm, Aug 28)
Last: eddieot

NewsblogHardly a Hard Day's Night for the Cubs on Beatles Night at Dodger Stadium - Chicago Tribune
(11 - 2:05pm, Aug 28)
Last: Batman

NewsblogPadres claim Oswaldo Arcia, option Kivlehan | padres.com
(3 - 2:05pm, Aug 28)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogOT: August 2016 Soccer Thread
(396 - 12:52pm, Aug 28)
Last: Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogThe Diamondbacks’ flexible philosophies
(11 - 12:21pm, Aug 28)
Last: ReggieThomasLives

NewsblogWhite Sox GM Rick Hahn says talk of trade-deadline discord 'simply untrue'
(37 - 11:58am, Aug 28)
Last: McCoy

Page rendered in 0.1188 seconds
47 querie(s) executed