Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Kannengieser: Maybe David Wright Should Stop Trying To Steal Bases

Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

” cols=“100” rows=“20”>

Snarf wise…he’s gone from Jaerock Lee to Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

Repoz Posted: August 15, 2012 at 11:29 AM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. TomH Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:21 PM (#4208927)
how many were on busted hit-and-runs?
   2. JJ1986 Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:26 PM (#4208934)
Wright had been a very good percentage base stealer before this year.
   3. Lassus Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:33 PM (#4208953)
After careful consideration, I would definitely put this somewhere between #52 and #78 on the current list of the Mets' most important problems.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Brian
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: Politics, August 2014: DNC criticizes Christie’s economic record with baseball video
(4326 - 12:43pm, Aug 20)
Last: snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster)

NewsblogPrado at second base not how Yanks Drew it up
(10 - 12:43pm, Aug 20)
Last: Tom Nawrocki

NewsblogBP: Moonshot: The Analytic Value of the Crack of the Bat
(1 - 12:42pm, Aug 20)
Last: Walks Clog Up the Bases

NewsblogIwakuma gives Mariners a second true ace
(18 - 12:40pm, Aug 20)
Last: PepTech

NewsblogGiants plan to protest bizarre loss at Wrigley
(12 - 12:40pm, Aug 20)
Last: McCoy

NewsblogTarp troubles lead to long delay, shortened game
(1 - 12:39pm, Aug 20)
Last: Spahn Insane

NewsblogKepner (NYT): Astros’ Jose Altuve Doesn’t Let Height Be a Disadvantage
(27 - 12:39pm, Aug 20)
Last: Tom Nawrocki

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 8-20-2014
(11 - 12:23pm, Aug 20)
Last: Tom Nawrocki

NewsblogPlenty of Pete Rose ahead on ESPN
(26 - 12:22pm, Aug 20)
Last: SoSHially Unacceptable

NewsblogOT: The Soccer Thread August, 2014
(429 - 12:22pm, Aug 20)
Last: Swedish Chef

NewsblogPosnanski: The need – the need for speed
(20 - 12:00pm, Aug 20)
Last: Ron J2

NewsblogKeidel: Don’t Be Fooled — The Yankees’ Season Is Over
(84 - 11:53am, Aug 20)
Last: Jolly Old St. Nick Still Gags in October

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - August 2014
(274 - 11:49am, Aug 20)
Last: Spivey

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1957 Ballot
(1 - 11:49am, Aug 20)
Last: DL from MN

Newsblog[Ubaldo] Jimenez to the bullpen
(15 - 11:36am, Aug 20)
Last: Jolly Old St. Nick Still Gags in October

Page rendered in 0.0943 seconds
52 querie(s) executed