Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Kannengieser: Maybe David Wright Should Stop Trying To Steal Bases

Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

” cols=“100” rows=“20”>

Snarf wise…he’s gone from Jaerock Lee to Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

Repoz Posted: August 15, 2012 at 11:29 AM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. TomH Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:21 PM (#4208927)
how many were on busted hit-and-runs?
   2. JJ1986 Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:26 PM (#4208934)
Wright had been a very good percentage base stealer before this year.
   3. Lassus Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:33 PM (#4208953)
After careful consideration, I would definitely put this somewhere between #52 and #78 on the current list of the Mets' most important problems.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
JPWF13
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: Politics, October 2014: Sunshine, Baseball, and Etch A Sketch: How Politicians Use Analogies
(4614 - 11:58am, Oct 30)
Last: Jolly Old St. Nick Is A Jolly Old St. Crip

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - October 2014
(576 - 11:57am, Oct 30)
Last: Der-K and the statistical werewolves.

NewsblogOT: NBC.news: Valve isn’t making one gaming console, but multiple ‘Steam machines’
(973 - 11:55am, Oct 30)
Last: Greg K

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 10-30-2014
(9 - 11:55am, Oct 30)
Last: Pat Rapper's Delight

NewsblogJoe Maddon is to become Cubs manager, sources say
(73 - 11:54am, Oct 30)
Last: zonk

NewsblogSan Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals - October 29, 2014 | MLB.com Box
(52 - 11:53am, Oct 30)
Last: Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos

NewsblogHeyman: Pablo Sandoval is on Boston's 3B wish list, but so is Chase Headley
(26 - 11:51am, Oct 30)
Last: villageidiom

NewsblogMadison Bumgarner, World Series legend - McCovey Chronicles
(51 - 11:47am, Oct 30)
Last: Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos

NewsblogStatcast: Butler chugs home
(1 - 11:38am, Oct 30)
Last: Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos

Newsblog2014 WORLD SERIES GAME 7 OMNICHATTER
(1435 - 11:35am, Oct 30)
Last: Jolly Old St. Nick Is A Jolly Old St. Crip

NewsblogJapan Times: Nakamura belts three-run homer in 10th to put Hawks one win away from Japan Series title
(10 - 11:32am, Oct 30)
Last: RMc is a fine piece of cheese

NewsblogVanguard after the Revolution | NBC SportsWorld
(50 - 10:24am, Oct 30)
Last: Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play

NewsblogAngell: The World Series is Almost Over
(1 - 9:22am, Oct 30)
Last: sotapop

NewsblogRoad maps to pitching success in Game 7 | FOX Sports
(9 - 1:14am, Oct 30)
Last: Ray (RDP)

NewsblogESPN: Jose Canseco shoots self in hand
(66 - 11:53pm, Oct 29)
Last: eric

Page rendered in 0.1905 seconds
52 querie(s) executed