Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Wednesday, August 15, 2012

Kannengieser: Maybe David Wright Should Stop Trying To Steal Bases

Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

” cols=“100” rows=“20”>

Snarf wise…he’s gone from Jaerock Lee to Dud Lee in no time!

David Wright was caught stealing last night in the eighth inning of the Mets’ 3-0 loss to the Reds. That makes nine caught stealings on the season. This wouldn’t be a problem if he offset those failed attempts with—let’s say—30 successful attempts. But he doesn’t have 30 stolen bases; he has 12. That’s 12-for-21, a 57% success rate. Ouch, considering the National League average success rate is approximately 73% and the break-even rate is about the same, with some variation depending on the situation.

...Study tape, consult the coaching staff (which might be giving him the steal sign), think about past seasons in which he enjoyed stolen base success. Do all those things big-leaguers do to get better. Unless he is doing those things already, at which point it’s time for him to consider scaling back his aggressiveness on the basepaths.

That’s all I’ve got. Love David Wright, hate when he is caught stealing. An out is a terrible thing to waste.

Repoz Posted: August 15, 2012 at 11:29 AM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. TomH Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:21 PM (#4208927)
how many were on busted hit-and-runs?
   2. JJ1986 Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:26 PM (#4208934)
Wright had been a very good percentage base stealer before this year.
   3. Lassus Posted: August 15, 2012 at 03:33 PM (#4208953)
After careful consideration, I would definitely put this somewhere between #52 and #78 on the current list of the Mets' most important problems.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Rough Carrigan
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogGambling Bochy creature of habit when it comes to pitchers | CSN Bay Area
(6 - 5:21am, Oct 26)
Last: Bhaakon

NewsblogHow top World Series players ranked as prospects. | SportsonEarth.com : Jim Callis Article
(22 - 5:16am, Oct 26)
Last: Bhaakon

NewsblogPhils' philospophy beginning to evolve | phillies.com
(18 - 3:42am, Oct 26)
Last: Dog on the sidewalk

Newsblog2014 WORLD SERIES GAME 4 OMNICHATTER
(873 - 3:39am, Oct 26)
Last: PreservedFish

NewsblogMLB - Royals' Ned Yost keeps managing to win - ESPN
(13 - 3:15am, Oct 26)
Last: Bhaakon

NewsblogOT:  October 2014 - College Football thread
(482 - 1:31am, Oct 26)
Last: Robert in Manhattan Beach

NewsblogBuster Olney on Twitter: "Sources: Manager Joe Maddon has exercised an opt-out clause in his contract and is leaving the Tampa Bay Rays immediately."
(90 - 1:16am, Oct 26)
Last: DFA

NewsblogOT: Politics, October 2014: Sunshine, Baseball, and Etch A Sketch: How Politicians Use Analogies
(3811 - 12:24am, Oct 26)
Last: Howie Menckel

Newsblog2014 WORLD SERIES GAME 3 OMNICHATTER
(521 - 10:56pm, Oct 25)
Last: Sunday silence

NewsblogDave Dombrowski: Injury worse than expected, Miguel Cabrera 'is as tough as you can possibly be' | MLive.com
(30 - 10:52pm, Oct 25)
Last: RMc is a fine piece of cheese

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - October 2014
(396 - 8:40pm, Oct 25)
Last: Tom Cervo, backup catcher

NewsblogBoston Red Sox prospect Deven Marrero enjoying turnaround in Arizona Fall League | MiLB.com
(14 - 7:58pm, Oct 25)
Last: Merton Muffley

NewsblogYost's managerial decisions make for extra-entertaining World Series | FOX Sports
(16 - 7:30pm, Oct 25)
Last: BDC

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 1959 Ballot
(8 - 6:29pm, Oct 25)
Last: Chris Fluit

NewsblogOT: NBC.news: Valve isn’t making one gaming console, but multiple ‘Steam machines’
(872 - 6:02pm, Oct 25)
Last: Greg K

Page rendered in 0.0861 seconds
52 querie(s) executed