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Monday, July 14, 2014

Knobler: Inside MLB’s Cuban Pipeline: It’s High-Risk, High-Reward

Mr. Burns, I think we can trust the President of Cuba.

Eventually, the players who leave the island establish residency in another country and are declared free agents. Workouts are scheduled, sometimes attracting 200 scouts and executives if the player is a big enough star.

Sometimes, a player may work out for a specific team, as Abreu did for the Reds when they wanted to see if he could play third base or left field (he couldn’t, at least not to their satisfaction, and with Joey Votto set at first base, they reluctantly dropped out of the bidding).

Eventually, a player signs pending a physical exam, which can be something of an adventure in itself. The Dodgers had to have someone drive Puig 1.5 hours across Mexico City to find an MRI machine. When the Reds recently signed pitcher Raisel Iglesias, scheduling the physical was almost a bigger obstacle than negotiating the contract.

“We were working on a tight deadline, and the kid couldn’t get a visa yet to come to the Dominican Republic or the U.S.,” Reds general manager Walt Jocketty explained. “We finally brought a doctor from the Dominican, and a Spanish-speaking doctor we work with in Cincinnati, to see the kid in Haiti. But then they had to find an MRI machine in Haiti.”

It all got done, and now the Reds will hope Iglesias does as well for them as Chapman has. He was nearly as expensive, costing the Reds $27 million for a seven-year contract, even though he wasn’t as highly touted as Chapman (who got $30.25 million for six years in January 2010).

The prices keep going up, which only makes the decisions tougher.

“The gut feel has to be there,” said Don Welke, a top Rangers scout who has been to many Cuban showcases and was involved in the signing of outfielder Leonys Martin. “It’s huge risk, huge reward. As it’s turned out recently, whoever has taken the risk has gotten the reward.

“But some scout had to stick his neck out for every one of these guys. And you’d better darn well be right, because your owner is asking you why you want to spend so much on a guy you only saw in two workouts.”

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 14, 2014 at 03:17 PM | 3 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: alexei ramirez, alfredo despaigne, alrodis chapman, cuban baseball, cubs, dodgers, jose abreu, jose contreras, kenny williams, reds, scouting, white sox, yasiel puig, yoenes cespedes, yulieski gourriel

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   1. madvillain Posted: July 14, 2014 at 10:54 PM (#4750459)
Chicago has gotten 3.2 fWAR out of Abreu, He's making roughly 11.2 million this year and has already produced surplus value to the tune of 6 million, according to fangraphs cost per war.

I general, I think the Cuban guys are lower risk than a lot of players just because they've already been playing a AA equivalent for years, already see themselves as professionals, and are often highly motivated to succeed, getting off the island is prima facie evidence. Sure some of the scouting might be a bit limited, but the showcases do a decent enough job and that plus the years of fairly high level stats help narrow it down quite a bit.

Although, to be fair, the time to "buy low" on Cubans has probably already passed, Abreu and Puig have taken care of that.
   2. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: July 15, 2014 at 02:33 PM (#4750792)
The Dodgers had to have someone drive Puig 1.5 hours across Mexico City to find an MRI machine.


If you know Mexico City, you know that means the MRI machine was probably about 6 blocks from Puig's original location.
   3. odds are meatwad is drunk Posted: July 16, 2014 at 01:35 AM (#4751645)
no tag for Joe? he was quoted in the article and however crazy his posts may seem he knows his #### when it comes to cuban ball

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