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1. JRVJ Posted: February 10, 2012 at 10:32 AM (#4057873)If he thinks he's worth more then $10M p.a. (and he probably is - that's Jeff Suppan money from 5 years ago), he's right to take the one-year deal and hope for a better market.
If they had offered 3/42, then I'd say, "yikes, they can't give money away", but they didn't. Pitt looked for a bargain, and Jackson wasn't willing to sign a bargain deal.
How often can a losing team hit its "window," and immediately find everything they need on the free agent or trade market? I can only think of one team that has nearly done this, the '91 Braves. (Pendleton, Bream, Belliard, Sanders, and Berenguer as free agents, Nixon by trade, and Pena by mid-season trade.) Perhaps Jackson could have played the part of Charlie Leibrandt.
He is, however, good enough to be above the level of FA that's typically willing to sign with the Pirates. They get rejected at a surprisingly high rate by guys a cut or two below him, even when they're the best offer on the table.
This is the thing that fans of rich teams screaming at the Pirates to spend more money often don't get: You can't force someone to sign a contract.
You're probably overstating for rhetorical effect, but Jeff Suppan money from 5 years ago is $6.25M. Jackson at $10M per year is 20% cheaper per year than Kevin Millwood's last big contract (2006-2010), over the course of which Millwood had an ERA+ of 100 (slightly above average for a starting pitcher). Over Jackson's last 4 years, he's had an ERA+ of 108.
Does ERA+ smooth out the difference between leagues? If so, Jackson's probably Derek Lowe with the Dodgers, so just based on precedent (not actual value), he's worth maybe $15M per year (especially since Lowe is sucking balls now)?
In year one of a 4/$40MM contract.
I might be stretching Kovacevic's intent, but I didn't read it that way. I think what he meant was that Jackson didn't choose to take a one-year deal with a commonly-accepted contender (i.e., Red Sox, Cards, etc.). The Nats might/could contend this year, especially if there's the second wild card, but they haven't built up much of a rep yet.
It seems as though the days of a Suppan type getting that deal or anybody and everybody getting the standard 3/$27 from five or six offseasons ago have faded.
I'm an idiot.
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