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But I think we can agree pretty easily he didn't demonstrate abject incompetence, or anything much like it.
The decision to fire a GM after two years in which he didn't demonstrate incompetence shows, to me, very poor planning on the side of ownership. It seems like McCourt made a plan, and then changed his mind before seeing if the plan would work. And he even appears to have changed his mind based on pressure from the local media. That bodes very ill for LA's future, regardless of what you think of context-neutral statistical measures.
It is NOT that statanalysis is a bad or unimportant thing. It's just ONE of the tools an executive these days ought to have, and the presence or absence of the rest of the tools (most of which have to do with leadership) have a fairly low correlation with the ranking of one's undergraduate institution.
Sure, Theo has been a big success, but he's surrounded by people who can provide some of these other tools. As much as I and others on this site give Lucchino crap, for example, he's doubtless adding some leadership savvy, as is Dr. Charles Steinberg on the PR front.
DePo didn't have that support system. If given the same environment as Theo had been, I have a feeling he'd be just as successful. It was unfair not to put him in circumstances where he could excel, and unfair to expect he'd become a leader in such a short time.
In sum, then, this affair reflects just as badly on the McCourts as it does on DePo. Maybe moreso.
Get Theo gone!
I don't fire Jim Bowden in his first year as GM...
or san diego, if towers doesn't stay...?
(see alderson -> beane link).
Is it all of them, or just one guy?
It's all of them, at least at the LA Times. Simers and Plaschke are of course the main culprits. But I can't say that beat writer Steve Henson has been the pinnacle of objectivity.
Who knew that Richard Griffin posted here?
But I think we can agree pretty easily he didn't demonstrate abject incompetence, or anything much like it.
Which would be the only reason to fire a GM after 2 years. Dumb.
Is it all of them, or just one guy?
The LA Times is leading the charge, but the entire LA media basically hates everything the Dodgers have done since the O'Malleys sold the team.
I see Dennis Gilbert was listed as a candidate. That would be the ultimate PR move since Gilbert is the sportswriter's pal here in L.A. But I don't know that he would actually have any idea on how to be a GM.
Kim Ng would be an extremely bold move.
I've posted before saying the Dodgers would be stupid to fire him, and now they did it.
So they're stupid.
She seems like she has a good understanding of baseball and business, but she's getting old and we still haven't walked in the glow of each other's majestic presence.
She's a woman. You think that's hard?
So show of hands on the first major roster move by the Non-Saber Dodgers. I'm going with 5 yrs/$75M to Damon. Bradley DFA.
Such as the Dodgers winning the NL West in 2004 in his first season on the job.
In my position speaking for the Rangers, we will gladly take him.
I was not!
Is Orel behind the whole power struggle? I really don't know the situation that well, but could he want more authority than DePo cares to give, and in an NFL type situation, they'll give him lots of off field authority initially?
A phone rings in the next Dodger's GM office. It's DePodesta, the new Phillies GM. PD says: "Zippy, I've a great clubhouse guy who can hit a ton. He will only cost you...."
I thought before this system that DePodesta might have wanted to trade *some* of the Dodgers' uberprospects to make this year's team better in an effort to win the weak, weak west. He chose not to do that and the team was bad (though that's due to lots and lots of reasons -- injuries and the manager included). He's responsible for that decision, but I would agree that the books aren't closed on that decision.
This is very bad planning on McCourt's part... I mean, why do you let him fire Tracy if you're planning to fire him? I just don't get it.
Newsday reported that DePodesta had decided on Collins but that a faction in the front office (of which I imagine Lasorda was a part of) pushed for Valentine or Hershiser or someone with Dodger ties. After the Hershiser interviews, Lasorda essentially said the job requires more experience.
Obviously, Valentine was not going to be a guy that would work well with a GM trying to maintain a certain degree of control over personnel and coaching decisions.
I think some folks have fixated on Valentine as the saviour. That only happens with DePo gone. So DePo goes.
Look for Valentine to be the Dodgers manager next year (and who knows, maybe even have some GM duties). And look for the Dodgers starting catcher next year to be Kenji Johjima from the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks.
He could have been given another year or two, but if Terry Collins had been installed as DePo's puppet, it would have been a disaster from the word go -- a pair of men with plenty of IQ but very little people sense.
Personally, I would have liked watching apologists try and explain away that trainwreck. Now, they'll be able to blame it all on McCourt, Lasorda and a media vendetta.
You may be right about this, Ghosty. But to convince me, you're going to need to provide a few examples of why this is the case.
Please. DePodesta was free to hire assistants, you know. For whatever reason he didn't think PR was important, and what do you know, it is.
I raised an eyebrow when I read that Depo did not meet Hershister personally, but instead had a long telephone interview with him. I had a feeling that was going to bite him in tail. It appears that this was the straw that broke the camels back.
OTOH, I guess that was Depo's line in the sand. He was not going to have his managerial decision dictated to him. I think he was right to take that stance, as his position would have been untenable if the managerial decision was dictated to him by others in the organization and the media. But I still would have met with Hershiser personally, if nothing else but appearance sake.
Anyway, Lasorda and friends finally got him, and Hershiser was the perfect tool to do so.
I've never been a Depo fan, because I think he made too many "managerial" mistakes in how he handled his job and people in the organization. (I am not talking about trades and signings) And from outside looking in, it seemed he was not capable of adjusting in this area. This "hole in his swing" as a GM was glaring, and led to his downfall, IMHO.
It is NOT that statanalysis is a bad or unimportant thing. It's just ONE of the tools an executive these days ought to have, and the presence or absence of the rest of the tools (most of which have to do with leadership) have a fairly low correlation with the ranking of one's undergraduate institution.
I assume this in part refers to the Byrnes hiring.
From AZ Central, under the title
"BYRNES BRINGS MODERATE APPROACH AS D-BACKS GM"
Josh Byrnes has crunched the numbers, but he has also lugged the radar gun. He can cite stats gurus as influences on his baseball philosophy, but he can also recall pitch sequences and scouting reports from years gone by.
So what's his tack? Is Byrnes a Moneyball guy or an old-school evaluator?
"I'm sort of a political moderate," explained Byrnes, who was hired Friday as general manager of the Diamondbacks. "I think everyone's declaring affiliations out there, and as I said, I like information. I think both are valuable."
General Partner Jeff Moorad said the club wanted to "find someone who could bridge the two prevailing schools of thought in the industry. The sabermetric approach on the one hand, the more traditional scouting approach on the other. We think that Josh is uniquely qualified to do that."
That sounds good to me.
AZ Central
Was there anything he could do to stop Plaschke and Simmers from bashing him? They started as soon as he was hired. They were prejudiced and didn't use rational arguments.
A. McCourt & his meddling
McCourt- known BoSox fan. may have been the driving force in signing Lowe (whose success only would have stoked his ego)
One thought that came to my mind was that the only way DePo goes, is if Theo is available. Theo would walk into a high payroll organization with a strong farm system, sans Larry Lucchino. That would not solve the bad media relations, but may make McCourt happy in his own little world.
B. McCourt & Lasorda
The story earlier was that McCourt & Lasorda had a 5 hour dinner & interview with Orel, and that DePo had only spoke to him over the phone.
McCourt spent five hours with 2 Dodger icons that bring visions of winning and the World Series. This dinner may have served as the Lasorda infomercial on how HE would do things. Which, of course, would not include fancy stuff like math.
It's not the General Manager's job to worry about the PR. It's the PR department's job. And Frank McCourt put his 24 year old son in charge of marketing and left high ranking positions in the PR chain empty for a whole season. That's not DePo's fault, that's McCourt's area.
1) make the team win a division / playoffs THIS year.
2) make the team win division(s)/playoffs for multiple years later.
he (rightly, IMO) decided that keeping the same players last year would have meant a bad team for this year and for the future. he definitely would have had a worse team this year (i think all the players who left were worse than the ones brought in for them)...and i still think the lowe/drew signings weren't good.
MUSIC:
here's another clue if you please...the seether's louise!
You're quite enthusiastic for such JV trolling.
Abject failure, no. He did do a poor job with that aspect but isn't he allowed to learn from his mistakes?
Wasn't he in Italy for a sibling's wedding?
Firing DePo would be a ridiculously short-sighted move, unless Theo is waiting in the wings. Remember: The Red Sox and Theo called off negotiations for the weekend. Hmmm.
If DePo is canned - and I'm not believing anything until I hear the official word, much like I refused to engage in Plame investigation speculation until Fitz himself spoke - his legacy, to me, is a positive: He was GM when the Dodgers won their first pennant in nine years and reached the playoffs for the first time in eight. Period.
I don't think he did a great job, but I don't see how you can fire a GM after two years unless they're terrible (see Babcock, R.).
It looks like the Final Word and Ghost think that this firing was just... anyone else?
Look, I'm not saying this is all DePodesta's fault, but when you are the general manager of big-market team, PR is half the battle. It might not have been his fault, but if there's a problem in the PR department, DePodesta should have done something about it. Why? Because it's almost impossible to be successful in a town like NY or LA without some support in the media, especially when you seem hell-bent on making unpopular moves (trading LoDuca, letting Beltre go, signing JD Drew, etc).
I don't know what DePodesta should have done differently, but its obvious that something in his approach with the media had to change. Maybe he should have tried to become friends with Simmers and joked about Kevin Brown, or maybe he should have provided the LA sportswriters with more of his time. I don't know, something. Whatever he's been doing for the past two years obviously hasn't worked, and its probably the biggest reason for his demise.
Says here that the Cardinals won the NL pennant in 2004
Seether is neither black nor white
Vanilla Report
Olney has a take on it, which I am spared, since I am not an insider.
<a href="http://insider.espn.go.com/espn/blog/index?name=olney_buster&acti>Olney!</a>
I think we need to ask Tajomaru and Masako to see what they know.
Again, it's not his job to do that. The PR battles are fought by the PR department. And for all you know, he spoke to the McCourts about it and they did nothing.
I don't know what DePodesta should have done differently, but its obvious that something in his approach with the media had to change.
And McCourt hasn't given him a chance to do that. After winning the division in 2004, he's got no reason to alter his approach to the media. And now, after one bad season, if this firing is true, he hasn't even given him a month to adjust.
Maybe he should have tried to become friends with Simmers and joked about Kevin Brown, or maybe he should have provided the LA sportswriters with more of his time.
Suggesting that DePo try to be friends with TJ Simers might be the dumbest thing said in this thread. You know what Simers would do? He'd write a scathing article about how DePo tried to kiss his ass and how the Dodgers are trying to woo him.
Whatever he's been doing for the past two years obviously hasn't worked, and its probably the biggest reason for his demise.
If Frank McCourt is firing DePo because of what Simers and Plaschke write about DePo, then he's a ####### idiot. Especially since they hate McCourt more. They'll probably say some nice things in a backhanded compliment, but the minute another GM starts losing a few games in a row, they'll go back to trashing McCourt.
McCourt was despised from the outset. No one trusts his finances, sanity, or plans for the team. Frank and Jamie McCourt came to L.A. with negative Q ratings it seemed. They took Donald Sterling off the list of "most ridiculed owner of an L.A. sports team."
And the McCourts are in sharp contrast to the image of Arte Moreno, who, despite the city name change of the Angels, has an image that is nearly unblemished in the media here.
That said, I can understand the firing based on one thing which I guess I really have no proof is even true. If DePo was adament about hiring Collins and McCourt thought (or was told by multiple advisers) that this was a huge mistake.
I thought hiring Collins would have been a huge mistake. Hard for me to begrudge anyone else that belief.
McCourt seems quite impatient. I imagine if Depo gets fired, he's going to hire someone who tells McCourt that they can win a WS next year. And, with health, they can win the division. But I won't be surprised if I see 4 of LAD's top 15 prospects in different organizations at this point next year.
That is the thing I take away from the 2005 White Sox.
No, the PR battles are fought by anyone in contact with the public. If DePodesta took that kind of dogmatic view and had that little political savvy, then he was doomed. This would explain his ridiculously quick departure.
Can't it be said the NL West champion won a pennant? Or is that reserved for the league champ?
This is a serious question; I hitched calling LA a pennant winner in my first post for this reason.
That's some serious self-loathing.
And McCourt hasn't given him a chance to do that. After winning the division in 2004, he's got no reason to alter his approach to the media. And now, after one bad season, if this firing is true, he hasn't even given him a month to adjust.
DePodesta has been on the job two years! He's been having problems with the media since he got hired. This didn't happen overnight.
Suggesting that DePo try to be friends with TJ Simers might be the dumbest thing said in this thread. You know what Simers would do? He'd write a scathing article about how DePo tried to kiss his ass and how the Dodgers are trying to woo him.
Well, that's only if DePodesta isn't subtle about it. Simmers writing a column about the Dodgers' bad PR deparment would be a lot better than him writing columns about how stupid the Dodgers' moves have been, if for no other reason that his criticisms would actually have some merit.
If Frank McCourt is firing DePo because of what Simers and Plaschke write about DePo, then he's a #### idiot. Especially since they hate McCourt more. They'll probably say some nice things in a backhanded compliment, but the minute another GM starts losing a few games in a row, they'll go back to trashing McCourt.
I don't disagree. But I'm guessing that DePodesta isn't being fired only because Plaschke and Simmers don't like him. The public image of the Dodgers has taken a big hit. Firing the guy who made many of these unpopular moves would be a good PR move for the Dodgers. Is the right move? Probably not, but I doubt McCourt really cares.
Now I have to watch Weekend at Bernie's to lighten me up.
I don't know how you can say he was doomed for having a certain mindset and yet in the same post agree that people in his position can learn from their mistakes.
To me this could be a point against DePo. He inherits a team that wins 93 games. Then uses his one off-season to make major moves, spending lots of money on veteran players. Result is a team 22 games worse than the year before.
While there is no "official" rule, the term "pennant winners" are usually reserved for the two World Series participants.
The Dodgers were the NL West Champions in 2004, but that doesn't get you "the" pennant.
The only thing I can figure is DePodesta's personality might be what's getting him canned more than his performance. It's one thing to fail in a media market like LA, it's another thing if he's privately obnoxious as well. I don't know him, so it's all speculation, and all I have to go on is Moneyball, and while Michael Lewis obviously liked him, I thought DePodesta came off in that book as an arrogant know-it-all jerk. If an admirer paints such a mixed picture, well, maybe Frank McCourt just can't stand to be around him any more.
No, he's been on the job for about 18 months. He's had one offseason. To expect him to make major adjustments in his demeanor in that time is unrealistic. Especially since his first year was a huge success for the Dodgers and any complaints about the team were petty.
Well, that's only if DePodesta isn't subtle about it. Simmers writing a column about the Dodgers' bad PR deparment would be a lot better than him writing columns about how stupid the Dodgers' moves have been, if for no other reason that his criticisms would actually have some merit.
I don't think you have a proper understanding of TJ Simers. Simers doesn't want to be friends with DePodesta or the McCourts. His MO is to stroke his own ego by belittling others, namely Frank McCourt, his wife, and anyone who works for him.
I don't disagree. But I'm guessing that DePodesta isn't being fired only because Plaschke and Simmers don't like him. The public image of the Dodgers has taken a big hit. Firing the guy who made many of these unpopular moves would be a good PR move for the Dodgers. Is the right move? Probably not, but I doubt McCourt really cares.
Those unpopular moves haven't crippled the franchise and the players no longer on the Dodgers haven't done any better on their new teams. So if it's for making unpopular moves, it's not for the results of those moves but for the backlash from the media over them. So yes, if it had to do with those moves, then it's because of the media response.
It's not as if the Dodgers weren't already spending lots of money on veteran players. In 2004, LA had $19.4 million invested in Dreifort and Hundley. At least DePo got a positive return for his investments.
Exactly. If a non-saber darling dropped 22 games in the standings while increasing payroll then Mel Gibson could make a movie about their crucifixtion.
If few people in or out of the organization like you then you have to win to keep your job. Better people skills might have bought him another year.
Didn't the payroll stay about the same from 2004 to 2005?
That's not totally accurate. If he doesn't aquire Bradley at the start of the season and Finley in July, the Dodgers aren't a playoff team. Yes, he inherited a good team, and he was the beneficiary of a fluke season out of Beltre, and no, he was not *the* reason why the Dodgers won the West, but I don't think it would be fair to say that if McCourt kept Dan Evans as the GM that the Dodgers would have had the same results.
Based on team performance, his grade is "incomplete." One good year and one bad one is evidence that says "give the guy more time."
Well, the problems with the media happened overnight. He was hired and the next day he gets to read a hatchet job by Plaschke that reads like a string of insults. The press hated him from the beginning and I think it's unrealistic to say that DePo could have done much about it.
Oh please oh please oh please oh please oh please ...
I can't remember what exactly they wrote, but I'm willing to be inexperience as a GM was a key point for Simers and Plaschke when DePo was hired. I have little doubt they'll look the other way on this.
Bobby V as manager... I wanted him as the manager, but not at this expense.
Well, I have to disagree. Gagne got hurt. Countless others did too. Some you could have expected (Drew), but you can't say that for all of them. He didn't trade away any of their best prospects (which shouldn't be a plus, but given the way some GMs act, it is). Getting rid of Green gives them a lot of payroll flexibility. Choosing not to resign Finley and Beltre, moves that were killed in the LA press, paid off in spades. Drew was hurt, but was very when healthy and single handledly outplayed Finley and Beltre. Lowe played well. Kent played very well. Choi isn't great, but is valuable for someone who is making as little money as he is.
As for putting Milton Bradley and Kent on the same team, which some thing is bad...well everything was going fine until they started to struggle. And, based on what I've seen, Kent isn't necessarily the driving force of any of these problems. I think it's just as likely Bradley could have acted like this if Kent wasn't on the team. Also, isn't the manager somewhat responsible for trying to iron out the problems players have? Did Tracy actually do anything to stop this rift? I don't know, I'm actually curious.
1. Losing the best third baseman in baseball (for 2004) and not having anything resembling a major-league 3B on the roster. Beltre 2004 to Edwards/Robles/Nakamura/Saenz/Valentin/Perez (was actually pretty good) has to be about a 100-run loss.
2. Making Jason Phillips the starting catcher. Say what you want, LoDuca was a good player in 2004. What were the expectations for Phillips?
3. This team was going as far as Bradley and Drew could carry it. Nuff said.
And Beltre sucked in 2005. Keeping him around wouldn't have made a difference, the revolving door at 3B in 2005 wasn't too far below the peformance of Beltre.
2. Making Jason Phillips the starting catcher. Say what you want, LoDuca was a good player in 2004. What were the expectations for Phillips?
He was the best option at that time. I'll agree with the argument that he didn't address catcher properly, I wanted him to sign AJP, but there weren't a lot of options, and after he was signed, Phillips was about it. It also allowed him to unload Ishii.
3. This team was going as far as Bradley and Drew could carry it. Nuff said.
Ah, "nuff said," the greatest argumental tool there is. Nevermind that Bradley wasn't intended to be a guy to "carry" the team, just help push it. Kent and Drew were.
Are the Dodgers in better shape as a franchise now than they were when DePo started? The team he took over was good enough to win 93 games with some tweaking.
I'm not sure they are there right now and are not appreciably younger or in better shape financially.
If you hired DePo then I agree its a bit soon to fire him, but 22 games worse is 22 games worse.
However, it demonstrates that player personnel moves (as in, who do you pick up, who do you let go) is only one aspect of the job. First and foremost, the job is getting along with the owner (just as it was Tracy's first and foremost job to get along with McCourt/DePo.) Part of that is having decent enough press and public relations to help keep the press and public off the owners' back.
But also, there have long been reports that DePo in particular, and the Dodgers under Depo, have been very poor commuinicators with other teams, with free agents, and with Dodger players and employees. The result has been not only unhappy people, including people either with the organization or with influence in the organization, but also in other front offices. At one point the Yankees swore they wouldn't ever have anything to do with DePo after DePo changed his mind after agreeing to a deal. The big deadline deal that brought Penny in and sent Lo Duca out was part of a bigger deal that DePo couldn't pull off, but that he had let the press know was imminent, that left the Dodgers without a catcher and without Randy Johnson.
One doesn't have to be a traitor to the Moneyball gods, to whom I also swear fealty, to think that DePo has failings as well as strengths.
You've got to give him the offseason in order to make a fair call.
I'm not sure they are there right now and are not appreciably younger or in better shape financially.
They're in much better shape financially now then when he took over. Driefort is off the books, Green is off the books, Weaver is a free agent.
If you hired DePo then I agree its a bit soon to fire him, but 22 games worse is 22 games worse.
If Gagne doesn't get hurt, they're not 22 games worse. You can't hold a GM accountable for one of the best relievers in the game getting hurt.
Ah, "nuff said," the greatest argumental tool there is. Nevermind that Bradley wasn't intended to be a guy to "carry" the team, just help push it. Kent and Drew were."
>>>I am in the middle on this. Acquiring these three guys, given Bradley's and Kent's personalities, and Drew's injury history, IMO was a questionable chain of moves. But "questionable" is not "stupid." Williams and Guillen are getting all kinds of credit right now for taking on guys with various types of problems--Contreras, Jenks, Pierzynski, Everett--and getting them to the top. PD's moves are certainly defensible.
Again, the data on DePodesta says "give him more time." But, maybe he was just perceived as an arrogant jerk ,an due to that, couldn't afford a bad year.
It also seems likley that McCourt has mancrushes on Bobby Valentindand Orel Hershiser and it is moreabout them than about DePo.
If he's dogmatic as you want him to be, then he's not going to learn anything. I doubt that's the case though.
Keeping [Beltre] around wouldn't have made a difference,
It would've made a difference PR-wise. If you're going to let a star walk, then it's probably a good idea to have some viable replacement in his stead.
---
The Dodgers have a new face, and it is dabbed in Clearasil.
The Dodgers have a new voice, and it speaks in megabytes.
Meet General Manager.Com, otherwise known as Paul DePodesta, a 31-year-old computer nerd who was hired Monday to rid the Dodgers of their, um, virus. [...]
Change it they have, from Branch Rickey to Little Rickey, from Buzzie Bavasi to Bill Gates, from wise old men who trusted effort to a kid who relies on ... equations?
For the last four seasons, DePodesta has essentially been the webmaster for that funky site known as the Oakland Athletics.
Billy Beane was the general manager, DePodesta was the statistics cruncher, and together they built a team that overachieved during the season but crumbled in the playoffs, spreadsheets being unable to judge heart.
That DePodesta would be ready for a challenge such as the Dodgers is the wacky stuff of chat rooms and message boards, which, not coincidentally, is where McCourt received his final approval. [...]
Seriously, McCourt seems sincere about changing the Dodger culture, and DePodesta, a Harvard graduate who seems sufficiently earnest and humble, might fit that mode.
But, c'mon. [...]
"This place has tried quick fixes, they don't work," McCourt said. "This is about stability and continuity." [...]
DePodesta is a nice kid and all, but isn't it a bit disconcerting when the new baseball boss of the Dodgers meets Tom Lasorda for the first time on the morning he is hired? [...]
DePodesta should put Lasorda on speed dial in the hopes that the Hall of Famer also will one day like him for something else -- a willingness to listen. [...]
"It is a proven fact that payroll amount does not correlate to success on the field," said McCourt, for the umpteenth time.
But, for the umpteenth time, it does correlate if you have a thin top layer of minor leaguers, as the Dodgers do.
Here's hoping DePodesta recognizes this, and is able to decipher the only equation upon which he will be initially judged.
Current lineup minus new bat equals bow wow. [...]
The theme with DePodesta is about a brave new Dodger world, or at least a brand-new floppy disk.
As one of the featured characters in the best-selling, behind-the-scenes book "Moneyball," DePodesta was once described by author Michael Lewis as such:
"Before the 2002 season, Paul DePodesta had reduced the coming sixth months to a math problem."
The book told how DePodesta judged players by certain statistics, especially on-base percentage, then put those stats into a computer that spit out the names of guys he wanted.
Without a Panama hat or stopwatch in sight.
The method, which cost scouts jobs and lowered the A's payroll, resulted in a .606 winning percentage during that time, tied for the best in baseball.
But lacking Kirk Gibson-type leadership -- Gibson's unconventional numbers probably wouldn't have fit the A's system -- they went 0-7 in potential playoff-clinching games.
In the end, DePodesta's style didn't win any more playoff series than Kevin Malone's style or Dan Evans' style.
"The human element is not measurable," admitted DePodesta, but spam is, and let's hope he's not full of it.
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