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1. JRVJ Posted: December 14, 2012 at 01:53 PM (#4324812)I admit that I didn't see that much of Jack Wilson, but Jack Wilson? Did I miss something?
I looked at the catcher methodology, and found Johnny Bench about 2/3 of the way down the list, right after Jody Davis.
I remember Jody Davis. This is not right.
Wilson was a great defender. It seems insane to have him ahead of Ozzie (I assume that's what Honorable Mention means) but he was a truly great defender.
Bernard Gilkey was the one that shocked me. I'm not saying he wasn't good or even great I just don't remember seeing him and thinking "wow" nor do I remember a lot of buzz about his defense.
That's Gold Glove winner Jody Davis to you...
Davis' defensive 'prowess' to me was always a matter of his improvement from dreadful to passable to fringing on good. His first couple seasons he was just terrible... couldn't block pitches in the dirt to save his life, couldn't throw anyone out, etc. By 1984/5 - he had learned to do these things passably well. He got his GG in 1986 in recognition of no longer being a bad DH catching, then -- satisfied -- almost promptly disappeard.
He did this while playing in the same division as Tim Raines (70/9) and Vince Coleman (107/14), which makes his CS% all the more impressive.
For all his other faults on defense, Davis was never bad at throwing people out. He threw out 43% as a rookie, and was never worse than 28% in any season - 28 percent is at least break even level.
He flew too close to the sun.
**A quick google fails to confirm that what I wrote is correct. This is my recollection, but I could be wrong.
Nice.
c Johnny Bench or Buck Ewing (an almost impossible comparison because of the vast difference in equipment and rules)
1B Charlie Comiskey (with credit for inventing a lot of what is now modern 1B defense)
2B Bill Mazeroski
3B Jimmy Collins (basically did invent modern 3B play)
SS Rabbit Maranville (he played 25 years and hit WHAT?)
LF Fred Clarke, if you're only allowing LF to compete
CF Curt Flood or Tris Speaker
RF Roberto Clemente, if only RF can compete
- Brock Hanke
Jeff Francoeur 8th. Seems legit.
**A quick google fails to confirm that what I wrote is correct. This is my recollection, but I could be wrong.
So, you're saying the methodology is pretty much much worthless for the old-timers?
The problem is using unadjusted RField to compare contemporary players to past players, when the methods diverge so significantly.
That out of 16 players, not one played in the aughts, teens, twenties and the first 8 years of the thirties is reasonable and logical and produces reasonably normal looking results?
This is correct. Doesn't make the ratings worthless, at least in my totally biased opinion. It's just the way I thought was best to deal with data sources that have gone from being only useful in a very general sense to data sources that have become much more detailed.
Because of that, ranking players by runs saved per inning is not a good way to compare players of today with players who played 75 years ago or something. As an alternative, I'd suggest something like a point system for being the best fielder at your position in each year.
I guess another approach would be to use only data available to all players, like shortstop assists above average, and then convert that to z scores or something.
QFT
Each of the methods is reasonable itself. They just work on different ranges of value and can't be easily compared at the top or bottom end of the scale.
Man, I hope that's a joke.
Improved field conditions, glove, scouting and equipment. Along with raising the overall quality of player will do that. It doesn't mean they were actually better, but that they were getting to more balls.
C - Bench
1B- Hernandez
2B - Orlando Hudson
SS - O. Smith
3B - Schmidt
RF - Barfield
CF - Devon White
LF - Rickey
I watched mainly NL in 70's, and Blue Jays in 80's onwards, so you can see my biases
He doesn't qualify because it's restricted to guys who mostly played one position. I think that knocks out Andruw Jones too.
I would swap out Ozzie or Belanger for Maranville, and probably Robinson for Collins.... can't really say on the outfielders so I'll agree with you there.
Gotcha, missed that part, and not including Andruw Jones is just silly.
"Rogers Hornsby over Roberto Alomar? It's pretty hard to take this list seriously"
Ah, how I have missed baseball punditry.
EDIT: Whooooops, I thought this was the top 100 players thread.
1B- Hernandez
2B - Orlando Hudson
SS - O. Smith
3B - Schmidt
RF - Barfield
CF - Devon White
LF - Rickey
I watched mainly NL in 70's, and Blue Jays in 80's onwards
My list would be similar, because my history of watching the two leagues is also similar. I'd put Ivan Rodriguez at C, Gary Pettis in CF, and (because I spent some time in Michigan in the '70s) Aurelio Rodriguez at 3B, though Schmidt was awfully good, and so is Adrian Beltre. Best LF I ever saw was probably Dave Winfield, with the Yankees in the early '80s. On the whole I don't think LF is much of a fielding position – I saw Rickey make memorable plays there, but I don't think he was a genius or anything, and his arm was so-so. Josh Hamilton is a good LF; most good LFs are CFs or RFs playing out of position.
Aurelio Rodriguez, even if one never saw him play or had his defensive stats, has one of the better "he hit WHAT?" arguments. He hit like a bad shortstop, but held a job at third base for a long time. Michael Humphreys has Rodriguez about 30th all-time, behind lots of guys I saw play, so I'm probably waxing nostalgic as much as anything
Hernandez, Hudson, Smith, and Barfield, absolutely.
P - G. Maddux (as long as you don't think holding runners is part of fielding)
C - B. Boone
1B- K. Hernandez
2B - J. Lind
SS - O. Smith
3B - G. Nettles
OF - G. Pettis
OF - A. Jones
OF - G. Maddox
1B- Hernandez/Vic Power
2B - Maz/N. Fox
SS - Smith/Belanger
3B - Schmidt/Nettles
OF - Blair
OF - Mays
OF - Maddox
OF - Andruw
P - N. Ryan
C - M. Stairs
1B - D. Kingman
2B - S. Sax
SS - J. Offerman
3B - P. Guerrero
OF - K. Reimer
OF - G. Luzinski
OF - M. Ramirez
Bernard Gilkey is a man forgotten by history. Perhaps if he'd spent his early 30s abusing steroids instead of alcohol, he wouldn't be such an afterthought.
In February 1998, Mets GM Steve Phillips declined to trade for Gary Sheffield (as the Marlins were breaking up their WS team), saying "I decided that I like Bernard Gilkey on this team, what he does in the clubhouse and what he does for the chemistry of this team.".
www.nytimes.com/2000/03/26/magazine/steve-phillips-s-winter-of-content.html?pagewanted=all&src=pm
Gilkey's career WAR from 1998 onward: -1.6
Sheffield's career WAR from 1998 onward: 37.2
Fun Fact: Gilkey had a cameo in Men in Black
Not-so-Fun Fact: Gilkey racked up 3 (THREE!) DUIs in a single offseason (2000-01) - and he had (at least) 1 prior to that (during Spring Training 1998). He was arrested at the airport in August 2001 when the Braves (Gilkey's team) were arriving for a series against the Cardinals because he had a warrant out for the unresolved DUIs. That offseason he was sentenced to 120 days in jail and that was it for his MLB career.
P - Greg Maddux
C - Ivan Rodriguez
1B - Keith Hernandez
2B - not really sure. Luis Castillo did some good things.
3B - Brooks Robinson
SS - Ozzie Smith
LF - no one stands out that I recall
CF - Willie Mays
RF - Roberto Clemente
All time worst list should include Raul Ibanez in OF, probably Mackey Sasser at C.
Delmon Young
Bonds did not have a strong arm, but made up for it with accuracy, a quick release, and impeccable footwork. He really was terrific out there.
C - Ivan Rodriguez
1b - Keith Hernandez
2b - Mark Ellis
3b - Mike Schmidt
SS - Ozzie Smith
LF - Barry Bonds
CF - Andruw Jones
RF - Ichiro!
P - Mark Buehrle
Best:
P Maddux (why not)
C Bench
1B Hernandez
2B Sandberg
SS Ozzie
3B Brooks (c'mon, I watched that WS)
LF ???
CF Andruw (Blair, Pettis, White and others were good)
RF Clemente (having a hard time thinking of who else I'd rank particularly near him ... and I only saw him towards the end of his career so I'm partly extrapolating back to how good he must have been)
As to LF ... as a kid, I'm not sure I ever uttered the phrase "man, he's a great defensive LF". I saw enough of Bonds, Rickey, Luis Gonzalez, Geoff Jenkins and I'm sure many others to say they're good but nothing is standing out as particularly memorable. The correct answer is probably somebody like Willie Wilson who got pushed out of CF. Rfield certainly thinks so giving him 100 Rfield from 78-82 and 9 dWAR when he was mostly in LF. But lots of speedy guys get pushed to LF but aren't great fielders (Brock, Coleman, Raines spring to mind).
I'm pretty sure I only saw highlights of Bell (never actually watched a game), so I just mention this for context for the younger set.
C: Cliff Johnson -- somebody mentioned Jody Davis and he was pretty bad when young; Brian Downing was pretty bad; Posada was pretty wretched really. But in my mind's eye, Cliff Johnson was shaped like I am today, it's amazing he could get into a crouch. Now he couldn't really have been as fat as I remember but crikey he had no mobility.
1B: old Fred McGriff -- I saw a lot of Fred with the Cubs and a bit later. I couldn't believe that somebody who had played 1B most of his life could be this bad even if he was 38 and playing on bad knees. Rfield seems laughably wrong here but a lot of Fred's putridity probably wouldn't show up there. His most obvious flaw was possibly the worst plays on pop-ups I've ever seen. You'd be watching a Cub game, pop-up near the pitcher's mound, first base side ... no McGriff in the picture, here comes the 2B. Pop-up in foul ground, halfway between home and first ... catcher desperately stumbling around trying to track the thing, no McGriff in the picture. He also had pretty lousy footwork around the bag, having a hard time adjusting to throws off the bag.
2B: gotta be Jorge Orta
SS: Jeter's an easy choice ... and I can't think of anybody else who played there long enough to be terrible. Obviously Sheffield or a young BJ Upton (saw him at Durham a couple of times) might have taken this honor if they'd stuck longer.
3B: There were probably worse ones but Pedro Guerrero or Keith Moreland. Only there for a year, Moreland was strictly from the "I've got a big chest, I'll use it to stop ground balls" school although the numbers suggest he was pretty good at that. Guerrero may have made Bobby Bo look like ... OK, not Brooks Robinson but at least Aramis Ramirez
LF: Any number of lumbering oafs but I'll give a special shout out to Rico Carty
CF: old Ken Griffey really was terrible it's sad to say. I wish those mid-70s Cubs teams had generally been more interesting and maybe I would have paid more attention to Jerry Morales. I never liked Morales, always thought he stunk. Maybe my brain secretly knew but couldn't put its finger on it. Anyway, b-r says that not only was he generally pretty sucky, he stunk on defense: -52 Rfield and -1.6 WAR and a pretty staggering -8 dWAR over 4 years as the Cubs full-time (mostly) CF.
RF: Nobody really springs to mind ... maybe this is the opposite of excellent LF. I'm sure there have been some lumbering oafs hidden here as well. Moreland certainly had nothing to brag about.
Honorable mention: every once in a while the Cubs would trot out a Henry Rodriguez, Sammy Sosa, Glenallen Hill OF. Sosa was still pretty good in those days so he could fake CF but man that was one terrible OF.
another vote for Reimer being amongst the worst I've ever seen. He came to the Brewers in exchange for another suck ass OFer in D. Bichette, who I still remember getting hit in the nuts by a fly ball.
Bad fielders rarely stick around long enough to see much of. Guys who fielded really badly for teams I followed include Greg Luzinski, Reimer, Nolan Ryan in his dotage, Pete Incaviglia – actually, I deserve hazardous duty pay for watching some of this stuff.
There is also no way that Jack Wilson rates ahead of Ozzie Smith. I just don't see that at all.
I never saw Gordon play, but it is surprising that he rates ahead of Maz, who is generally regarded as the greatest at the position.
Finally, I'm glad to see Paul Blair get some recognition.
P - Greg Smith
C - Ron Karkovice
1B - Darin Erstad
2B - Placido Polanco
SS - Adam Everett
3B - Pedro Feliz
LF - Brett Gardner
CF - Dwayne Murphy
RF - Franklin Gutierrez
DH - Rafael Palmeiro
I lost some respect for the sport of football when I learned that he played defensive back for Texas. What could his 40 time have been? A minute and a half?
I saw what you did there.
cardsfanboy - IMO, there are only four SS who can compete for best glove ever: George Wright, Honus, Rabbit, and Ozzie. Wright is a horror to analyze because he played so early. Honus did not play SS for several years. And I already had Comiskey and Flood down, who are from STL, as am I. I was a little worried about hometown bias, but there's also this: Rabbit Maranville was the anti-Derek Jeter. Maranville played forever despite not being able to really hit major league pitching, because he was still a very very good glove as he approached 40. Ozzie didn't play quite as long, and was a better hitter. So, I went with Rabbit. Ozzie is, obviously, a choice that I would not question - nor would anyone else that I know of. In fact, Ozzie is the main reason that Mark Belanger doesn't get more fame for his glove. He was absolutely tremendous, but you could see that he wasn't QUITE as good as Ozzie, because they played close in time to each other. If I had to compare Mark to Rabbit without the context of Ozzie, I don[t know how that would come out. They played in very different environments. - Brock
It's kind of a paradoxical idea. The value of individual pitchers has gone down, because they pitch so many fewer innings than the old timers did that this has overwhelmed the increase in 3TO. But that's individuals. The percentage of preventing runs that is due to pitchING, rather than to any individual pitcher, has to have gone up due to the increase in 3TO, meaning that the percentage due to fieldING has gone down. Some of that is offset by the fact that modern fielders play more innings than the old-timers do, but I don't think that this increase is anything like the decrease in pitcher IP or the increase in 3TO. So, My Jeter Idea is that modern teams keep people like Jeter and Piazza at SS and Catcher for longer than they used to, because the damage a bad glove can do has decreased.
Does that make any sense to you? - Brock
Yes it does(I think you have mentioned it before, because I'm pretty sure I've seen it or imagined I have before) Mind you the HR and BB aspect of that three true outcomes doesn't matter in regards to defense.(except as mention relative to percentage of runs prevented.) It's the K, along with the number of balls put in play per game that figures into this. On top of that modern fielders are more than likely on average, in better physical shape than in the past, so their physical prowess, better gloves, better fielding conditions and positioning all also figures into it. Also because of the TTO, that means that it's possible that more men are on base, leading to extra value for those guys who are better at turning double plays.
(HR+BB+K)/PA
2012 .304
2002 .285
1992 .251
1982 .235
1972 .250
what happened this past year is that HRs were down from their peak in the sillyball era, but K's went through the roof
in recent years:
2011 .292
2010 .295
2009 .295
2008 .288
This premise is pretty easily demonstrated by instead applying it to starting pitchers. It's no longer possible for a modern pitcher to be as valuable as Cy Young pitching fifty games per year. So it's certainly possible that the modern game does not offer as much potential for fielding value as in past decades.
If you subtract Mazeroski's final two negative years, he does rate ahead of Gordon even by this methodology. It's hard to tell whether that's "fair." Mazeroski came up earlier and did not leave for a war midcareer, but they both retired about the same age, so it's fair to say that Gordon kept his fielding skills longer (and was a far better hitter to start with, of course).
It obviously makes sense to Dave Dombrowski. If you can assemble a pitching staff of enough strikeout pitchers, you can run out whatever defense you want. I'm sure that at some point this past season; Delmon Young, Brennan Boesch, Ryan Raburn, Prince Fielder, Miguel Cabrera, and Jhonny Peralta played in the field together. They were punting defense at 6 of the 8 possible positions.
He'd been the best defensive SS in the NL for 10+ years when Bill McKechnie (total glove-first mgr) moved him to 2b in 1924, to get rookie Glenn Wright in there at short.
So Maranville spent a year as the best defensive 2b in the league.
Then by 1932, Maranville had been the Boston Braves SS for three years - again with McKechnie as manager. He was just OK in the field in 1931, and he was 40 years old, so McKechnie replaced him with a good young glove (again), and put Rabbit at 2b (again), where he was really good (again) - played every day, 3rd/league in range, 2nd in Fld%. Braves ended up with their best record in 16 years.
Could NOT hit a lick, but - since fielding wasn't tracked nearly the way it is now - he must have looked absolutely spectacular on defense.
Absolutely. Very roughly speaking, the ML strikeout rate has doubled since the deadball era, from three per game to seven per game (again, that's very roughly). The result is that defenses overall went from making eight innings of outs per game to seven, or so. It's got to be a big factor. Paradoxically, you could have guys today who are far better at actual fielding (surfaces and gloves having a lot to do with it) but who don't contribute as much to winning with that better fielding. (Mefisto's point about errors is well-taken, but entails that a guy 100 years ago with a superb fielding percentage, all else equal, was more valuable among the more-valuables.) This dovetails with Karl's point too: individual pitchers today might be faster, stronger, throw harder stuff that breaks better: but not contribute as much to winning as a less-talented ace from the 1900s or 1910s.
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