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Saturday, February 09, 2019

Long-suffering Padres fans can’t wait to see Tatis Jr.

SAN DIEGO (AP) — With a mighty bat flip and joyous home run trot in winter ball, Fernando Tatis Jr. stirred a frenzy among long-suffering San Diego Padres fans eager to see the hotshot shortstop prospect make it to the big leagues.

Tatis’ bat flip after hitting a walk-off homer in a Dominican Winter League playoff game in early January went viral on social media. Fans envision the 20-year-old doing it at Petco Park, perhaps with fewer theatrics than players can get away with in winter ball.

Tatis’ eagerly awaited major league debut most likely will come this year, if not on opening day then after he gets some time in Triple-A.

Hope they don’t mind waiting a few weeks….

 

 

QLE Posted: February 09, 2019 at 06:18 AM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: fernando tatis jr., padres, spring training

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   1. Jacob Posted: February 09, 2019 at 10:15 AM (#5813918)
Maybe, he'll be as good as, um, I don't know, Trea Turner. Wouldn't that be nice?
   2. Slivers of Maranville descends into chaos (SdeB) Posted: February 09, 2019 at 10:41 AM (#5813922)
Be warned, Padres fans, he'll have a great debut, but after that, not so much.
   3. Adam Starblind Posted: February 09, 2019 at 10:57 AM (#5813927)
He strikes out a LOT. That rarely seems to temper the optimism though,
   4. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: February 09, 2019 at 12:30 PM (#5813943)
But will he ever hit two grand slams in one inning?
   5. Baldrick Posted: February 09, 2019 at 12:51 PM (#5813948)
One season over .500 since 2007. That is rough. And I say that as a Seattle Mariners fan.
   6. The Piehole of David Wells Posted: February 09, 2019 at 01:07 PM (#5813952)
From Sickels: "1) Fernando Tatis, Jr, SS, Grade A: Age 19, signed by Chicago White Sox out of Dominican Republic in 2015, traded to Padres for James Shields before his first professional at-bat; hitting .286/.355/.507 with 16 homers, 16 steals, 33 walks, 109 strikeouts in 353 at-bats in Double-A until going down with thumb injury; particularly impressive slash line since he hit just .177 in April; power/speed combination looks special, strikeout rate high but forgivable considering the entire profile; error rate way down this year and he has the range for shortstop; a truly elite prospect."

They should be excited. Sickels will be revisiting the grades this year, so we'll see how he thinks Tatis did last year.

Here's from October 2018: https://www.minorleagueball.com/2018/10/27/17994614/milb-expect-to-see-these-shortstop-prospects-in-2019
   7. Walt Davis Posted: February 09, 2019 at 04:12 PM (#5813981)
He doesn't strike out THAT much -- 25% so far though a nasty spike in the move to AA. (But of course only 19.) The projection systems agree he's not ready with the bat yet (around a 85-90 wRC+) but put his projected MLB K-rate around 28%. That's not good but only top 10-ish (bottom 10-ish?) in MLB. Guys with similar K-rates last year were Stanton, Chris Taylor, Upton, Schwarber, Khris Davis, Villar, Smoak, Nimmo, Baez, Candelario. Candelario and Villar are pretty clearly the worst hitters in that bunch and they made it to a 93 OPS+ which would be fine for a 20-year-old SS.

Still, he's certainly a case where, barring an incredible spring, they're clearly justified in keeping him down. And for guys like this, it's often those first couple of months in the minors that make it obvious they belong in the majors which means they'll probably wait until at least the super-2 deadline.
   8. bfan Posted: February 10, 2019 at 09:17 AM (#5814047)
One season over .500 since 2007. That is rough. And I say that as a Seattle Mariners fan.


The problem with sports leagues is always that it is a zero sum game; if you are going to be above .500, who are you going to beat? Dodgers as a franchise seems to have their stuff together since McCord sold, and they are a large-market team, so 87-90 wins should be their natural state. I would say that for the Giants as well. Does Arizona have smart, stable ownership?

The teams that help others get above .500 are ones like Miami; the Mets post-Madoff; and the like. Bad ownership and/or a period with a really dumb GM helps lift divisional rivals, and those teams lucky to be in a division with a dysfunctional franchise get 18/19 games a year against those teams and just get lifted up above .500 because just like someone has to lose, someone has to win.

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