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Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Tuesday, August 19, 2014
These things considered, there are many positives in Syndergaard’s stat line this season. Most importantly, he is a hard thrower who has stayed healthy and logged 118.1 innings this season. He will get a few more starts before the end of the season and is on track for close to a full MLB starters’ workload next season, assuming he makes the club. Syndergaard also has struck out more than a batter per inning, which suggests his stuff is fine, and has walked a reasonable 3.04 hitters per nine. His K/BB ratio, one of the statistics I most highly value, is a solid 3.18.
When we factor in the park effects, the most likely contributor to his .379 BABIP and 11 home runs (despite allowing just 78 fly balls – a 24.68% rate), his numbers look even better. Both the hit and home run totals are inflated and reflect neither his true talent nor his performance this season. If these numbers were to normalize, Syndergaard’s ERA and WHIP would drop to the point where this discussion would no longer be necessary.
Instead of being disappointed, I am pleased with how Syndergaard has thrown this season. He got hit around in a hitter’s park a bit, but he still showed signs of dominance by racking up the sixth most strikeouts in all of Triple-A baseball this season. The tools that landed him ninth on the BP Midseason Top 50 are intact, and though the young fireballer hasn’t been able to make his MLB debut and solidify himself as planned, his future outlook remains unchanged.
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