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1. pyrite Posted: May 12, 2012 at 03:28 PM (#4130281)But, I'm sure the reason goes like this: if a manager tried it and it failed, the manager would be blamed. If the weather wipes out the work of your #1 starter, the weather is blamed.
Of course, they pretty much got ####### by Zach Greinke (who went eight and didn't allow a run) so it didn't much matter, but it's never a sure thing.
I think Walter Johnson did. I can't recall the exact details but IIRC he started Friday, Saturday, and Monday, only skipping Sunday b/c they didn't play due to blue laws.
Edit: Here you go. 1908, 3 shutouts in 4 days.
http://www.baseballhistorian.com/html/american_heroes.cfm?page=82
Complete waste. Jack Morris would have won those game 3-2, 6-5 and 5-4 in 10 innings.
I would assume they were just physical freaks. Nolan Ryan probably took similar abuse with his frequent 150+ pitch counts.
There are probably guys in MLB right now who could do the same thing (although they might lose more effectiveness against today's deeper lineups).
The issue is we never identify these freaks anymore because we don't push guys.
One of those is not so much like the others. In the majors, Grove threw fewer than 3000 innings. Even adding his "minors" numbers, he's about 4200 which is high but not astronomical. He never threw a 300 IP season in the majors (2 in the minors) and never made more than 37 starts (once at 39 in the minors). Fergie Jenkins is a more impressive example of durability.
As to the rest, dead balls and probably not throwing all that hard (except Johnson). Young is one of the few who survived that pre-1900 workload for very long. Pud Galvin has the 2nd most IP in history and even he could only stand it for 14 years. Alexander, Keefe and Nichols are impressive but are in the same range as Blyleven, Maddux, Carlton and Spahn.
Take a guy like Mickey Welch. He had over 4300 IP from 20-29. He had another good year at 30 (but only 300 IP!) then he was done. Between 1876 and 1899, "only" 17 pitchers topped 3000 innings. They were the ones who survived, the rest didn't -- not that much unlike all the 60s-70s studs. I know some of those guys added more in other leagues or after 1899.
If there's a lesson to be drawn from early pitcher usage (and I'm not sure there is) it would seem to be that an arm has only so many innings in it and you can either cram them all into as short a period as possible or as long a period as possible.
For Johnson and Young, facing lineups that featured three or maybe four guys who could actually hit had something to do with it. It's said that Christy Matthewson would sometimes pitch flatfooted to bottom of the lineup batters. As for the Big Train's big weekend, the 1908 Highlanders hit .236/.283/.292 for a team OPS+ of 87. They had two players with OBP's above .330 and three who slugged better than .350, and only one guy did both.
The other issue is that a lot more games start and progress to their conclusion without delay than start and stop early on. The benefit would probably be outweighed by the greater likelihood of the game starting and never being stopped. It seems that teams don't start games in dicey conditions if they expect to have to stop early on.
Well, if you really want to show up the opposing team, it's tough to top this item from the May 9 edition of Today in Baseball History:
They just don't name 'em like they used to. I'm talking about "Icebox", not the Colonels.
Jason Vargas started two consecutive games for the Mariners this year. He started their last game in Japan on March 29th, then their first game in the US on April 6th. They had that weird return to spring training (jet lag recovery) in between.
I love Mathewson but obviously he couldn't see his moment in comparative context. But--to celebrate his pitching over his analytic abilities--in 1905 he threw three shutouts in five games over six days in the World Series against an As lineup that only no starter with an OPS+ under 96. (John Knight had more plate appearances at SS over the season and a disastrous 57 OPS+ but Monte Cross and his 114 OPS+ in 300 plate appearances played short in the series.) So a lineup that has 2 guys in the 90s, 1 in the 100s, 1 in the 110s, 1 in the 120s, and in the 130s looks pretty balanced to me.
But of course they were playing in an era with no power, so that team had a slugging percentage of .338 which led the league. At least in that series I would guess that fact--the low slugging percentage--tells us more about how Mathewson could throw three complete game shutouts in 6 days than anything else, other than his historical greatness.
But obviously in a long regular season you could let your starter rack up innings against terrible teams for the reason you state, I suppose. Though even there, to take just 1905, the range isn't that extreme. The Superbas had one lousy starter, the Cardinals had two, the Reds had two, the Phillies had a catcher with a 75 OPS+, the Cubs had a bad-hitting catcher and two infielders with a 79 OPS+, the Pirates started one bad hitter. The only team that really fits the Pitching in a Pinch model is the second-to-last Beaneaters with one deplorable starter and three other guys between 74 and 84 OPS+. But that's still not that historically terrible for a 7th place team.
But if I had to guess why Mathewson and McGinnity could combine for 660 innings, I'd be tempted to bet 1) on the overall low slugging and 2) their own talents before attributing it to pitching in a pinch. And innings explode again when slugging collapses in the 60s/70s, even though those lineups weren't particularly imbalanced, I don't think.
Most of it.
It wasn't so much about terrible teams as it was about weak spots in even good lineups. And even though I brought up team OPS+ for the Highlanders example, individual OPS+ isn't a great way to judge this given that it was such a low offense environment. None of this detracts from Matthewson's greatness, of course. It's not like every pitcher of his era was doing the things he did.
EDIT:
Really? How many teams in the late '60s/early '70s had middle infielders who could hit?
Boy howdy, not many. To pick a year at random, I looked at the 1969 NL. The Astros had Joe Morgan and Dennis Menke, but the rest of the NL was mostly drek. here are the Non-Astro MI's SLPs.:
.306
.268
.341
.366
.308
.296
.408
.228
.292
.327
.307
.251
.345
.289
.341
.251
.317
Those 22 players combined for fewer HRs than Sammy Sosa hit in 1998.
.311
.342
.378
.272
.245
Most of it.
I'd agree with this. If offense got back down to 3 R/G, I bet you'd see SPs racking up 300 IP again.
When slugging gets low enough, there's just no reason to push for K's rather than BIP.
If Verlander could groove 90-92 MPH FBs and not worry about the HR, he could probably get through 9 IP in 90 pitches.
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