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1. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 25, 2009 at 04:39 PM (#3396520)I dont see any reason that picking either one should be greeted with outrage.
Probably not. If you think about it, there are only so many open jobs for rookies from year to year.
Luis Valbuena and Getz's teammate Jayson Nix were the only real competition.
..
I'm disappointed in you guys.
The difference in their hitting really isn't at all close - most of that 67 points of OPS difference is OBP. Plus Wieters had 25% more plate appearances of value.
Santos had 3 errors, not zero, and I'd hesitate to make any conclusion about the running game in such a small sample.
On the other hand, it's not worth getting worked up about any award, especially a meaningless one. It's just odd, more than anything, that Santos was picked over Wieters given that Wieters was clearly the better player and is a much bigger name.
EDIT: Mystery answered. Wieters has an exclusive deal with Upper Deck, so Topps didn't issue a single card of his this year.
I dont see any reason that picking either one should be greeted with outrage.
Wait, what?
Santos had an 82 OPS+ vs. 97 for Wieters, and Wieters had 79 more PAs. That's not close at all.
EDIT: Mystery answered. Wieters has an exclusive deal with Upper Deck, so Topps didn't issue a single card of his this year.
Can players do this? I thought the MLBPA negotiated these things for everyone? Is it b/c Wieters wasn't yet an MLBPA member before the season started?
Matt Wieters has successfully sued the show "Law and Order" for unlawful use of the name of his biceps.
Players can opt out, Barry Bonds did it a couple of years ago.
There wasn't a rookie 1B better than Travis Ishikawa? Criminy!
Nevermind, looks like he had 61 service days with Min in 2007 (Cot's) and so not a rookie.
Surely there are plenty of images of Jesus in the public domain.
Actually, not weird at all. Back in 2005, Dan Johnson of the A's was the unanimous pick for the first baseman on their All-Rookie Team. The NL Rookie of the Year winner that year was a first baseman also. If you can't guess who it was, here's a link to help.
I'm sure there are plenty of other ridiculous oversights over the years.
They should thank their lucky stars that Wieters is not in a Old Testament mood today.
(I mean he wasn't the Ubermensch until late in the season, but he still was better than Santos)
Luis Valbuena and Getz's teammate Jayson Nix were the only real competition.
What about Ryan Roberts?
Nevermind, looks like he had 61 service days with Min in 2007 (Cot's) and so not a rookie.
Most of Jones's service time in '07 was in September, and doesn't count against his RoY eligibity. He finished 7th in the voting this year, and unlike with Volquez last year, no one objected.
Which? Ezekiel 23:20 ?
...Nolan Reimold was chosen among the outfielders, so at least the Orioles didn’t get shut out.
At least.
But the award has taken a serious credibility hit without Wieters.
This is the funniest #### I've read all week. Forget Wieters for a second here:
1) It's the Topps All-Rookie Team.
2) I didn't even know this existed until this article.
3) If I don't know an award exists, the odds that the average person knows it exists are slim to none and none just farted.
4) This is the official website of the official broadcaster of the Orioles, and the Nationals, who are co-owners, and the Ravens for that matter. This is MSM. The fact that he couldn't/didn't get a quote from anyone, anyone involved in the organization is a pretty good clue what the teams/players think of this award.
So an award that nobody knows exists and those that do, the ones that are "honored" with the award, don't care about somehow takes a credibility hit?
Now, don't forget Wieters:
1) He ain't that much better than Santos on offense. Sure, it's a 97 OPS+ to an 82. But take a gander at the BABIP between the two. Wieters pulled off a .356, while Santos was a much more reasonable .280. Give Santos Wieters' mark, and he has 18 more hits over the BIP plate appearances. He hits .323, has a .353 OBP, and if we convert those 18 hits to his normal rate of doubles and homers, 3 of them are doubles and 2 are homers (rounding as close as possible), giving him a .487 SLG. How does .323/.353/.487 strike you? That'd have been good for 26th in OPS in the NL.
2) Santos has better defensive numbers, with the huge boulder of salt to be taken for small sample sizes in rookie catcher defensive numbers.
Wieters - 738 innings in the field, 489 PO, 35 Assists, 12 DP (big edge here), 5 errors, 3 PB, 0 WP, .991 FP, 6.39 RF/9 to lg 7.48, 65 SB allowed, 21 CS, 24% throw-out rate.
Santos - 680 innings in the field, 502 PO, 26 Assists, 4 DP, 3 errors, 3 PB, 0 WP, .994 FP, 6.98 RF/9 to lg 7.77, 35 SB allowed, 15 CS, 30% throw-out rate.
We can ignore RF, of course. But basically there are two differences here, the 8 DP edge for Wieters vs. the 30 extra SB allowed - the 6 caught. So 8 DPs vs. 24 net steal margin.
that’s an honest appraisal, not the words of a “homer” who covers the team.
Only a homer would dream of covering this topic in the first place.
------------
Now, all that said: Some people doubted Jesus, too. If Wieters comes into the league and shows his talents from the beginning, then people will get used to them, like they did fish and loaves, and water to wine. And how did that turn out? Wieters knows how to learn from other people's bad luck. No nails through his hands, he needs those!
So Wieters this year allowed runners to steal at a clip only matched, being generous now, by late-career AJ Pierzynski and the corpse of Jason Varitek.
So does your wife.
No, idiot. My wife is the beard.
For you. But she's a lovely woman, making the reference inapt. However, you resemble the genetic result of a troll copulating with a billy goat in a sewage pit under power lines. As only a lesbian could mistake you for anything approaching a man of average attractiveness, it's clear that you are her beard. And a stupid-looking one.
Separated at birth, you and I.
You didn't see any improvement in Wieters behind the plate as the season progressed? Gotta say, it was pretty obvious. And look at the way he hit over the last month or so. Anybody who thought he would come up and hit .400 while playing the most demanding position and learning all these new pitchers was being unrealistic, to say the least. - Roch
As I said there, not being an O's fan, I didn't see the improvement, but I hope it's there. But as for that last month of the season...whoo-boy, .413 BABIP.
1) He ain't that much better than Santos on offense. Sure, it's a 97 OPS+ to an 82. But take a gander at the BABIP between the two. Wieters pulled off a .356, while Santos was a much more reasonable .280. Give Santos Wieters' mark, and he has 18 more hits over the BIP plate appearances. He hits .323, has a .353 OBP, and if we convert those 18 hits to his normal rate of doubles and homers, 3 of them are doubles and 2 are homers (rounding as close as possible), giving him a .487 SLG. How does .323/.353/.487 strike you? That'd have been good for 26th in OPS in the NL.
Don't you think it's possible that Wieters had a better BABIP because he's actually a better hitter who hit the ball harder?
EDIT: And, of course, BABIP is irrelevant for evaluating a player's past results. Wieters actually got those hits and Santos didn't.
There are a lot of flops among past winners though. Anybody remember Dwain Anderson ? The trophy looks cool on his '73 card though.
Even Ramon Castro, an awful backstop, prevented SBs well last year for the Mets.
I'm guessing the pitchers might have a little something to do with those numbers.
Than Santos? Sure, maybe. 56 points better than the league average? No. With enough ABs, he'd have tied Chone for 8th in the AL in BABIP last year. Do I see a reason to believe that a guy whose own BABIP fluctuated from month to month like Wieters, who, if he hit the ball hard, it didn't show up in ISO (his .124 is surrounded by the likes of Adam Kennedy, AJ, Asdrubal, and Marco Scutaro), who had a nearly bang-on-the-nose league average LD%, that this guy's high BABIP is because of hitting the ball harder? No.
And wait a minute there. With all the talk about FIP around the site, and the appropriateness of neutralizing non-player determined factors when judging past performance, you can't just out of hand dismiss that entire concept. I happen to be on that side; as I've said, I think WPA's one perfectly legitimate use is in judging MVP awards, and I've made the similar argument when it comes to ranking 90s pitchers vs. 60s pitchers. What was did was did. But that doesn't mean there's not a place for neutralizing it when looking at past performance, and the context in which I did so ("Hey, Santos was better defensively, and the entire difference on offense plus some is due to Wieters' crazy-high BABIP, so don't act like it's a sham that Santos was named.") is one of those, I think.
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