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Thursday, June 11, 2009

MASN: Melewski: Strange Stats

Prof. Melewski solves a CMI Millennium Problem! The Richardson/Mantle Conjecture busted!

So if the Orioles aren’t hitting much lately, just 17 runs scored over the last ten games, their batting averages with runners in scoring position must be pretty bad. That’s what I thought. Here they are:

Jones: .425, leads the American League
Markakis: .348
Scott: .333
Huff: .308
Mora: .286

You could even throw in Nolan Reimold, who is an amazing 7 for 14 when batting with RISP.

So with those numbers, how come Huff and Jones have just 1 RBI their last 12 games, Markakis none in 10 games and Mora none in 22 games?

I guess they aren’t getting many chances lately with RISP. Before getting three hits Wednesday, Brian Roberts was 3 for 30 and Markakis is hitting .206 since mid May.

One could say the top of the order is just not getting on enough recently to give the middle of the order chances to do damage.

Repoz Posted: June 11, 2009 at 05:15 PM | 6 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
Tags: orioles, sabermetrics

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1. danielj

Posted: June 11, 2009 at 05:32 PM (#3214672)

Is Markakis typically such a streaky hitter? I never thought he'd hit .360 or drive in 200 runs, of course, but he's undergoing one hell of a correction.

2. Ron Johnson Posted: June 11, 2009 at 06:18 PM (#3214745)

So if the Orioles aren’t hitting much lately, just 17 runs scored over the last ten games, their batting averages with runners in scoring position must be pretty bad.

Well it's an over-bid to say that RISP has zip to do with scoring, just not a real big one. RISP stats have next to nothing to do with team runs scored. In no small part because the unstated assumption is that a single with a runner on second is a run and that's just no true.

3. Shock Posted: June 11, 2009 at 06:24 PM (#3214750)

Yes, I've always wondered why we look at BA w/ RISP and not SLG w/RISP which would probably correlate much better.

4. Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: June 11, 2009 at 07:14 PM (#3214810)

or NORISPITFFP

(number of runners in scoring position in the first ####### place)

5. Dingbat_Charlie

Posted: June 11, 2009 at 10:22 PM (#3214999)

Is Markakis typically such a streaky hitter?

not really. He has hot and cold stretches like anybody else but I don't recall a slump lasting this long since early in his rookie year. He looks bad too, taking fastballs down the middle and lunging at bad pitches. Quite un-Markakis like.

6. Roy Hobbs of WIFFLE Ball Posted: June 12, 2009 at 12:55 AM (#3215217)

Nolan Reimold, who is an amazing 7 for 14 when batting with RISP.

This guy's threshold for amazement must be pretty low.

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Thursday, June 11, 2009

MASN: Melewski: Strange Stats

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