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Friday, September 09, 2011

McClary: The End of Denny McLain’s Career Began in 1966

Hammond organic: Capable of decay.

I knew pitchers 40 years ago regularly went deep in games and threw a lot of pitches, but McLain’s output in 1966 was staggering.

On Aug. 29, 1966, McLain threw 229 pitches in the Tigers’ 6-3 win over the Orioles. He gave up eight hits, walks nine and struck out 11 Orioles to notch his 16th win. According to the Baseball Reference.com box score, McLain faced 43 batters in the game.

He was just 22 at the time.

In that game, McLain set the Orioles down in order only one time, the bottom of the second. In every other inning he faced, on average, about five hitters per inning.

Did I mention he was only 22?

...And a closer look at a season from 45 years ago explains Denny McLain’s precipitous fall from a 31-game winner at the age of 24 to the loser of 22 games three years later, and his departure from baseball when he should have been entering his prime.

Repoz Posted: September 09, 2011 at 01:14 PM | 24 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: history, projections, sabermetrics, tigers

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   1. Howie Menckel Posted: September 09, 2011 at 01:47 PM (#3920135)
Too easy.
   2. BDC Posted: September 09, 2011 at 02:11 PM (#3920159)
Well, I don't think that athletes should have trauma inflicted on them, though I wonder if McLain's arm problems have been all that bad for him in everyday life. I don't think that being a big baseball star ruined his life; from what I can tell, being an idiot did that.

So the philosophical question is: was it worth it to McLain, the Tigers, or the cosmos to have him throw a zillion pitches at age 22? He went on to win Cy Young Awards at ages 24 and 25, becoming one of the most famous players in the game, writing his name indelibly in the record books, and winning a World Series ring. He won 131 major-league games – true, over 300 pitchers have won more, but that means that many thousands have won less. He made a very good living in his 20s, though of course he missed out on the kind of money contemporaries like Catfish Hunter were making a few years later, let alone what Nolan Ryan would make years later.

If there were a 21st-century Denny McLain, who reached the absolute height of baseball achievement and then flamed out without seeing a really huge payday, people would naturally bemoan the fact. But I sometimes wonder. What more do you get out of life playing it safe? We lament the lost careers of Kerry Wood and Mark Prior, but maybe what they had in their arms was all they ever had in their arms. Maybe they should have really cut loose when they had it, won a World Series for the Cubs, and been even more storied than they already are (which is pretty considerable, though not McLainesque). Young men get paid to throw baseballs; if they get hurt throwing them, that's a lot better than getting hurt driving a forklift.
   3. WillYoung Posted: September 09, 2011 at 02:44 PM (#3920182)
[H]e missed out on the kind of money contemporaries like Catfish Hunter were making a few years later, let alone what Nolan Ryan would make years later.


It would have been amusing to see what sort of trouble McLain could have found if he had received a free agent payday.
   4. Mark Armour Posted: September 09, 2011 at 02:55 PM (#3920187)
   5. GuyMcGuffin Posted: September 09, 2011 at 02:58 PM (#3920190)
This post needs a soundtrack:

The Girl From Ipanema
   6. Mom makes botox doctors furious Posted: September 09, 2011 at 03:01 PM (#3920196)
I always thought Denny McClain's 1970 Topps baseball card made him look like an old man. Anyone else?
   7. Mark S. is bored Posted: September 09, 2011 at 03:26 PM (#3920211)
I have no problem with the general idea of pitch counts especially for younger pitchers. But to suggest that a 229 pitch inning caused McClain to get injured 3 years and almost a 1000 innings later, seems ridiculous on the face of it.
   8. McCoy Posted: September 09, 2011 at 03:50 PM (#3920221)
It's not the years, honey. It's the mileage.
   9. winnipegwhip Posted: September 09, 2011 at 05:04 PM (#3920295)
Wasn't the Detroit bookmaker's over/under on the pitch count that night at 223?
   10. Santanaland Diaries Posted: September 09, 2011 at 05:56 PM (#3920356)
But to suggest that a 229 pitch inning caused McClain to get injured 3 years and almost a 1000 innings later, seems ridiculous on the face of it.


I dunno, I think a 229 pitch inning is pretty clearly abusive...
   11. BDC Posted: September 09, 2011 at 06:11 PM (#3920378)
On Aug. 29, 1966, McLain threw 229 pitches in the Tigers’ 6-3 win over the Orioles


Looking at the boxscore: in the ninth inning, presumably 200+ pitches in, McLain struck out Frank Robinson and Boog Powell. With just that three-run lead; Powell had the tying run on deck behind him.

That has to rank somewhere on the awesomeness scale.
   12. DanG Posted: September 09, 2011 at 06:21 PM (#3920395)
How many of these were effective starters in their mid 30's?

Since WW2, pitchers with 1000+ IP thru age-24 season

Rk                Player     IP CG ERA+  WAR From   To   Age  GS   W  L
1          Bert Blyleven 1611.1 97  133 35.1 1970 1975 19
-24 213  95 85
2          Larry Dierker 1409.1 66  110 27.7 1964 1971 17
-24 191  83 68
3           Frank Tanana 1321.0 83  124 30.9 1973 1978 19
-24 170  84 61
4           Don Drysdale 1315.1 57  126 29.1 1956 1961 19
-24 179  79 64
5         Catfish Hunter 1312.2 50   94  7.3 1965 1970 19
-24 189  73 78
6          Dwight Gooden 1291.0 52  132 30.2 1984 1989 19
-24 175 100 39
7    Fernando Valenzuela 1285.1 64  121 23.8 1980 1985 19
-24 166  78 57
8         Mike McCormick 1223.0 47   97  9.4 1956 1963 17
-24 171  65 67
9           Denny McLain 1176.2 70  107 10.8 1963 1968 19
-24 164  90 48
10           Milt Pappas 1159.0 60  108 14.1 1957 1963 18
-24 162  81 58
11            Gary Nolan 1156.2 33  127 22.6 1967 1972 19
-24 166  76 47
12       Felix Hernandez 1154.2 13  133 24.4 2005 2010 19
-24 172  71 53
13      Dennis Eckersley 1148.1 60  128 25.7 1975 1979 20
-24 155  77 50
14           Joe Coleman 1136.1 52   99 10.2 1965 1971 18
-24 161  63 59
15        Dick Ellsworth 1121.2 54  106 17.9 1958 1964 18
-24 165  62 73
16             Vida Blue 1089.2 56  117 12.3 1969 1974 19
-24 149  70 43
17          Ken Holtzman 1081.1 45  113 17.1 1965 1970 19
-24 154  65 54
18           Ray Sadecki 1068.1 41   95  7.0 1960 1965 19
-24 162  65 63
19       Bret Saberhagen 1066.2 40  121 20.4 1984 1988 20
-24 143  69 55
20           Don Gullett 1061.0 31  114 12.4 1970 1975 19
-24 136  80 41
21          Ralph Branca 1046.0 49  107 11.9 1944 1950 18
-24 132  63 44
22          Sam McDowell 1036.0 41  108 16.7 1961 1967 18
-24 150  56 52
23         Art Houtteman 1007.2 55  105 10.9 1945 1952 17
-24 117  51 63
24           Pedro Ramos 1006.0 35   88 10.3 1955 1959 20
-24 129  56 74 
   13. Mark S. is bored Posted: September 09, 2011 at 06:26 PM (#3920403)
But to suggest that a 229 pitch inning caused McClain to get injured 3 years and almost a 1000 innings later, seems ridiculous on the face of it.

I dunno, I think a 229 pitch inning is pretty clearly abusive...


Abusive? possibly. But how harmful was it when he pitched 235, 336 and 325 innings in the next three years?
   14. Boxkutter Posted: September 09, 2011 at 06:30 PM (#3920411)
As a Mariner fan, I hate seeing Felix's name on that list above. Maybe we should trade him to the Yankees?
   15. Gotham Dave Posted: September 09, 2011 at 06:54 PM (#3920446)
CC Sabathia just misses that list with 972 2/3.
   16. Anonymous Observer Posted: September 09, 2011 at 07:08 PM (#3920469)
Abusive? possibly. But how harmful was it when he pitched 235, 336 and 325 innings in the next three years?


A 229 pitch inning. Not 229 innings pitched.
   17. Bob Evans Posted: September 09, 2011 at 07:29 PM (#3920499)
Actually, it was that he pitched 235-, 336-, and 325-pitch innings in the next three years.
   18. Knock on any Iorg Posted: September 09, 2011 at 07:44 PM (#3920512)
Innings, outings. What's the difference?
   19. Babe Adams Posted: September 09, 2011 at 07:49 PM (#3920516)
McLain struck out Frank Robinson and Boog Powell. With just that three-run lead; Powell had the tying run on deck behind him.

That has to rank somewhere on the awesomeness scale.


Not as awesome as it sounds. Frank Robinson would turn an old 31 just two days later.
   20. gef the talking mongoose Posted: September 09, 2011 at 07:53 PM (#3920523)
Denny McLain was outed?
   21. True Blue Posted: September 10, 2011 at 12:03 AM (#3920695)
There is something to this. But on the other hand, McLain was part of a generation of pitchers that lasted forever and won a whole bunch of games....Seaver, Palmer, Perry, Gibson, Marichal, John, Niekro, Pappas, Blyleven, Koosman, etc. I venture that all these guys, and others, were a lot more stable, mature and took better care of themselves. Such as not missing a pennant run in September because the mob beat him up for not making payments, as reputedly happened in 1967.
   22. Don Malcolm Posted: September 10, 2011 at 12:24 AM (#3920709)
How many of these were effective starters in their mid 30's?

Not many. But here is the distribution of those starters by decades:

40s: 2
50s: 3
60s: 10
70s: 5
80s: 3
90s: 0
00s: 1

Far too much of the discussion on this issue is (and, apparently, continues to be) based on evidence from a past that is no longer relevant to the topic.

Note also the distribution of debut ages for these pitchers:

17: 3
18: 5
19: 13
20: 3

From 2000 until now, there have only been three pitchers (Felix, Edwin Jackson, and Madison Bumgarner) who were 19 when they debuted in MLB. There have only been seven since 1990. There has been no one younger than 19 to make his MLB debut since 1978, when 18-year-olds Tim Conroy and Mike Morgan both did it (and both for the same team--the Oakland A's).
   23. Srul Itza Posted: September 10, 2011 at 01:39 AM (#3920784)
A 229 pitch inning


Now that's abusive. I shudder to imagine how many runs they scored -- unless they hist 200 or so foul balls.
   24. What did Billy Ripken have against Elroy Face? Posted: September 10, 2011 at 07:37 AM (#3920931)
writing his name indelibly in the record books


If only he would have written his name delibly on those checks.

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