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Monday, July 15, 2013

Megdal: The Mets’ hopes are riding on their duo of Futures game starters

As gale Syndergaard finally blows into town.

And before a sparse crowd at Citi Field for the affair, one on par with a typical weekend Mets crowd these days, it seems safe to say that while many Mets fans were excited about seeing Syndergaard, and World team starter Rafael Montero, few recognized just how much the team’s future rises and falls on the success of both pitchers.

...Should both continue to pitch well in the second half, they’d be in the mix for 2014. The Mets like their pitching prospects to log around 150 innings at Double-A or above. Montero could get the call sooner than later, with just under 100 such innings already on his resume, and little reason for the Mets to keep him at Las Vegas rather than learning in New York. Syndergaard, if he keeps pitching as he has in his first 20 Double-A innings, might even make that 150-inning guideline moot by early next season.

And then the Mets will need to figure out exactly what to do. Do they go all young, pair these two with Harvey and Wheeler, and deal Hefner and Gee for pitching help? This hardly seems like a wise decision, with every major league team in need of depth, not to mention long relief and a bullpen.

“I feel incredibly happy to have gotten the chance to pitch here today,” Montero said through a translator. “And maybe one day, I will get to pitch here… God willing, I will be back.”

This is the reality for the New York Mets right now. They received an all-too-brief look at what the future might be on Sunday afternoon. Now comes the waiting and hoping it can all come true.

Repoz Posted: July 15, 2013 at 09:05 AM | 7 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: mets

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   1. Russlan is fond of Dillon Gee Posted: July 15, 2013 at 10:36 AM (#4494532)
I like Gee and Hefner but they are more valuable to the Mets than they are to other teams right now.

I think it is quite obvious that the Mets only path to being competitive in near future depends on their young pitching doing well. They need guys like Familia and Mejia to pitch well in the bullpen as well.
   2. formerly dp Posted: July 15, 2013 at 11:37 AM (#4494600)
I think it is quite obvious that the Mets only path to being competitive in near future depends on their young pitching doing well. They need guys like Familia and Mejia to pitch well in the bullpen as well.
More arms are better, some attrition is inevitable. With Harvey and Wheeler looking like they'll hold down the top two rotation spots, I find the turnaround by Puello and the continued development of Flores to be a little more significant to the team's future. Davis and Tejada both going far, far, south this year is not good for the lineup going forward, and the farm needs to start coughing up hitters in a hurry. Byrd and Young are having fun seasons, but once they come back to earth, this will be a putrid offense.

On a side note, did anyone see Murphy becoming the type of player he's been through the first half? Davis, Buck, and Byrd all have better walk rates this year. Weird.
   3. bobm Posted: July 15, 2013 at 12:03 PM (#4494649)
On a side note, did anyone see Murphy becoming the type of player he's been through the first half? Davis, Buck, and Byrd all have better walk rates this year. 

For single seasons, For 2013, Played 50% of games at 2B, (requiring Qualified for league batting title), sorted by greatest Adjusted OPS+

                                                                                      
Rk             Player OPS+ Rfield Rbat  Tm Lg  G  PA HR RBI BB  SO   BA  OBP  SLG  OPS
1        Jason Kipnis  154      2   22 CLE AL 84 374 13  57 45  83 .301 .383 .514 .897
2       Robinson Cano  150      3   25 NYY AL 95 409 21  65 48  52 .302 .386 .531 .917
3      Matt Carpenter  146      1   22 STL NL 89 408  9  45 39  51 .321 .394 .497 .891
4      Howie Kendrick  130     -1   16 LAA AL 91 379 11  40 20  64 .310 .352 .469 .821
5      Dustin Pedroia  125     11   16 BOS AL 96 432  6  56 51  49 .316 .396 .436 .832
6       Marco Scutaro  122     -3   12 SFG NL 81 356  2  22 26  24 .316 .367 .400 .767
7         Ian Kinsler  112      9    7 TEX AL 68 307  9  36 29  26 .281 .359 .433 .793
8        Omar Infante  110      6    3 DET AL 76 309  6  27 15  31 .309 .340 .447 .787
9         Neil Walker  108      5    4 PIT NL 72 293  6  26 30  52 .244 .347 .384 .731
10        Ben Zobrist  106     -4    3 TBR AL 92 404  6  48 43  59 .260 .347 .383 .729
11          Dan Uggla  100    -11    0 ATL NL 88 359 18  42 50 116 .200 .315 .423 .738
12   Brandon Phillips   97      7    0 CIN NL 87 388 12  74 25  53 .266 .320 .413 .733
13      Daniel Murphy   95     -9   -3 NYM NL 91 400  6  39 17  54 .270 .303 .392 .694
14       Rickie Weeks   92    -14   -2 MIL NL 85 321  9  21 35  86 .226 .327 .380 .707
15       Brian Dozier   90      6   -3 MIN AL 81 322  8  35 28  57 .235 .310 .386 .696
16        Jose Altuve   85     -3   -9 HOU AL 88 388  3  28 19  51 .280 .315 .352 .667
17      Darwin Barney   67      4  -15 CHC NL 79 314  6  26 18  34 .222 .272 .344 .616
18     Jeff Keppinger   53     -7  -17 CHW AL 75 303  2  25 12  27 .246 .274 .294 .568


   4. Bob Tufts Posted: July 15, 2013 at 12:05 PM (#4494651)
I bet Bernie Madoff was interested in futures...or at least OTC derivatives....
   5. Conor Posted: July 15, 2013 at 01:02 PM (#4494747)
On a side note, did anyone see Murphy becoming the type of player he's been through the first half? Davis, Buck, and Byrd all have better walk rates this year. Weird.


I was thinking about this recently. Murphy in no way resembles the hitter he was when he first came up in 2008, at least from an approach standpoint
   6. Shibal Posted: July 15, 2013 at 01:16 PM (#4494762)
How big was the crowd? "Sparse" could mean anything.
   7. formerly dp Posted: July 15, 2013 at 02:07 PM (#4494848)
I was thinking about this recently. Murphy in no way resembles the hitter he was when he first came up in 2008, at least from an approach standpoint.
When he first came up, he profiled as an ideal #2 hitter-- good eye, decent gap power, makes a good amount of contact. Now he profiles more like a prototypical #2 hitter-- OK average, puts the ball in play enough, doesn't walk or hit for enough power to justify hitting lower in the order. This development is even stranger given that the Mets have emphasized taking pitches and getting on base; I don't think anyone is telling him to be more aggressive at the plate and be content with lining some singles every few at-bats.

Oddly, it looks like Flores is heading for Murphy's line-- his road numbers this year are .288/.333/.440, pretty similar to Murph's line last year of .291/.332/.403.

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