Young, who is now 36, has always been a similar hitter to Jeter. The one glaring difference between the two is the amount of walks Jeter draws, but take a look at this comparison of their 162-game averages:
...So if Jeter rebounded, why can’t Young? The advanced stats community always stresses that one-year samples can’t be indicative of a player’s true talent level or future, but a giant portion of that same community is dismissing Young as a player who’s done based on his 2012.
Does it really make sense to put more stock into Young’s poor 2012 than the dozen seasons before it? Young hit .311 with a .819 OPS from 2003-11. Few are expecting him to perform like that with the Phillies, but something like his 2010 is realistic. In that season Young hit .284/.330/.444.
We can discuss defense another day, and it is acknowledged here that Young’s hot corner D is not on the same level of Placido Polanco’s or Pedro Feliz’s. But the 2010 version of Young—which could realistically return—would be a significant offensive upgrade over what the Phillies have gotten from their third basemen the last six seasons. Since 2007, Phillies third basemen have hit .263 with a .323 OBP and .370 slugging percentage. Those numbers are pretty much the same as Young’s bottomed-out 2012 season.
Posted: December 09, 2012 at 08:38 AM | 20 comment(s)
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