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Baseball Primer Newsblog— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Saturday, June 21, 2008
One Mike down, one to go.
Tampa Bay’s not going away. You keep sitting there and waiting for them to go away, but at this point, there’s no reason to think they’re going to. I’m not telling you they’re going to win that division or get into the playoffs, but I am telling you that, at this point, there is officially no reason any more to think, “Well, they’re just a cute story, but they’re going to go away. Their pitching is too good, they can hit, they seem to play with a real fire. You think back to what they did in spring training with the incident where they got into it with the Yankees that [manager Joe] Girardi was all upset about where they ran over the catcher, and you know what? On some level - we talked about it at that time - a team trying to set the tone. That is the tone with which they play: aggressive, hard-nosed, not backing down, smack you in the face kind of team. While every once in awhile that might be a little annoying, I think for a team that has always been bad, that mentality is helping them. They are for real - they’re going to be in there playing for something the entire summer, which, all things considered, I think is good for baseball.
Repoz
Posted: June 21, 2008 at 12:27 PM | 34 comment(s)
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1. Perros Posted: June 21, 2008 at 02:49 PM (#2828364)I do?
No consensus is probably an understatement. I'd venture there was as much disagreement about Tampa Bay's prospects for 2008 as there were for any team in baseball. A few, most notably AROM, saw them as a possible contender. Others saw them threatening .500, but not likely to contend for the division or wild card. And many others, perhaps burned by too many "This is the year the Rays take a step forward" stories in the past, preferred a wait and see approach.
The 2003 Royals were once 13 games above .500. They led their division by 7.5 games in mid-July and shared a tie for the division lead at the end of August. They ended up 4 games over .500 in 2003, 83-79. They haven't been particularly good since.
The 2005 Orioles were once 14 games above .500. They shared the division lead as late as June 23rd. They ended up 14 games below .500, 74-88. They haven't been particularly good since.
Of course, a (major) difference is that the above two teams are older than the Devil Rays. And this is certainly true...
2003 Royals hitters: 29.2
2005 Orioles hitters: 31.3
2008 Devil Rays hitters: 27.0
2003 Royals pitchers: 28.0
2005 Orioles pitchers: 28.3
2008 Devil Rays pitchers: 27.8
...(although it's less true for the pitchers than the hitters), but let's not make too much of that. Yes, young teams are more likely to improve and sustain it, and old teams are more likely to decline, but there are certainly plenty of instances of young players having good/great seasons (or great half-seasons) and then falling off.
The 1989 Orioles were 15 games over .500. Their largest lead was 7.5 games (on July 20th) and they last shared the lead on August 31st. They finished 87-75, 2 games behind the division winner, a tremendous turnaround from the year before when the team was 54-107 and lost its first 21 games of the year. And they were even younger than the Devil Rays...
1989 Orioles hitters: 27.1
1989 Orioles pitchers: 26.9
...but they couldn't quite sustain the success. They dropped below .500 the next season (76-85), and fell further back the next year (67-95), before finally recovering (89-73), and starting a run of 5 out of 6 years in which they were over .500 (they were 71-73 in the exception).
Here to stay? I like their chances (both in the long run and in the short run), but I think success is far from a certainty. This season isn't over yet.
Correct.
He's a company man, and he also takes sports very seriously.
He works for the CIA?
To determine if the Rays are for real, the comparison is not to other team's similar records or place in the standings but to the talent base of the teams. You do a bit of that with the age comparison, but that is hardly a convincing point all alone. The real issue is whether there is reason now to think that Kazmir/Shields/Garza et al can continue to pitch well all year. Whether Upton/Crawford/Navarro et al can continue to hit well or even improve over the course of the season. Whether the defense is for real and will maintain its current effectiveness. Whether the schedule favors them in any way or not.
On all those points, there are reasonable disagreements. But whether the Royals or Orioles once had a similar run of success followed by a falloff is not really relevant to whether the Rays will do similarly.
I've never been impressed by his wit on the radio. I wonder what makes you think he's anything other than an average ESPN talking head when it comes to smarts? In other words, smarter than Sean Salisbury and dumber than Steve Young.
It was a joke. Mariotti had a column recently where he said Mike Greenberg was as smart as a whip. (Mariotti said how cowardly the Chicago media was for not trying to fire Guillen, but how the national media knew better, and then he had a blurb from Greenberg, who "is as smart as a whip.")
He essentially plays the role of Felix Unger on the radio. I listen to the show occasionally as background at work and I can honestly say that he's never done anything that's caused me to form an opinion of him either positive or negative. Well, the Sheets of Integrity was annoying.
That sums it pretty well (particularly that horrendous Sheets of Integrity), and I listen fairly regularly on my drive to work. My biggest complaint is the hyperbole. Every ESPN analyst "knows more about this subject than anyone." I'll give him this though - he sure can tease. His leads into commercial break do get you wondering what the hell is up next, even if the payoff isn't nearly as interesting as he led you to believe.
Umm, between those 76-85 and 67-95 years, O's made an offseason trade: 1 multiple all-star cf (Steve Finley); 1 multiple all-star starter (Pete Harnisch); 1 borderline HOF starter (Curt Schilling) for a 1b (Glenn Davis).
Rumor has it the deal didn't quite pan out... and may have set the squad back a bit. Rays have way more young offensive talent than those O's teams did, some really good starters, and a bullpen that's dramatically improved over last year. Also, I think the Rays are playing solid defense now...
Thanks for letting me know.
Which is exactly why I like Mike Greenberg. Yeah, the schtick is over the top. Yeah, the last few years, Home Plate's Baseball This Morning was better, but everywhere doesn't have XM, and the show's pretty bad in the offseason. However, compared to the other screamers and glorified weathermen that ESPN puts on tv/radio, Greenberg's better than most of them. Sure, insert your joke about "the smartest kid with cerebal palsy" or "gold medal at the Special Olympics"; ESPN's still the biggest 800 lb. gorilla in the sporting world.
They appeal to young men via the schtick (which is fresh to someone under 22), the goofy stunts and the odd couple routine with Greenberg playing the "sissy".
Women like their family talk and whether you agree or not find Greenberg "cute". Gag all you want. It's fact.
They took over morning radio once Imus stuck his foot in his mouth and last I checked haven't surrendered that position.
Again, they are not targeting the BBTF demographic which for the most part wouldn't spend a nickel if they can get by on a penny.
Young men and chicks. The ones who throw cash arounf carelessly.
Capiche?
I thought I could get laid chatting it up with a cute chick in a pink Mets cap interested in family talk.
Hate to be the bearer of bad tidings.
And there are young men and then there are thoughtful young men. The latter are not a target audience for the light patter that is M and M.
And then, there is a certain Yankee poster, who likes to whale on them in a non-sexual way!
Sadly, they are also the best Orlando has to offer, as there is only one sportstalk station serving the entire area (the second one closed up about 6 months ago). So my options are limited. They are much more preferable to what else we get around here. Colin Cowherd seems to have changed his demographic to "Sportstalk for the Drudge Report crowd". We get Jim Rome at noon, and if his were the only station I could dial in from 12-3, I'd sooner set my van on fire.
From 3-6 we get two local guys, Brady Ackerman and Jerry O'Neal, who are tolerable, but not great. After that it could be anything from their golf show (which the local station will play to it's entirety from 6-8pm and join Rays baseball "in progress", rather than close that show early), to a pro wrestling and MMA show.
This is not sportstalk heaven.
I think that part of this is because they've run studies and the average listener only listens @ 20 minutes so sports talk radio gets a little repetitive. Of course, I could be talking out of my ass. It wouldn't be the first time.
I'm fairly sure that your point is right. The first segment of each hour of M & M is generally the same discussion of the big news of the previous day. They figure the first hour is when people are getting up or getting in their car for each time zone across the country, and they don't want anyome to miss their take on the big story.
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